Apparently it helps with future speech, and lots of other things
@cannoncloud
Development econ PhD Student at Goethe Universität Frankfurt and WZB. Doing research at the corner of development, transport and remote sensing. https://cannoncloud.github.io/ You can find he/him knitting silly hats or riding funny bikes.
Apparently it helps with future speech, and lots of other things
You subtweeting yourself?
bsky.app/profile/cann...
Easy key points, 32=0, 10 = 50, 16 = 61, 20 = 68, 28 = 82, 35 = 95, 40 = 104, linearly extrapolate the rest
I don't know why it's so complicated to see that the procedure, not the parameter, introduces the probability. It's either in or is't in. But that being said, its not clear to me that the statement "theres a 95% chance its in the CI" isn't describing the uncertainty from the procedure.
The degree difficulty varies across locations or even just crags within a location can also be quite dramatic. Be careful moving from gym to outdoors and finding out a 5.7 is really a 5.10d or something.
No no, maybe dozens.
What are the last two categories? I don't know those definitions.
Theres mother mouth, mother pipe, mother bands
I find this counter intuitive. Any problem set i ever had or have given has asked about the direction of bias, and attenuation bias is the one most often invoked for conservative inference.
No no, they wil ask if you did this sensitivity now. bsky.app/profile/stab...
It was a very small touch screen they were polled with
Where results no longer are significant I think. Sounds like partial identification to me, kinda like Honest pre-trends sensitivity test
Beat me to it
Fun to follow but why are you doing this though?
@beenwrekt.bsky.social seems relevant for your pre p value nutrition series.
I still imagine the SCC should be much higher, but for lots of other reasons.
I don't really get the identifying variation, or generally how their estimated impacts on lagged weather effects (their central mechanism) don't line up with what climate models show.
Anti-fascism should have broad support across the American political spectrum. Elections need to be defended. Here's an open letter from retired professors at HBS in which we call for business leaders to address that need.
#econsky #academicsky
marketdesigner.blogspot.com/2026/02/an-a...
what field are we talking about with "systems problems", computer systems?
I should have plugged my paper where we found e-scooter roll-outs led to an 8% increase in accidents. Talk about a plausibly large estimate! www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
@davidzipper.bsky.social Do you know what did cause an 8% increase in traffic accidents upon release with a more plausible mechanism? E-scooters! www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Managing listening to a new album is the same amount of effort as managing listening to any other playlist on Spotify. "At the same time, while managing music in the car is an activity drivers perceive as less risky in surveys..." Is all they argue for the mechanism in the intro.
Hey we can still have causality without correlation
Maybe im old fashioned, but i just have my car stream the music, which requires no more screen time than listening to the radio.
I am confused, this is about smart phones, but who stares at thier phone to listen to am album?
Might lose you more time in the end than the extra snow days. But you get to be mayor so 🤷
📢 Are you a PhD students working on Development Economics? Come to Berlin to present your paper at the 11th DENeB PhD workshop. Apply here drive.google.com/file/d/1HQCK... by *Feb 27th*
No fee. Please share this call. Previous editions & all DENeB activities here: www.deveconberlin.org
@andreamatranga.bsky.social if you need google earth engine or some DiD help let me know. Otherwise I'm pretty useless.
Well im always interested to hear your thoughts