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David Aragona

@horsetowatch

πŸ‡πŸ» Horse Racing; Daily Racing Form handicapper; DRF TV; Morning Linemaker for NYRA tracks

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15.11.2024
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Latest posts by David Aragona @horsetowatch

Preview
Turfway debuts jackpot Octafecta with $1 minimum Turfway Park in northern Kentucky plans to debut a jackpot-style bet on Wednesday requiring the selection of the first eight finishers in order, with the entire pool only paid out when there is a sing...

The few remaining horseplayers: "We want lower takeouts, restricted CAWs, and just better payouts in general."

Racetrack: "Here's the most complex jackpot-style wager ever with a 22% takeout and 75% (!) rolling carryover, CAWs welcome."

Can't make it up.
www.drf.com/news/turfway...

09.03.2026 20:34 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

It's far too early to sound alarms. It's quite reminiscent of the way he looked when coming back for last year's Fountain of Youth, a race he did barely win as merely a stepping stone.

09.03.2026 15:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Haven't seen much chatter about Sovereignty's workout yesterday. Sure, these are early fitness-based drills, but it's still a little strange to see him getting asked to keep up with an 0-for-10 maiden who's entered for $50k this week.

09.03.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
After wife's death, Glatt carries heavy heart into San Felipe The last time trainer Mark Glatt and his children saw his wife, their mother, was the evening of Feb. 11. Dena Glatt, a patient at USC Arcadia Hospital, was blowing kisses from her hospital bed.

"After wife's death, Glatt carries heavy heart into San Felipe"

Brad Free has the story.
www.drf.com/news/after-w...

04.03.2026 19:42 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for March 4, 2026 Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for March 4, 2026

"Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for March 4, 2026"

David Grening has the Kentucky Derby news.
www.drf.com/news/kentuck...

04.03.2026 21:10 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I have no insight to offer. But you can access those workouts plenty of places. They’re published on Equibase and DRF.

25.06.2025 02:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Fwiw that’s the rule for any P4 or P5 wager in New York. Off the turf after a sequence has started always results in it being an ALL race.

09.06.2025 04:27 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

They made announcements verbally on the feed. All of the off the turf races were counted as ALL for P5 purposes.

09.06.2025 00:15 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

NYRA.com/timeformus

04.06.2025 17:24 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I only met him a few times. Was always kind, had a good sense of humor. Sad he’s gone.

25.05.2025 23:01 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
2025εΉ΄ γƒ΄γ‚£γ‚―γƒˆγƒͺγ‚’γƒžγ‚€γƒ«οΌˆGβ… οΌ‰ | γ‚’γ‚Ήγ‚³γƒͺγƒ”γƒγ‚§γƒΌγƒŽ | JRA公式
2025εΉ΄ γƒ΄γ‚£γ‚―γƒˆγƒͺγ‚’γƒžγ‚€γƒ«οΌˆGβ… οΌ‰ | γ‚’γ‚Ήγ‚³γƒͺγƒ”γƒγ‚§γƒΌγƒŽ | JRA公式 YouTube video by JRA公式チャンネル

I firmly believe that if Alice Verite had been allowed to use this running style in last year's BC Distaff, the race would have been a lot more competitive.

Here she is nearly wiring last week's G1 Victoria Mile at 97-1. Wild race.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4o4...

24.05.2025 12:57 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Did That Just Happen?! | David & Mike React to the 2025 Preakness & Jounalism's Heroic Victory
Did That Just Happen?! | David & Mike React to the 2025 Preakness & Jounalism's Heroic Victory YouTube video by DailyRacingForm

Mike Beer and I recapped Saturday's Preakness Stakes, talking through the entire replay, discussing the controversial bumping incident, and appreciating Journalism's winning effort. www.youtube.com/watch?v=7wB6...

20.05.2025 22:34 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
🌻 G1 Preakness Stakes PICKS & FULL FIELD ANALYSIS 🌻  | DRF ROTD for May 17, 2025
🌻 G1 Preakness Stakes PICKS & FULL FIELD ANALYSIS 🌻 | DRF ROTD for May 17, 2025 YouTube video by DailyRacingForm

πŸ“Ί Watch the @dailyracingform.bsky.social preview of the 150th Preakness. Mike Beer and I were on track at Pimlico discussing each of the 9 runners in this field. youtu.be/fn9L0nY5hx4?...

15.05.2025 00:38 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Here's some help for Thursday at Aqueduct from @horsetowatch.bsky.social with the Timeform US highlight horse. @thenyra.bsky.social

⬇️⬇️⬇️ #RacingSky πŸ‡
www.drf.com/news/thursda...

08.05.2025 06:25 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

NYRA publishes the odds 2 days out from every card, except Saratoga.

08.05.2025 18:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
G1 Kentucky Derby PICKS & FULL FIELD ANALYSIS | DRF Saturday ROTD | May 3, 2025
G1 Kentucky Derby PICKS & FULL FIELD ANALYSIS | DRF Saturday ROTD | May 3, 2025 YouTube video by DailyRacingForm

🚨 The @dailyracingform.bsky.social Kentucky Derby preview video has dropped.

Mike Beer and I do a deep dive into the race, discussing every runner in the field and making the case for our picks. www.youtube.com/watch?v=BWXD...

29.04.2025 22:44 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks @ Churchill Downs on Friday | DRF ROTD | May 2, 2025
Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks @ Churchill Downs on Friday | DRF ROTD | May 2, 2025 YouTube video by DailyRacingForm

Join Mike Beer and me as we handicap the G1 Kentucky Oaks on Friday at Churchill Downs. Can we beat the heavy favorite Good Cheer? www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xoep...

29.04.2025 00:56 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Here's the latest @dailyracingform.bsky.social Derby Watch Top 20 with my current ML.

Watch Brad Free and I discuss prices on the top contenders, some recent workouts, and history around the Japanese horses. Plus we each give out a longshot we'll be using.
πŸ“½οΈ www.youtube.com/watch?v=N08Y...

23.04.2025 22:06 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

This season's final episode of Derby Watch premieres today at 5 PM ET on the @dailyracingform.bsky.social YouTube.

Come join me in the chat on YT during the premiere to get my thoughts on the Derby for the last time before post positions are drawn this weekend.

23.04.2025 15:48 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ‘€ πŸ‘€ It's a tricky renewal of the G3 Ben Ali Keeneland on Saturday, so here's some help with the horse by horse preview on #DRFTV w/ @horsetowatch.bsky.social & Mike Beer . β€΅οΈβ€΅οΈπŸ‡πŸ‡πŸ’°πŸ’°
youtu.be/e7VhRmSvRFQ?...

19.04.2025 03:34 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I know the trendy narrative out there is that Thorpedo Anna is vulnerable in her own division this year. It's still unclear who out there is ready to issue a challenge, especially after (checks notes) Gin Gin dominated the Doubledogdare.

18.04.2025 21:40 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Baffert works Citizen Bull, Madaket Road Trainer Bob Baffert worked two of his three potential Kentucky Derby starters at Santa Anita Friday morning. Citizen Bull, the 2024 2-year-old champion colt, worked six furlongs in 1:11.80 while Madak...

It's not so clear that we're going to see as much early speed from Citizen Bull. Interesting reporting from @dailyracingform.bsky.social’s Dave Grening today that Baffert is taking blinkers off the 2YO champ in the Derby. ‡️ www.drf.com/news/baffert...

18.04.2025 18:23 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

The tactics for one potential speed in the Derby seem pretty clear.

Read full report from @dailyracingform.bsky.social’s Mary Rampellini ‡️
www.drf.com/news/kentuck...

18.04.2025 18:22 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The first turf race of the year in New York is carded as Race 6 on Wednesday, April 23. Spring is in the air! 🌱

17.04.2025 13:31 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
🚨 Derby Watch Update: Field Taking Shape, Owen Almighty Back in the Mix! 🚨
🚨 Derby Watch Update: Field Taking Shape, Owen Almighty Back in the Mix! 🚨 YouTube video by DailyRacingForm

⏳ A new episode of Derby Watch premieres in 5 minutes on the @dailyracingform.bsky.social YouTube.

I'll be live chatting on YT during the episode. Come join the conversation! www.youtube.com/watch?v=ygMc...

16.04.2025 20:55 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Keeneland Beyers from Saturday:

100 - Choisya (Jenny Wiley)
95 - Discreet Mischief (Alw N2X)
88 - Big Truzz (Maiden)
87 - Gosger (Lexington)

13.04.2025 14:14 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ’°πŸ’°πŸ’°πŸ’° That's a $20.80 winner to close out the Day at Aqueduct for @horsetowatch.bsky.social on what's been another very nice day of handicapping all over from David. #RacingSky πŸ‡

12.04.2025 21:47 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Flood Zone will not run in Kentucky Derby Flood Zone, the winner of the Grade 3 Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct in March who finished seventh in the U.A.E. Derby on April 5, will not run in the Kentucky Derby, according to Case Clay, the U.S. racin...

"Flood Zone will not run in Kentucky Derby "

David Grening has the news. #RacingSky πŸ‡
www.drf.com/news/flood-z...

12.04.2025 03:42 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
🚨 Derby Watch Update: Who’s In, Who’s Out? Will Baeza Make the Cut? 🚨
🚨 Derby Watch Update: Who’s In, Who’s Out? Will Baeza Make the Cut? 🚨 YouTube video by DailyRacingForm

A new episode of Derby Watch is premiering NOW on the @dailyracingform.bsky.social YouTube. We’re recapping final preps and discussing my early ML for the prospective field.

Come watch and chat with me about Derby!
πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
www.youtube.com/watch?v=LpeL...

09.04.2025 21:05 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Unfortunately, 4 horses just leapfrogged Baeza on the Derby leaderboard: Burnham Square (130), East Avenue (60), and River Thames (50), and Render Judgment (39)

08.04.2025 23:02 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0