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Daniel Kovarek

@kovarek

postdoc at EUI, PhD from CEU ■ representation, distributive politics, local ties, bureaucracy ■ usually on a bike, a night train, or al banco

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25.09.2023
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Latest posts by Daniel Kovarek @kovarek

Line chart with four coloured lines, with add symbols and direct labels for accessibility.

Line chart with four coloured lines, with add symbols and direct labels for accessibility.

A new, work-in-progress #RStats package which

📊 Tries to automatically choose the best chart type from data types and values
🎨 Uses accessible colours, with added labels and shapes
📈 Has cleaner, more readable default #ggplot2 styling

in just one line

ggauto(df$v1, df$v2, df$v3)

#DataViz

06.03.2026 21:06 👍 42 🔁 8 💬 2 📌 1
Flag of University of Gothenburg, hanging from the wall of the Department of Political Science building. Added text: We're Hiring! Postdoctoral Research Fellowship in Cross-National Survey Methodology in Political Science. Combined position at V-Dem Institute and Governance and Local Development Institute.

Flag of University of Gothenburg, hanging from the wall of the Department of Political Science building. Added text: We're Hiring! Postdoctoral Research Fellowship in Cross-National Survey Methodology in Political Science. Combined position at V-Dem Institute and Governance and Local Development Institute.

📢 We are hiring: Combined Postdoc position at V-Dem Institute and GLD!
Applications are open for a Postdoctoral Research Fellowship in Cross-National Survey Methodology in Political Science.

Application: web103.reachmee.com/ext/I005/103...

🧵1(4)
#Polisky #PoliSciSky #PoliticalScienceJobs #PostDoc

05.03.2026 11:14 👍 6 🔁 19 💬 1 📌 0
Academia's Class Problem: First-Generation Scholars in Political Science Political scientists devote a massive amount of attention to socioeconomic background of political actors and descriptive representation in political institutio

Paper w/ @carogarriga.bsky.social: Academia’s Class Problem. PoliSci is dominated by the upper middle class / people with parents who went to university – unlike society as a whole.
dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

05.03.2026 15:06 👍 22 🔁 14 💬 1 📌 1

this is such a great event every year, apply & present your research on CEE in sunny Tuscan villas in late June, right after @ces-europe.bsky.social and @epssnet.bsky.social !! 🌞🏰

04.03.2026 22:17 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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📣 Publication day! The first paper from my project on Europe’s EV battery roll-out is finally out

I unpack how the EU’s EV battery boom is entangled with sacrifice zones—investment in Serbia & Hungary de-risked through autocracy.
www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandg...

04.03.2026 15:30 👍 39 🔁 13 💬 3 📌 3
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📢 Call for papers!

We are organizing the 6th Early Career Workshop in Quantitative Political Economy on 14-15 May 2026 at King’s College London!

Keynote: Shanker Satyanath (NYU)

No fee, travel grants might become available!

Submit at: tinyurl.com/qpe2026

13.02.2026 12:42 👍 24 🔁 24 💬 1 📌 6
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Disinformation as repression signaling: the cost of dissent in Russia Despite growing research on transnational digital repression (TDR), the role of disinformation in targeting extraterritorial populations remains underconceptualized. This article addresses this gap...

1/ So happy that my article “Disinformation as repression signaling: the cost of dissent in Russia” is out in @ersjournal.com! I show how autocrats use disinformation as part of the transnational digital repression toolkit to signal their capacity to repress.

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

02.03.2026 12:42 👍 10 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0

yay! happy to see another great pub out by the ✨ A-Team ✨

27.02.2026 19:07 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Does ideology trump geography? Political divides and MEP responses to democratic backsliding | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core Does ideology trump geography? Political divides and MEP responses to democratic backsliding

It’s ideology, not geography 🗺️

New research by Natasha Wunsch of @ecprsgeu.bsky.social & @mihailchiru.bsky.social show conflicts over democratic backsliding in the EP are driven more by ideology (pro-EU vs Eurosceptic) than by a simple East–West split

27.02.2026 15:05 👍 5 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
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Two-year Postdoctoral Research Position in Economics | INOMICS The Department of Economics and Management at the University of Padua invites expressions of interest from outstanding young scholars for a two-year, research-oriented postdoctoral position in Economi...

Very attractive postdoc opportunity at the University of Padua. While the position is advertised as Econ, the group has strong interests in political economy and would consider seriously quant polisci students.

inomics.com/job/two-year...

26.02.2026 20:05 👍 5 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 0
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En Hongrie, l'élection se gagne au village par Ambre Bruneteau & Corentin Léotard (janvier 2026)

excellent roundup of the chances & challenges facing the main opposition #TISZA party ahead of the upcoming 🇭🇺 #Hungarian elections via @monde-diplomatique.fr, also featuring some of my comments on grassroots organizing & strategic position blurring regarding #LGBTQ rights and 🇺🇦 #Ukraine

25.02.2026 10:35 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Curious about "Make Illiberalism Great Again - How the Orbán Government is Forging Transnational Alliances"? Join us for the event organized by @sudosteuropa.bsky.social and me on 27 February, 3 p.m. online 👉https://www.sogde.org/de/events/symposion-2026/

23.02.2026 05:54 👍 8 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0
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Come work with me! Two postdoc positions open in @erc.europa.eu project PROTECT, examining how local change shapes public support for protectionist policies in areas like trade and finance. @stockholmuni.bsky.social
su.varbi.com/en/what:job/...
su.varbi.com/en/what:job/...
#polisky #academicsky

17.02.2026 09:03 👍 28 🔁 23 💬 0 📌 1
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Double Glass Ceiling Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Double Glass Ceiling

📣📣📣And, just this morning I learned that @yesolakweon.bsky.social & @jeonghyunkim.bsky.social is available for free download too!! Be sure to get your cooy in the next 2 weeks 🎉📚🦉 www.cambridge.org/core/element...

11.02.2026 17:06 👍 12 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 2

This. I wrote all my R&Rs over the past couple of years between Firenze SMN and Wien Hbf. I guess having no one telling me to stow my laptop for half the journey, hardly any Wi-Fi, and views like this really helps.

16.02.2026 22:40 👍 7 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

Publication alert ❗📘👀
New open access article on autocratization and democratic survival on @ejprjournal.bsky.social together with the brilliant Guido Panzano (Kiel): what configuration of resistance actions account for democratic survival during autocratization? www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

09.02.2026 12:14 👍 9 🔁 3 💬 2 📌 1
It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

11.02.2026 17:00 👍 642 🔁 223 💬 30 📌 51
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come to Vienna & join me for a beginner-friendly, gentle intro to R
@methodsnet.bsky.social @weareceu.bsky.social in the last week of June! 📊👩‍💻

✍️ Sign up here: methodsnet.org/course/d07-i...

09.02.2026 13:14 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Several very handy things in here.

05.02.2026 00:58 👍 22 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
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Offene Stellen / Open Positions

🚨Job alert 🚨

I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026.

If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026.

📤 Please share widely!

www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...

31.01.2026 21:26 👍 54 🔁 70 💬 2 📌 2

‼️If you are an early career researcher interested in CPE and related field and focus on Eastern Europe, the great team around @dorobohle.bsky.social at the Department of Political Science @univie.ac.at is looking for a postdoc 📣 Deadline 27.02. 📯Details here👇 jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...

28.01.2026 15:30 👍 7 🔁 8 💬 0 📌 2
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Workshop on LLMs and Access to Political Information May 12, 2026 | University College Dublin Hosted by ParliView We invite submissions for a one-day in-person workshop on building and studying AI… ... Workshop on LLMs and Access to Political Information May 12, 2026 | University College Dublin Hosted by ParliView We invite submissions for a one-day in-person workshop on building and studying AI s...

Are you doing work on LLMs or conversational AI? Do you study questions related to political information and/or transparency? If so, please consider applying to this workshop, hosted by our lovely @parliview.bsky.social team members over @ucddublin.bsky.social. More info here - tinyurl.com/yc6m4mfk

27.01.2026 16:13 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

our study w/ @ztruchlewski.bsky.social and @joeganderson.bsky.social using survey data by the wonderful @eui-eu.bsky.social ❤️ @yougov.co.uk collab is out in JCMS! 🤗

24.01.2026 22:14 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
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Postdoctoral Position at the Cluster of Excellence “The Politics of Inequality” Deadline: 20 February 2026, 12:00 pm CET

🚨 Postdoctoral Position at the University of Konstanz 🚨

We’re hiring a post-doc for our @excinequality.bsky.social project on political elites and decision-making.

4-year position | Deadline: Feb. 20 | Start: Sept 2026

Please share widely 🙏

The ad is here stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/f...

23.01.2026 12:44 👍 51 🔁 54 💬 0 📌 1
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📢CfP: The Cultural Evolution of Migration and Diversity conference @wzb.bsky.social

We want to bring together cultural evolution scholars & social
scientists to explore how evolutionary perspectives can contribute to empirical research on migration & diversity.

Keynote by @michael.muthukrishna.com

22.01.2026 17:05 👍 8 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0
Markets and Mobility: How Employers Structure Economic Opportunity

Markets and Mobility: How Employers Structure Economic Opportunity

Intergenerational mobility, measuring the ability to achieve economic success regardless of family background, is a critical reflection of a society’s commitment to equality of opportunity. Rising income inequality has raised concerns about the potential erosion of upward mobility. While education has traditionally been viewed as the path to mobility, its transformative power is facing challenges in a rapidly evolving job market. This project reorients the focus of intergenerational mobility research by highlighting the labor market as an arena for the reproduction of advantage. It employs a comparative approach, using administrative data from four countries: Sweden, Austria, England, and the United States. It also incorporates evidence from a broader set of nations through cross-national surveys, longitudinal household surveys, labor force surveys, secondary data, and digital trace data. The project employs cutting-edge empirical methods, including quasi- experimental designs, event studies, within-family comparisons, decomposition analyses, counterfactual simulations, and diagnostic checks to rigorously assess the extent of inequalities in the labor market. The research investigates how family background influences the sorting of individuals to employers and workplaces, accounting for education and occupation, and explores variations in career progression within and between employers. It comprehensively catalogues and assesses mechanisms shaping workplace inequality, contributing to the development of social closure theory. Additionally, the project evaluates intervention strategies, encompassing both employer practices and government actions, to promote fair opportunity in the labor market.

Intergenerational mobility, measuring the ability to achieve economic success regardless of family background, is a critical reflection of a society’s commitment to equality of opportunity. Rising income inequality has raised concerns about the potential erosion of upward mobility. While education has traditionally been viewed as the path to mobility, its transformative power is facing challenges in a rapidly evolving job market. This project reorients the focus of intergenerational mobility research by highlighting the labor market as an arena for the reproduction of advantage. It employs a comparative approach, using administrative data from four countries: Sweden, Austria, England, and the United States. It also incorporates evidence from a broader set of nations through cross-national surveys, longitudinal household surveys, labor force surveys, secondary data, and digital trace data. The project employs cutting-edge empirical methods, including quasi- experimental designs, event studies, within-family comparisons, decomposition analyses, counterfactual simulations, and diagnostic checks to rigorously assess the extent of inequalities in the labor market. The research investigates how family background influences the sorting of individuals to employers and workplaces, accounting for education and occupation, and explores variations in career progression within and between employers. It comprehensively catalogues and assesses mechanisms shaping workplace inequality, contributing to the development of social closure theory. Additionally, the project evaluates intervention strategies, encompassing both employer practices and government actions, to promote fair opportunity in the labor market.

JOB! I'm hiring a postdoc for 2 years on my ERC MaMo project.

Looking for someone with strong quant methods, ongoing work close to the project's aims, and a desire to publish in sociology. Start flexible in the next 12 months.

Formal call out shortly, but contact me first.

21.01.2026 12:32 👍 101 🔁 109 💬 0 📌 6
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📣 Call for Papers:
🗓️ 23-24 April 2026 at LSE

Submit full papers: forms.office.com/e/9qVWeNTK0p

Please share with colleagues & early-career researchers!

20.01.2026 12:31 👍 33 🔁 34 💬 0 📌 2
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We’re organizing a workshop at Aarhus University. Please share and consider submitting!

🗓️ 13–14 April 2026 | 📝 Deadline: Mon, 16 Feb 2026 (extended abstract) — junior scholars prioritized

🎤 Keynotes: @stefwalter.bsky.social (Univ. of Zurich) & @hhuang.bsky.social (Ohio State)

15.01.2026 13:51 👍 42 🔁 30 💬 0 📌 3
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🚀 Registration is OPEN for #MethodsNET2026 Summer School with CEU!

3 weeks of expert-led training in the heart of Europe & Online.

✅ ECTS Credits
✅ Expert Faculty
📉 Early Bird until Feb 25.

Register now: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

#AcademicSky #Methodology #Research

14.01.2026 08:12 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 1

It’s kind of wild that timeline wise, we are probably closer to France using its nuclear deterrent to protect European countries against the United States than we are to France using its nuclear deterrent to protect European countries against Russia

14.01.2026 23:03 👍 49 🔁 8 💬 1 📌 2