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Geoff Allen

@gallen89

Political scientist; electoral systems, party politics, representation Phoenix Suns fan https://geoff-allen.weebly.com/notes-on-moment

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Latest posts by Geoff Allen @gallen89

The rules around passing on campaign funds are esoteric. Always hard to explain that stuff to people and not have their eyes glaze over.

09.03.2026 01:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

That's one of the best numbers I've seen for Trump among Hispanic voters. That being said, I think both of the last two polls were among Hispanic youth voters, so those would be skewed a bit.

08.03.2026 18:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I do a little bit. Retention rates at lower placed schools are, at least to my knowledge, just as bad as R1/R2 programs. Being willing to gamble a little more might be to our advantage. Because, at least at the small state schools, admin is still asking us to try to get external grants.

08.03.2026 18:01 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Many M1/M2/M3 seem to have an in built distrust of hiring folks who do notable research in fear of being stepping stone destinations.

08.03.2026 05:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 9 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Jalen Green is gonna tear it up in China after this contract.

07.03.2026 02:25 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

If they deploy troops and the worst we end up with is Bay of Pigs or Mogadishu, we'll have gotten off lightly.

07.03.2026 00:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

There are several characters killed in the Chinese classic Romance of the Three Kingdoms for, in essence, being Chotiners

06.03.2026 19:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Agree with everything you've said. But also, in slight ray of hope - young people are beginning relationships increasingly late in life. I believe at least some of this improves as young men find themselves in relationships with women who ABSOLUTELY won't stand for these things.

06.03.2026 17:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I'm not even saying don't play him. But I just don't see why we're playing him when he's playing terrible on both sides of the ball, late in the game. I'd have rather seen Fleming/Dunn for more defense, or just played hyper small with 4 shooters around Booker.

06.03.2026 04:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

God I hope not. If that's the case I want to see it leaked immediately.

06.03.2026 04:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I would prefer we not commit ourselves to 35 minutes of Jalen Green even when he's playing like garbage.

06.03.2026 04:34 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Jalen Green is 3 more terrible games away from entirely turning this season around for the Suns (negative).

06.03.2026 04:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

You could accomplish that goal (deciding elections in Nov rather than June) with a single round of ranked choice voting in November, w/out the potential for strategic coordination failure like we're seeing in California right now. Reps have never been weaker, but have a realistic shot of winning.

06.03.2026 00:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

At that point just do one election with RCV. No need for two rounds.

06.03.2026 00:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 10 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Maybe they'd finally get rid of the top-2 primary. Terrible system.

06.03.2026 00:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

On the short list, believe it or not: Corey Lewandowski. /s

05.03.2026 17:57 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Number 1 election reform proposal in my book.

05.03.2026 01:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

In class this week we discussed how the internal institutional dynamics of the regime in Iran are such that decapitation strikes are just staggeringly unlikely to actually topple the regime. It wasn't a hard argument for them - and that was a gen-ed group, pretty modal voter types.

05.03.2026 00:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Accurate description of her politics, too.

05.03.2026 00:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The Utah state legislature is a poor steward of public finances. Several programs are being cut this year, more are on the docket for cuts in the coming year, and several were cut last year. But we've got the budget for approximately $500 million cumulatively in annual tax cuts over recent years.

04.03.2026 23:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Frankly, I don't see any way it is actually that low. Unless the US portion of activity is far lesser than we have been led to believe.

04.03.2026 22:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

A good chunk of this is a rally around the flag effect, and those are historically not very stable. Some potentially good news at least.

04.03.2026 22:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
a cartoon of a man says " and i for one welcome our new insect overlords " Alt: a cartoon of a man says " and i for one welcome our new insect overlords "
04.03.2026 21:57 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
What do the impact metrics say about the Suns? When you dig past percentages and highlights, impact metrics tell a very different story about the Suns.

What do the impact metrics say about the Suns? www.brightsideofthesun.com/suns-analysi...

04.03.2026 21:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

They're not the best organized group.

04.03.2026 21:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

To hear them talk about it, they seem to think it's a bigger threat to qual.

04.03.2026 18:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Yeah. I know what you mean. In my experience, AI is bringing them back out of the woodworking.

04.03.2026 17:12 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Perestroika will never end.

04.03.2026 17:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Exactly. Growing up in AZ and living in California, you just get daily exposure to it in ways you rarely do with other languages. That is what killed my Russian skills - just absolutely no real way to practice.

04.03.2026 06:34 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I was a Russian major in undergraduate, so I feel her pain. But I find myself more in your boat nowadays - my Russian is worse than my Spanish again.

04.03.2026 06:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0