Conditionally accepted at the APSR (w/ @scottclifford.bsky.social & @patrickpliu.bsky.social):
Why does political information so often change beliefs but NOT attitudes? We highlight the role of belief relevance, or the extent to which beliefs bear on attitudes.
Just finished reading the superb book "The Making of International Status" by @mduque.bsky.social and wrote a short note for @jpeaceresearch.bsky.social about it here: www.prio.org/journals/jpr...
Excellent piece of work! By far my favorite IR book so far (although it's far more than IR...) 🙂
Fascinating new paper by and @elena-amaya.bsky.social and Robert Braun on the role of folklore in shaping far-right support in Weimar Germany: journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10....
Wish I were there 🙂
Congrats! It’s one of the best research ideas I’ve seen for a while
Russia, Venezuela, Iran, China, the Sahel region, the United States ...
Want to know why state agents carry out brutal repression — or participate in illegal coups?
Our new book "Making a Career in Dictatorship" provides answers — it just got published by @academic.oup.com:
tinyurl.com/ystwm3tf
Exciting project joint with @cubel.bsky.social and Mariele Macaluso.
A new publication at www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
We find that religious markers (esp. beards) can reduce perceived trustworthiness in Turkey.
(That's why you often see me clean shaven ;-)
Shame on someone else who didn’t recognise the potential of this result 🙂
Recently accepted by #QJE: “Insuring peace: Index-based livestock insurance, droughts, and conflict,” by Gehring (@kaigehring.bsky.social) and Schaudt (@paulschaudt.bskz.social): doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
Nohavica
Nerdy note: Safety here doesn’t depend on trends but on levels. So technically *improving* security doesn’t equal that a place is secure, but that it’s *more* secure or safer.
Using surnames, we show that colonial-era hierarchies continue to shape access to Colombia’s best schools and elite social networks, limiting intergenerational mobility through both education and marriage.
Read today's article to learn more:
New OA In ESR
How do institutions and social norms affect tax payment?
@lucaspasin.bsky.social #Aaszekely @squazzoni.bsky.social find that in low-quality institutions contexts, social norms can trigger vicious cycles of evasion, even when evasion is socially disapproved
doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf057
1/ 🎙️ New episode of Policy Implications!
I talk with @plvezina.bsky.social about Ukrainian refugees in Poland who aren’t just workers, but entrepreneurs creating new businesses and even boosting Polish firm creation.
This season is supported by @econ4ua.bsky.social and Kozminski University 💛💙
🚨Free book alert (for 2 weeks)!
In her new CUP Element, @caglayanbaser.bsky.social shows that rebel groups with♀️combatants are seen as more gender-equal, democratic and morally legitimate, even when they perpetrate violence. This increases public support for government sponsorship of rebel groups!
Awesome work! Just connecting to this related piece: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
How could they give it to her in the first place…
can't wait to dig into the data with @tommasopavone.bsky.social. This is probably one of the largest survey experiments ever run in Slovakia, a country you will not find analysed in the big journals very often
Happy to see my article with @joostvanspanje.bsky.social on the short-term political consequences of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy announcement published in @psrm.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
There is growing interest in HPE about social conflict in the run-up to the French Revolution.
In a new article at Data & Corpus, I describe the Jean Nicolas Database, a database of 8,516 rebellions in France (1661-1789)
👉Article: doi.org/10.46298/dc....
👉Database: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
🧵1/6
🚨NEW WORKING PAPER🚨 Why are many Latino immigrants *not* naturalizing, learning English, and participating in American politics? We provide new theory and evidence across 3 surveys and an instrumental variables approach to show how migration motives shape immigrant integration. tinyurl.com/3expvu8e
I wanted to go to library recently as well. But I realized that all new books I wanted to read are only available online via our library… so still waiting for the first visit in KCL library 🙂
Can Large Multimodal Models (LMMs) extract features of urban neighborhoods from street-view images?
New with Paige Bollen (OSU) and @joehigton.bsky.social (NYU): Sometimes, but the models better recover national assessments that local ones, even w/additional prompting (which can make things worse!)
Carl is a fantastic researcher & knowing him well as a colleague, he will be an amazing mentor. Plus those look like very good postdoc positions. Please apply.
I want to read it 🙂
Congrats! 🥳
We got a new paper out on Ukrainian #refugee entrepreneurs in Poland, with Cevat Giray Aksoy and Piotr Lewandowski. Check it out here: cevatgirayaksoy.com/wp-content/u... and see below for a THREAD!!! 👇 #EconTwitter
Difficult to grasp how the crisis of UK universites - largely caused by bad policy and bad management - is not treated as a massive national problem that requires government involvement to help solve the issue. Product of a discourse in which parties don‘t want to be seen as appealing to graduates?
