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Kai Xue

@kaixue98

Perception, metacognition, decision making, and confidence modeling.

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27.11.2024
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Latest posts by Kai Xue @kaixue98

Importantly, ANNs trained on the same task showed folded-X patterns for both manipulations โ€” suggesting the human double-increase pattern reflects metacognitive mechanisms beyond the statistical structure of the task. 4/4

25.02.2026 00:33 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Across 2 experiments (Gabor patches + dot motion), we found a clean dissociation: boundary distance โ†’ folded-X pattern (confidence up for correct, down for errors); stimulus reliability โ†’ double-increase pattern (confidence up for both correct and errors). 3/4

25.02.2026 00:33 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Two ways to manipulate task difficulty: (1) stimulus reliability (changing contrast/coherence to make the stimulus itself unclear); (2) boundary distance change tilt offset (keeping the stimulus clear but harder to categorize). 2/4

25.02.2026 00:33 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Stimulus reliability but not boundary distance manipulations violate the folded-X pattern of confidence The folded-X pattern has been identified as a critical signature of confidence: as conditions become easier, confidence increases for correct trials bโ€ฆ

Our new paper is out in Cognition! What determines whether confidence follows the classic "folded-X" pattern vs. the "double-increase" pattern? The answer lies in the type of stimulus manipulation. Big thanks to my advisor Doby @dobyrahnev.bsky.social and co-first author @herrickfung.bsky.social !

25.02.2026 00:33 ๐Ÿ‘ 21 ๐Ÿ” 7 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Importantly, ANNs trained on the same task showed folded-X patterns for both manipulations โ€” suggesting the human double-increase pattern reflects metacognitive mechanisms beyond the statistical structure of the task. 4/4

25.02.2026 00:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Across 2 experiments (Gabor patches + dot motion), we found a clean dissociation: boundary distance โ†’ folded-X pattern (confidence up for correct, down for errors); stimulus reliability โ†’ double-increase pattern (confidence up for BOTH correct and errors). 3/4

25.02.2026 00:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Two ways to manipulate task difficulty: (1) stimulus reliability (changing contrast/coherence to make the stimulus itself unclear); (2) boundary distance change tilt offset (keeping the stimulus clear but harder to categorize). 2/4

25.02.2026 00:28 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Huge thanks to Medha Shekhar, @kaixue98.bsky.social, @manurausch.bsky.social, & @dobyrahnev.bsky.social for their guidance and collaboration on this project.

Full article: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Data and code: github.com/herrickfung/...

n/n

12.10.2025 16:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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A comprehensive assessment of current methods for measuring metacognition - Nature Communications Measuring metacognitive ability is one of the enduring challenges in cognitive science. The current paper develops formal tests of the quality of different measures and assesses how current metrics pe...

My article "A comprehensive assessment of current methods for measuring metacognition" is finally out in Nature Communications ๐ŸŽ‰ If you work on metacognition and think you know the psychometric properties of your favorite measure, you may be surprised.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

16.01.2025 20:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 122 ๐Ÿ” 50 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Great to see our research, led by @johannakuci.bsky.social, covered in The Transmitter. One of the more surprising findings to have come out of the lab.

30.04.2025 16:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 12 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
PNAS Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...

"We found that, when informed about task difficulty, humans barely shift their confidence criteria." Awesome new work by Xue, Shekhar and @dobyrahnev.bsky.social questioning the Bayesian confidence hypothesis in perception: www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1...

25.11.2024 21:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 48 ๐Ÿ” 10 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1