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John Rosevear

@jrosevear

Thoughts and words on the future of autos (and lately, the state of things). Alum of CNBC, Fidelity, Cornell. Opinions mine, but they can be yours too. E pluribus unum πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ. He/him.

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Latest posts by John Rosevear @jrosevear

I have no interest in this kind of argument until/unless we know what the launch pricing will be.

06.03.2026 15:45 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Counterpoint -- Rivian is actually doing something a little different and special with its products. There's real demand for it. The question is how far will that demand soften if pricing comes in high and/or if the US economy slides.

06.03.2026 15:35 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

I'm sure this is fine, nothing to see here.

06.03.2026 14:48 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Me using my new Eureka Mignon Zero 65: Man this grinder is fantastic.

Me cleaning my new Eureka Mignon Zero 65: Good thing I have a huge toolbox and experience with Italian exotic cars.

06.03.2026 14:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Damn. That really is a superb color.

06.03.2026 14:14 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

"Return of submarine war" = the first torpedo attack by a US sub in almost 81 years. Long time.

06.03.2026 14:13 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I could get behind the idea of a well done roof removal. The 'Cuda stuff is just ick.

06.03.2026 14:05 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Remember they can turn up that Ferrari engine too. Not sure how much it'll do for their chassis, but we'll see.

06.03.2026 13:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Yep. And flying mirrors aside, nobody seriously thinks the cars will be hazards on track. They're fast ENOUGH, and Checo and Bottas are steady veterans.

06.03.2026 13:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And the slow isn't really SLOW -- they don't seem to be in danger of the 107% rule. If both cars qualify and both finish the grand prix, they can declare this first race weekend a total success.

06.03.2026 13:57 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

100% agree

06.03.2026 13:42 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is the correct answer, sadly!

06.03.2026 13:42 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And, like, the Cadillac is kinda slow but it seems fine?

06.03.2026 13:41 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Good news: can be reasonably sure BLS numbers aren’t being manipulated.

06.03.2026 13:39 πŸ‘ 47 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

If those recession questions get any louder, US auto sales will be feeling it quickly.

06.03.2026 13:39 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The economic story just changed dramatically.

Payrolls fell -92k in Feb. Jan growth was revised down by -4k to +126k. And Dec revisions subtracted -64k to -17k.

Unemployment rate up a tick to 4.4%.

Recession questions are back on the menu

06.03.2026 13:32 πŸ‘ 1564 πŸ” 632 πŸ’¬ 94 πŸ“Œ 56

(My own take is that it appears to be a great product and should sell well -- IF pricing is kept under control.)

06.03.2026 13:36 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

A lot of people have been waiting for the R2 -- I'm sure they have a deep reservation list and it should convert well as long as the initial pricing isn't insane.

The question is what happens after those early orders are filled.

06.03.2026 13:19 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
A chart that shows how long it took some of the most popular EVs in the US to reach 20,000 units sold. Tesla's model Y did it in about 4 months. Rivian is planning to do it with the R2 in about 6.

The full list:

Ford Mustang Mach-E	8
Ford F-150 Lightning	10
Chevy Equinox EV	8
Chevy Blazer EV	16
Tesla Model 3	11
Kia EV6 	11
Hyundai Ioniq 5 	10
VW ID 4	13
Rivian R2 (Projected)	6
Tesla Model Y	4
Kia EV9	10
Honda Prologue	6
Original Chevy Bolt	11

A chart that shows how long it took some of the most popular EVs in the US to reach 20,000 units sold. Tesla's model Y did it in about 4 months. Rivian is planning to do it with the R2 in about 6. The full list: Ford Mustang Mach-E 8 Ford F-150 Lightning 10 Chevy Equinox EV 8 Chevy Blazer EV 16 Tesla Model 3 11 Kia EV6 11 Hyundai Ioniq 5 10 VW ID 4 13 Rivian R2 (Projected) 6 Tesla Model Y 4 Kia EV9 10 Honda Prologue 6 Original Chevy Bolt 11

NEW from me: Rivian said it plans to deliver between 20,000 and 25,000 R2 SUVs this year.

With sales expected to start in June, it'd be the 2nd-fastest EV launch in US history, behind Tesla's uber-successful Model Y and matching the heavily incentivized Prologue.


techcrunch.com/2026/03/05/r...

05.03.2026 13:19 πŸ‘ 88 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 6

The West Village is kind of its own reality.

06.03.2026 13:05 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It isn't just the white supremacy and trans hate and etc (though that's hugely important). The stores are also cluttered messes now with iffy inventories and a lot of products cut from the shelves. Mismanagement shows in a lot of ways.

06.03.2026 13:01 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And the Israelis are messing that up with all the assassinations, because their plan is chaos. Whee.

02.03.2026 15:37 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I've spent most of my life in or near walkable northeast US cities. Professionally (as an auto-industry analyst) it's something I'm well aware of, but on a personal level it's kind of surreal to travel and be reminded that most of the US isn't like that.

02.03.2026 15:25 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

So what? People who have to dress for work get to have decent clothes. Find something else to get mad about.

02.03.2026 15:23 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0
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02.03.2026 14:42 πŸ‘ 1434 πŸ” 408 πŸ’¬ 32 πŸ“Œ 50

I had forgotten about those buttons. Doing the same now. Thank you for reminding us all.

02.03.2026 15:17 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Obviously.

02.03.2026 14:13 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Weird!

02.03.2026 13:38 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It's always a good sign when the military doesn't want to fight the politicians' war.

02.03.2026 13:30 πŸ‘ 141 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

No serious news org should be using that name, unless they're quoting Hegseth et al.

02.03.2026 13:06 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0