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Jon Shepherd

@grizzah

I used to write for ESPN, Baseball Prospectus, others. Founded the now defunct Camden Depot. Am really a toxicologist/epidemiologist.

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Latest posts by Jon Shepherd @grizzah

OldMuppet

19.02.2026 19:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Keeping the man down

16.02.2026 14:01 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Will he also find a treasure map of your hard drives?

14.02.2026 01:17 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And it will come down to what mattered most last season...

The young core has to perform.

12.02.2026 13:57 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Is Bassitt a great fit for Camden Yards? Not really. He is susceptible to lefty power. He will probably be better on the road.

The positive is that he has a prolonged history of health and success. The bottom end of the rotation needs that.

12.02.2026 13:57 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

With the nature of the current market, I think Chris Bassitt was the best plan C (or is it D). Should be a solid short term fix with a better performance profile than somewhat like Zac Gallen. And a better chance to give positive outcomes than Giolito.

Cease and Valdes were the two gets and...nope.

12.02.2026 13:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Death to Smoochy (2002)

12.02.2026 02:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Orioles are about 10 million over what they were last year with respect to the luxury tax numbers. They probabky will get one more player. Maybe.

11.02.2026 14:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Can we all agree Orioles fans that we are projecting our anger about the closing of Brewers Art onto Blaze Alexander?

05.02.2026 22:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 9 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

And yeah, I totally would have chosen Valdez over Alonso, but I might well be wrong.

05.02.2026 14:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

The Orioles really haven't failed at free agency. I think the failure has been to create a minor league system that churns out useful baseline players. A top of the rotation arm is great when the gods smile on you. A team that stands long term is one that avoids negative replacement production.

05.02.2026 14:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think the playoff solution is getting Valdez. I think SP value is much greater in postseason play.

I think the regular season value is shoring up the lineup and the bullpen.

05.02.2026 14:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

So if you ask me what problems the Orioles have, I would say SP, bullpen, corner outfield bats, and a reasonable DH.

05.02.2026 14:02 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I wonder whether Marcel Ozuna and Justin Wilson (assuming both are healthy) would do more for this roster than Framber.

05.02.2026 13:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think one of the reasons why I stopped blogging was because it became less about what you had to say, particularly with a new universally competent group of organizations, and it became more about how you said it (branding). And, that bored me.

05.02.2026 11:01 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

One of the wildest things I was told back around 2012 was that what I wrote in Camden Depot was regularly printed out in a daily packet of other stat writers and given to the GM. That is a wild way to run an organization.

As in, you see value in it, but are not capable of investing what you need.

05.02.2026 10:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Like 15 years ago, Duquette probabky would have signed Patrick Corbin to a 2 year deal.

It was a more fascinating time where there was a chance you might know more than someone in a front office.

05.02.2026 10:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

For instance, it seems the Orioles have failed at getting sufficient top end starting pitching talent. A lot of folks are upset. And I am just like eh I get it why they wouldn't go to that price point.

05.02.2026 10:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

What I have difficulty with now is how moves will happen or not happen and people go nuts. I just am here, with a long ago accepted benchmark for competency, thinking eh I disagree, but I get it.

05.02.2026 10:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think the golden age of sports blogging was around 2007-2013. It was a time where enough people realized how useful thoughtful baseball analysis was while there still were organizations who just didn't quite get it or famously pushed back.

05.02.2026 10:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

1/3 of the Washington Post staff is gone.

I have no idea what kind of husk of a paper it will be. Maybe just another national news paper with a lot of wire work.

04.02.2026 21:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I think even if the tariffs went away, the impact that AI data centers are having won't.

28.01.2026 11:27 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail
24.01.2026 16:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Mega is supposed to be 28 oz

23.01.2026 18:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

I say this every year, but if I still did the Depot I would write a column on how well early free agent signings compare to expectations to late free agent signings.

I see a lot of assumptions bandied about each year about how signing the last guy at a tier is buying the least wanted player.

22.01.2026 23:27 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

You can probably use a Snow Joe and it do a good enough job. Also get a fitbit or somewhere wearable heartrate device. Pace yourself.

21.01.2026 18:27 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

You would still have teams going big on role players, but the star players would be more dispersed through the league.

16.01.2026 11:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Who knows what the solution is? This is probably a bad idea. But I wonder how a two stage salary cap would work in baseball. Like if everyone paid an amount into a pot, MLB handed out 120 million for teams to spend on 3 players. And all the rest on a roster cannot individually be paid more than 20M.

16.01.2026 11:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Briscoe County Jr

16.01.2026 02:39 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Stand down.

09.01.2026 18:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0