@muggah
Co-founder of Igarapé Institute, SecDev, and Bioverse | Geopolitics, security, technology, cities and nature enthusiast | TED speaker | Lancet Commission | Bosch Academy | Author of Terra Incognita | SuperNature | robertmuggah.org
O Brasil atualizou sua doutrina de defesa, mas continua pensando no inimigo errado. Embora a #guerra convencional seja um risco real, as verdadeiras ameaças vêm de redes #criminosas, ataques #cibernéticos e crises #climáticas. Estamos armados para ontem.
theconversation.com/politica-nac...
A corrida por #IA não é sobre chips — é sobre poder. Quem controla energia, minerais, data centers e regras globais controla o jogo. Mas a pressa por #AGI acelera riscos. Quando velocidade vence cautela, a conta chega. #ConversationBrasil
theconversation.com/analise-como...
#Climate & #nature loss aren’t just environmental issues — they’re defining #security risks of the 21st century. They fuel #food and #energy shocks, drive #migration, and intensify conflict over #water and #land. We’re still underpricing the danger. #Mongabay
news.mongabay.com/2026/02/tipp...
A #IA militar está remodelando os campos de batalha, de #Gaza à #Ucrânia. Ela já está integrada a sistemas de apoio à decisão e está borrando os limites da responsabilidade humana. Falei hoje à noite com a #Globonews sobre por que isso importa.
youtube.com/watch?v=O2c4...
#Haiti isn’t just facing a monumental crime wave. It’s experiencing criminal governance. Gang coalitions control territory, tax residents, run markets, and fill the vacuum left by a stalled political transition with no elected leaders.
americasquarterly.org/article/hait...
#EU-#Mercosur deal finally signed. We’ll be seeing many more FTAs as the rest of the world seeks to derisk from the U.S.
www.reuters.com/world/americ...
The US raid risks normalizing cross-border “law enforcement” grabs—setting a precedent Moscow and Beijing can copy. Russia could cite it for moves against Ukrainian leaders; China could frame ops against Taiwan as policing, not war. Spoke to @aljazeera.com
www.instagram.com/reel/DTEVwjD...
2026 could make or break Europe: Ukraine escalation, a tougher US, fragile and populist politics and climate shocks loom — pushing the #EU toward deeper integration or dangerous fragmentation. New from #ParliamentMagazine
www.theparliamentmagazine.eu/news/article...
Chile’s runoff win for hardliner Kast signals a wider shift: across Latin America, organized #crime is reshaping #democracy. Even where violence falls, fear drives voters toward “iron fist” politics—trading rights for the promise of control. #SecDev
flashnote.secdev.com/p/the-ballot...
A política de segurança, que tem no centro um estado de exceçãopermanente, tornou-se um espetáculo, uma fusão de justiça criminal, reality show e propaganda digital. @valoreconomico.bsky.social
valor.globo.com/google/amp/o...
Mesmo com estimativas cautelosas, esses domínios criminais juntos somam talvez R$ 1,3 trilhão a R$ 1,5 trilhão anualmente, da ordem de 12% a 14% do PIB do Brasil, aproximadamente o mesmo tamanho das economias de Portugal ou da República Tcheca. oglobo.globo.com/google/amp/e...
With #Haiti’s government paralyzed and gangs ruling the capital, vigilante commissioner Muscadin embodies the nation’s desperation - seen as a savior by supporters and a human-rights violator by critics. Spoke to @rollingstone.com about what’s at stake.
www.rollingstone.com/culture/cult...
#Brazil’s criminal economy is a vast drag on growth. Once indirect losses are included, #crime may be shaving 12–14% off GDP each year, a regressive hidden tax on households and firms.
theconversation.com/how-crime-in...
Brazil has a vast “invisible criminal economy” worth 12–14% of GDP — a hidden tax that hits the poor hardest. Brasília’s starting to treat crime not just as a public health, but as a central economic issue. @theconvo-bot.bsky.social
theconversation.com/com-prejuizo...
#Bukele inspira políticos brasileiros com seu modelo de “mano dura”, mas especialistas alertam para riscos e limites. No #Brasil, poder das facções, regras constitucionais e escala do país impedem copiar El Salvador. www.bbc.com/portuguese/a...
#COP30 opened in floods and ended in fire, fitting for a summit that saw small wins but missed a #fossilfuel phaseout. Frustrating as COP was, it shows that multilateralism isn’t broken and the world won’t wait for unanimous agreement. @theglobeandmail.com
www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/arti...
#COP30 failed on #fossilfuels but (partially) delivered across #forests and #finance. It shows how new multi-alignments are shaping climate politics. So what does the Belem Summit reveal about our turbulent geopolitical era? New analysis from SecDev.
bit.ly/49Cb5Sm
Floods and fire at the #COP30 summit underscored the urgency for action beyond the negotiation halls. @valoreconomico.bsky.social.
valorinternational.globo.com/cop30-brazil...
#COP30 began with floods and ended with fires. Belém serves as a reminder that climate diplomacy is no longer a distant conversation among ministers: it is a stress test for the places where most people actually live. New with #AmericasQuarterly: americasquarterly.org/article/the-...
With only a few hours of #COP30 negotiations remaining, scientists, activists, political and business leaders, and Indigenous Peoples are urging delegations to deliver a clear #roadmap to phase out fossil fuels and to protect tropical #forests and #oceans.
illuminem.com/illuminemvoi...
How organised crime took over areas of Rio de Janeiro, and why violent police raids won’t fix the problem. Short podcast with The Conversation.
@us.theconversation.com
@theconversation.com
theconversation.com/how-organise...
Cidades são laboratório de inovação nas ações climáticas.
#COP30 #C40 #Bloomberg
valor.globo.com/brasil/cop30...
The world’s sliding into an age of managed disorder. #Ukraine’s where the new geometry comes into view. Its fight isn’t only for territory, but also which habits – coercion and carve-up or cooperation and constraint – defines the next chapter of world order.
washingtonspectator.org/the-great-re...
Even as the White House pushes a counter-drugs/terrorism narrative, evidence points to a regime change. But military action could rally nationalist sentiment, fracture hemispheric consensus and drag the U.S. into a longer confrontation with regional spillovers.
theconversation.com/us-squeeze-o...
Today is #WorldCitiesDay. Last month, @muggah.bsky.social and Carlo Ratti pointed out that cities have long served as crucibles for political and economic reform, and urged progressives to reclaim experimental urbanism as a platform for democratic renewal. bit.ly/3Wt5HJq
A polícia precisa tratar o tráfico internacional de armas de fogo como um crime da cadeia de suprimentos, especialmente considerando a estimativa de que 90% dos fuzis usados por facções criminosas.”
#Exame #IgarapeInstitute
exame.com/brasil/apos-...
“We’ve seen time and time again that heavy-handed approaches do not dismantle criminal networks,” said Robert Muggah, an expert on organized crime in Latin America and the research director of Igarapé Institute, a research group.“
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/29/w...
O Rio de Janeiro revela-se uma cidade cada vez mais sitiada pelo crime organizado. Ao final da tarde, o estado já havia confirmado 64 mortos na Operação Contenção, no confronto mais sangrento em um único dia no Rio em décadas. #ConversationBR
theconversation.com/analise-o-cr...
A #COP30 deve levar crimes ambientais ao centro, alinhar clima, justiça e segurança, e incluir métricas de Estado de Direito, transparência fundiária, anticorrupção e capacidade judicial nas #NDCs, nos planos de adaptação e nas revisões globais. #Exame #IgarapeInstitute
exame.com/esg/o-crime-...
