Itβs ideology, not geography πΊοΈ
New research by Natasha Wunsch of @ecprsgeu.bsky.social & @mihailchiru.bsky.social show conflicts over democratic backsliding in the EP are driven more by ideology (pro-EU vs Eurosceptic) than by a simple EastβWest split
Come and join us at the CEE - Centre d'Γ©tudes europΓ©ennes et de politique comparΓ©e: we are looking for a new assistant professor in political science working on ecological transitions.
www.sciencespo.fr/centre-etude...
#JOB: Associate Professor in International Relations of Russia, Eastern Europe and Eurasia. Great opportunity
@osgaoxford.bsky.social & St Antony's College.
Open to all subfields of International Relations, but expertise in
FP of former Soviet & EE states desirable
my.corehr.com/pls/uoxrecru...
As far as the Anglo consensus is concerned, Spain's assertive centre-left government has done everything wrong: Keynesian, redistributive, socially open, net-zero-friendly, multilateralist, Trump-sceptical.
Yet the governing PSOE just hit 33% in latest CIS poll, above even its 2023 election win.
Happy to share that today is my first day as Associate Professor in Central and Eastern European Politics @politicsoxford.bsky.social & @osgaoxford.bsky.socialβ¬. It has been a long journey & I am grateful to all the people who helped me, especially to my brilliant collaborators & generous mentors
βοΈ Poland has a new president, but democratic backsliding and rule of law concerns remain.
β For anyone wanting to learn more about democratic backsliding or planning their course syllabi on the topic, look no further! Discover our JEPP collection on how the EU responds to democratic backsliding π
π’APPLY NOW!: DPIR seeks a Departmental Lecturer in Comparative European Politics to provide teaching and supervision at the undergraduate and graduate level and contribute to the Departmental examining and graduate admissions processes.ποΈ CLOSES: 12pm, 5 Aug: ow.ly/brXi50WpZav
"Five months into its unprecedented dismantling of foreign-aid programs, the Trump administration has given the order to incinerate food instead of sending it to people who need it"
@hana-kiros.bsky.social, on spending $130,000 to burn food worth $800,000
www.theatlantic.com/health/archi...
Extremely disappointing. Here's a breakdown of the vote.
First the EC showed hesitation by postponing the presentation of the 2040 target. Then Macron decided to openly attack it. Now PfE are aiming to kill it. The 2040 target has become, a political target not a technical one anymore. @delorsinstitute.bsky.social
Elon Musk casually, and illegally, dismantled USAID. According to a new study in the Lancet, that action will lead to *14 million* premature deaths between 2025 and 2030.
Again: Elon Musk is directly responsible for 14 million coming deaths. 4.5 million will be children.
I just voted against proscribing Palestine Action, a civil disobedience group, as a terrorist organisation. But I'm furious that in doing so, the government forced me and others to vote against proscribing two other clearly terrorist groups. Cynical and dangerous from govt.
DPIRβs 25th anniversary: Read our 25 in 25 Collection - celebrating staff, students, alumni, and the impact of our world-leading research.
Meet @ktertytchnaya.bsky.social⬠- Associate Professor in Comparative Politics: www.politics.ox.ac.u...
π’ 100 days are up for @vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu! What took years to build can be dismantled in mere months... Here's our take on the Commission's risky bet on deregulation.
From the @brusselstimes.com β¬οΈ
www.brusselstimes.com/opinion/1481...
πππ Super excited that our paper -- on how changing public attitudes on gender equality don't seem to affect parties' candidate selection strategies -- with the amazing @ThomasDΓ€ubler and @mihailchiru.bsky.social is now accessible OnlineFirst at the EUP: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Yes, those are good proxies. It will depend on the turnout and of how much wasted votes get redistributed. Here a prediction from a decent sociologist, though there have only been two opinion polls published this week and the quality of polls is low: tinyurl.com/mr268748 tinyurl.com/r5yssaj3
I mostly agree and it will be sad and frustrating if none of them makes it into Parliament, but SENS are arguing that their potential voters would have stayed home if they accepted to join a coalition with a (economically) more right wing party...
Maybe of interest @ralucahippie.bsky.social @timhaughton.bsky.social @benstanley.pl @lenkabustikova.bsky.social @isadesisto.bsky.social @dimitarbechev.bsky.social @zsolt.bsky.social @jrovny.bsky.social @petraguasti.bsky.social @allansikk.bsky.social @medzihorsky.bsky.social
You can read here a somewhat longer explanation I wrote for Oxford Analytica regarding the outcome of the first round of the presidential elections and its implications for Romanian politics: tinyurl.com/ya4kj6v8
Given the recent backlash against grand coalitions and the likely fragmentation of parliament, the likelihood of a minority coalition cabinet is increasing. However, the parties will be incentivised to compromise, given the constitutional difficulties in calling early elections to resolve deadlock.
Diaspora voters, accounting for around 10% of votes in the presidential elections, will continue to split their options between the far-right and liberal or progressive new parties, but they will influence less the final results as their only elect 6 MPs & they need to demonstrate residency abroad.
New progressive force. Socially liberal voters with leftist economic views have had no party, but two alternatives have emerged recently (SENS & REPER). One of them may clear the 5% electoral threshold with SENS being more likely, having contributed to the election of the first Romanian Green MEP.
Benefiting from their president Lasconiβs unexpected success in the 1st round of presid. elections, the liberal USR could emerge as the main centre-right party ahead of PNL. The Constitutional Courtβs decision to ask for a full recount of the presid. election vote will mobilise their voters.
An increased number of far-right MPs. Mainly from the Alliance for Union of Romanians (ECR member), which could become the 2nd largest party, but also SOS Romania & Young Peopleβs Party (POT) which are closer to Georgescu in their extremist views and usage of overt pro-Russian and anti-EU rhetoric.
Substantial realignment. While the protest vote against the 2 parties is likely to continue at the parliam. elections, their leadersβ resignations might limit losses. Bandwagon effects from the shocking 1st round of presidential elections are expected both for far-right parties and for the USR.
The results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election were shocking. For the first time since 1989, neither of the candidates from the two largest parties qualified for the run-off and an ultra-nationalist won. What to expect from the parliamentary elections taking place tomorrow?
Awesome, thanks a lot!
Agreed. Somewhat related, I keep looking at that directory and hoping to free ride on someone putting together an Eastern European politics scholars starter pack.
Looking for people to follow? Find here a directory of almost 6500 starter packs & growing. Very useful, do share! blueskydirectory.com/starter-pack...
