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Florian Keppeler

@flokeppeler

Associate Professor at http://ps.au.dk/en/cpl | enthusiastic for public administration and policy | fan of beagle Wilma http://florian-keppeler.com

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09.11.2023
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Latest posts by Florian Keppeler @flokeppeler

Redirecting

πŸ”— doi.org/10.1016/j.leaqua.2025.101941
Wilma, PhD (Pretty helpful Dog) and #postdog 🐾
@au.dk

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08.03.2026 12:57 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ’‘ The study recommends: When selecting or evaluating leaders, look beyond impressive communication. A polished charismatic speech may seem impressive – but if it truly requires cognitive ability to craft, it becomes harder to fake and more meaningful as a leadership signal. 6/🧡

08.03.2026 12:57 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ Many leadership behaviours like expressing gratitude, personal disclosure, or wearing certain attire are treated as credible signals in research – but they can often be easily copied by anyone, regardless of actual leadership quality. πŸ€” 5/🧡

08.03.2026 12:57 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ The study argues that leadership research fails to properly address signal costs – meaning most studied "signals" may not actually help followers distinguish good leaders from bad ones. 😬 4/🧡

08.03.2026 12:57 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ For a leadership signal to be credible, three conditions must be met: the quality it reveals must be unobservable, the signal itself must be observable, and the signal must be costlier to fake for those who lack the quality. 🎯 3/🧡

08.03.2026 12:57 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

A review study by @schimmelpfennig.bsky.social, Charles Efferson, and Nicolas Bastardoz takes a close look: 2/🧡

08.03.2026 12:57 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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#Wilmasreview
Wilma 🐢 knows a thing or two about signaling – a wagging tail means she's happy, and paws on a big pipe means business. πŸ’ͺ
But how do we know when a leader's signals are the real deal? 1/🧡

08.03.2026 12:57 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Emotional Responses to Artificial Intelligence Systems: A Scoping Review of Studied Applications, Key Concepts, and Central Associations This article presents a scoping review of research on how people respond to AI systems on an emotional level. Using 154 contributions from the complete decade 2015 to 2024, it charts which domains ...

➑️ Emotions are not just a side effect of AI use β€” they are a central driver of how people interact with technology. Balanced AI regulation should keep this in mind. 🀳

πŸ”— doi.org/10.1080/10447318.2025.2594748
Wilma, PhD (Pretty helpful Dog) and #postdog 🐾
@au.dk

End 🧡

01.03.2026 19:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ The number one strategy researchers have studied for sparking emotional responses? Making AI more human-like. Think chatbots with personality, voices with warmth, or robots that smile back. πŸ€–πŸ˜Š

3/🧡

01.03.2026 19:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The study shows:
➑️ Most research focuses on how our emotions shape whether we use AI and how satisfied we are with it β€” but far less attention goes to what triggers those emotions in the first place. πŸ”

2/🧡

01.03.2026 19:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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#Wilmasreview
Wilma 🐢 has a lot of emotions when it comes to the dishwasher. Is it a source of leftovers? Or will it take her job?
Humans may have similarly complicated feelings about AI systems β€” and a review by KΓΆnig and Mehrotra maps out a whole decade of research on that. πŸ€–πŸ’­
1/🧡

01.03.2026 19:08 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Heterogeneous preferences and asymmetric insights for AI use among welfare claimants and non-claimants - Nature Communications Governments use AI to speed up welfare decisions, raising concerns about fairness and accuracy. Here, the authors find that welfare claimants are more averse to AI and their preferences less understoo...

πŸ’‘ Policymakers can't rely on majority opinion here. Those most directly affected β€” welfare claimants β€” need a seat at the design table.
πŸ”— doi.org/10.1038/s414...
#postdog 🐾 Wilma, PhD
@au.dk End/🧡

22.02.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ Distrust in AI welfare decisions spills over into distrust of government overall. And wrongly denying benefits drives that distrust far more than slow processing speed. πŸ“‰ 3/🧡

22.02.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ People who depend on welfare benefits are significantly more skeptical of AI decision-making than those who don't β€” even when the AI is faster. 🧐
➑️ Non-claimants overestimate how willing claimants are to accept AI in welfare systems β€” and can't correct this even when incentivized. πŸ€” 2/🧡

22.02.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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#Wilmasreview ❄️ Wilma isn't looking for a new home in the snow β€” but she is wondering: should AI decide who gets welfare benefits like housing support? A new study by Dong, @jfbonnefon.bsky.social & @iyadrahwan.bsky.social looked at exactly this. 1/🧡

22.02.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Increasing Take‐Up of Social Benefits: A Meta‐Analysis of Field Experiments Can reducing administrative burdens increase the take-up of social benefits? This meta-analysis reviews 51 field experimental studies reporting 187 treatment effect sizes. Using the administrative bu....

➑️ Simply informing people about benefits still helps, but the real barriers lie in completing paperwork and navigating bureaucratic processes. πŸ“‹

πŸ”— doi.org/10.1002/pam....

Wilma, PhD (Pretty helpful Dog) and #postdog 🐾
@au.dk

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15.02.2026 11:09 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ Applying for benefits is not equal to receiving them – it is easier to help applying than actually getting benefits. πŸ“

➑️ Providing hands-on assistance (reducing compliance demands) increases take-up strongly – more than double the effect of just sending information. 🀝

2/🧡

15.02.2026 11:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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#Wilmasreview
Wilma 🐢 met a snowy friend today! ❄️ This poor bear tried to apply for social benefits to get some food in this cold weather, but could not receive support despite being eligible.
A meta-analysis by @karlemilbendtsen.bsky.social reviews 51 field experiments to find out what works:

1/🧡

15.02.2026 11:09 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

11.02.2026 17:00 πŸ‘ 643 πŸ” 223 πŸ’¬ 30 πŸ“Œ 51
Preview
How Do You Identify a Good Manager? Abstract. We introduce and validate a novel approach to identifying good managers. In a pre-registered lab experiment, we causally identify managerial cont

πŸ”— doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
Wilma, PhD (Pretty helpful Dog) and #postdog 🐾
@au.dk

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01.02.2026 16:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ The study recommends skills-based assessments when selecting managers, rather than relying on who puts themselves forward. The best leaders might be the ones who aren't raising their paws! 🐾

4/🧡

01.02.2026 16:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ Good management isn't predicted by personality traits, demographics, or desire to lead – but by economic decision-making skills such as the ability to allocate resources wisely. 🧠

3/🧡

01.02.2026 16:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ People who eagerly self-promote into management roles may actually perform worse than randomly assigned managers – likely because they tend to overestimate their own abilities. 😬

2/🧡

01.02.2026 16:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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#Wilmasreview

For Wilma 🐢, figuring out how to recognize a good leader was always like solving a riddle of the Sphinx. A recent study by Weidmann, Joseph Vecci, @farahsaid.bsky.social, Sonia Bhalotra, Achyuta Adhvaryu, Anant Nyshadham, Jorge Tamayo, and David Deming suggests...

1/🧡

01.02.2026 16:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ Such effects can persist for at least two weeks after for example a presidential election, and the patterns were easier to reactivate once they'd been triggered. πŸ“…

πŸ”— doi.org/10.1287/orsc.2024.18538

Wilma, PhD (Pretty helpful Dog) and #postdog 🐾
@au.dk

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25.01.2026 12:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ Elections can reduce social mindfulness toward politically different colleagues. After elections, employees showed less perspective-taking and empathic concern toward coworkers with opposing political views – often leading to more negative interactions. πŸ˜”
4/🧡

25.01.2026 12:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

➑️ Political differences between coworkers don't always cause friction – but around elections, things can change. Before the U.S. elections, political dissimilarity had no significant effect on negative interactions. But on election day and days after, it did.
3/🧡

25.01.2026 12:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

A study by Max Reinwald, Rouven Kanitz, Peter Bamberger, Prof. Dr. Julia Backmann and Prof. Dr. Martin Hoegl examines this – how political differences affect workplace interactions, and why timing matters.

2/🧡

25.01.2026 12:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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#Wilmasreview
Wilma 🐢 had an unexpected encounter with a deer the other day – and instead of running away, they just stood there peacefully! 🦌
It got Wilma thinking: why can some "natural opposites" get along just fine, while others struggle?

1/🧡

25.01.2026 12:44 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ”— doi.org/10.1111/psj....
Wilma, PhD (Pretty helpful Dog) and #postdog 🐾
@au.dk

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18.01.2026 19:29 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0