Yes, hello, is that God? Yeah, hi. I have a complaint. You gave me this brain that’s designed for finding berries and avoiding lions and now people are ‘just circling back’ to see if we can ‘move the needle’ on ‘key initiatives’? NONE of those things are berries.
Payphone Go: win points by calling from one of California's remaining 2,203 payphones https://walzr.com/payphone-go/
Grafiek met vinddag eerste kievitsei (aantal dagen vanaf 1 januari) plus een voortschrijdend 10 jaarsgemiddelde. De trend is neerwaarts. Nu ongeveer 12 dagen gemiddeld eerder dan tot 1950 het gemiddeld was. In 2026 werd het eerste ei op 5 maart gevonden. De vroegste vinddatum is 28 februari, dat was in 2019 De laatste vinddatum is 31 maart, dat was in 1969
Deze week: eerste Kievitsei gevonden dit jaar. Gemiddeld genomen ligt de vinddag nu 12 dagen vroeger in het jaar dan gedurende de jaren 50.
datagraver.com/vinddag-eers...
Synesthetes claim sensory experiences, such as seeing color when reading or hearing a (black) number. But how genuine are these reports and sensations? We introduce a rather direct measure of synesthetic perception: Synesthetes’ pupils respond to evoked color as if it was real color #vision! 👁️🎨🧪
It’s great to read yet another solid critique of the pseudoscientific nonsense known as the Myers-Briggs Type Indicator—here by Dominic Packer & @jayvanbavel.bsky.social—but it’s not so great that these still need to be written.
Kill that zombie already.
buff.ly/18pmHRt
It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
Geïllustreerde gids voor de bezoekers van Amsterdam in 1883.
Meer info: overamsterdam.nl/2017/05/17/t...
A picture of a tree canopy exhibiting crown shyness where each tree has a gap between the uppermost leaves and branches of itself and its neighbour.
Crown shyness. Pretty Zen, no? Stare. Lose yourself. Come back though.
Shoutout to the heart-warming shoutout in this Acknowledgements section:
"We also thank Carolyn Gilbert, who in no way helped this paper get written, but is wonderful so she gets mentioned anyway."
A few months ago, ICE hired me
I didn't sign and submit any paperwork. I almost certainly failed the drug test. I'm real outspoken about my opposition to the Trump administration, and I am extremely googlable
And yet, there it was, in plain English. "Welcome to ICE!"
My latest for Slate
New blog post! A close look at Tahoe menu icons https://tonsky.me/blog/tahoe-icons/
Fascinerend kaartje, geweldig onderzoek van Nationaal Park de Hoge Veluwe. hogeveluwe.nl/organisatie/...
The animated version of Robin Hood remains undefeated.
(Learning that this was originally written to take place in the South during segregation, where the Sheriff of Nottingham would be the county sheriff and Robin Hood fighting against Jim Crow laws, makes me love it even more)
Slechts 2 procent van het programmabudget bij de NPO gaat naar ‘amusement’. Voor dat percentage is er flink gegoocheld met genres. De nieuwste ‘het gaat nooit om de kijker’ is weer uit. medianieuws.substack.com/p/creatief-b...
Line graph showing cumulative state adoption of chiropractic boards over time
I'm John Fallon, a labor economist on the job market. My JMP uncovers something wild: when chiropractors got licensed in the early 1900s, medical boards responded by making it HARDER to become a doctor.
Why would competition lead to stricter regulations?
🧵
john-fallon-econ.com
(1/9)
Oh this is devilish…a game where you have make to 45 groups of 45 items each by matching two at a time. Must take hours? (Where’s the multiplayer option when you need it?) [thomaswc.com]
Year 1 data on congestion pricing in Manhattan…
* Vehicle traffic: -11%
* Foot traffic: +3.4%
* Storefront vacancy: -0.9%
* Pollution: -22%
* Revenue for mass transit: $548M
So YES this has been a huge success.
Merry Christmas one and all, from the Vaders 🎄
De woedende Roel van Duijn maakt deze hotelrecensie helemaal af. www.volkskrant.nl/kijkverder/v...
Met gepaste trots presenteer ik u mijn eigen eindejaarslijstje: de twaalf meest typerende citaten van 2025. Met teksten van onder anderen Dilan Yesilgöz, een statiegeldautomaat, Robin van Persie, Mark Zuckerberg en Frans Timmermans.
The number of Europeans travelling to the US has cratered under Trump Year-on-year change in visitors to the US, by country of origin (%) Source: International Trade Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce FT graphic: John Burn-Murdoch / @jburnmurdoch OFT
The US is down at least $30 billion in tourism for 2025. International boycotts and a loss in appeal to visit due to Donald Trump has resulted in millions of trips canceled.
Grafiek met verdeling (totaal tot 100%) naar kerkelijke gezindte per jaar vanaf 1840. Tot 1980 veel gaten in beschikbare data. In 1840 38% katholiek en 60% protestant. Vanaf 1890 komt er niet-religieus bij. Dat is nu met 56% grootste groep. Katholiek en protestant neem al sinds jaren negentig steeds wat af. Islam is vanaf 2010 apart opgenomen en schommelt rond de 6%.
In de herhaling:
Verdeling Nederlandse bevolking naar gezindte.
Let op: islam zat tot 2010 onder Overige.
🚨 New in Nature+Science!🚨
AI chatbots can shift voter attitudes on candidates & policies, often by 10+pp
🔹Exps in US Canada Poland & UK
🔹More “facts”→more persuasion (not psych tricks)
🔹Increasing persuasiveness reduces "fact" accuracy
🔹Right-leaning bots=more inaccurate
Party positions in the European Parliament 2024. Based on the CHES expert survey. Political space in the European Union 2024.
🤩 Party positions in the 2024 European Parliament 🇪🇺!
I merged the CHES expert survey with EP composition data to visualize the political space of the current EP. The graphs make the center of gravity in the EP quite clear, on multiple dimensions and policy issues.
dimiter.shinyapps.io/ches/
By the beginning of the Holocene, dogs already displayed extensive variation
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
#gummbah
En dan te bedenken dat de Romeinen nooit meer dan zesendertig voornamen hebben gekend.👇
