D Lavoie

I don't know how anyone could see it the first time and read it any way other than "Not Us."

Noe-tuss is just not the English pronunciation of those letters.

It's stunning how that name ever made it off the white board. And yeah the journalists and stories are very good. I hole this all happens.

Iraq is about 1/3 the size and 1/2 the population of Iran and it only took us two decades to never really maintain order.

If I put that into my trusty calculator, it looks like it would take roughly eleventy billion years to maintain order in Iran.

Chart showing crude oil futures up 56.58% since January 1, 2026

Crude is up 58% (!!!!) so far this year! My goodness.

It is really distressing to see people I normally consider smart and savvy pushing it out because it confirms their priors -- despite it being a massive charge that would likely have sprouted up in other forums, too.

TACO works until it can't. And I don't think it can on Iran.

Yeah, as bad as the rising oil prices will be for basically everyone, I at least appreciate that the market seems to be reacting to reality and not just shrugging it off

I've been fascinated by the VIX (which ostensibly measures expected market volatility) during Trump 2.0. Except for "Liberation Day," the VIX has largely been ho-hum and even below much of the Biden term. Just a total misread of the actual stakes at play (and the players, frankly)

Seems pretty relevant whether what people are asserting is true or not. That's always important, in fact.

If you're at Chili's, just get the sizzling fajitas. For appetizer, entree, and dessert.

I'm not making an argument, just trying to find the finish line. If the only acceptable deal is "no deal," then this (or any) deal sucks. I'm honestly not sure how I feel about it yet.

Oh. Is anything short of deposing the president gonna be good enough?

What's a better outcome than this deal? Is the idea to take a deal like this, but just after more political damage is done to Trump?

Congrats and thank you. Important stuff

Thank you, helle woods

Mr. Big on Line One

"I'm from the plorable wing of the party" is a very funny idea

Especially when there are also now videos of Trump saying "The Republicans can end this at any time (by ending the filibuster)." They got so used to just barreling forward on everything that they haven't thought through any contingencies or Plan Bs.

Yeah, I know. I'm just saying it sucks and I really wish there was a better way. There's probably not, but it's still antithetical to my personal vision of American patriotism.

This sadly reminds me of some of the pre-Dobbs convo on abortion, though. "If SCOTUS ever overturns Roe, we'll obviously have a national compromise on abortion."

And, well........

I really hope so. This is bad for the foundations of democracy -- if people stop thinking their votes meaningfully count (and they'd be right to think so), their investment in the entire experiment diminishes.

We gotta get back to a fair & square game where losing sucks but is seen as within bounds

I saw a construction crew taking apart the Brooklyn Bridge, brick by brick.

Thank you! That's super helpful.

And they weren't even friends! They met during the hunting trip.

Holy shit. Before I moved in, the building's credit was so bad that we couldn't get a loan to fix the boiler and two shareholders had to get personal loans to cover the cost. Bad stuff!

Yeah, we know those guys exist. They may be terrified to speak, but even getting them to avoid an interview is a story in itself

Yeah, I live in one of the first coops in the city and when I first got there 15 years ago, they had negative-$5,000 in the bank. Utopia is what we make!

What are you basing any of this analysis on?

Babies in blue cities are Antifa

Sure.....but also no one claiming he's finished has any proof, either. It's all vibes.