"Do Voters Respond to the Economy or to News Reporting on the Economy? A Mediation Analysis" by Mark A. Kayser and Michael Peress.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
"Do Voters Respond to the Economy or to News Reporting on the Economy? A Mediation Analysis" by Mark A. Kayser and Michael Peress.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
no, this is slop
Scaling actually follows a log not exp function, so actually the exact opposite is more likely to be true
You're a good man
think about the little people in your computer ryan.
Bye Bye retirement plans
Replication
how DARE you
Can I send you my null results? Please
Is my email going to capital or labour?
Ja das ist sehr schade
Monte Carlo multiverses
Yeah all of this isn't great.. I sometimes think it would have been better if cGPT was never launched
I don't think it's worth the fresh water used for cooling. Not even to make a point about the necessity of humans in the loop
Such an important paper
What if reposting far-right takes in twitter screenshots helps them more than us? π€
Great episode, thank you!
A good moment to advertise this weekβs Rethink where we discuss the promise of AI with proponents and skeptics alike and I make a bad stochastic parrot joke. With @emollick.bsky.social Rosalind Picard, Mike Wooldridge and more.
But, I think @damonberes.com is right.
www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
In 2022, Michael Rochlitz and I designed a survey experiment about government surveillance tracking protesters. Back then it was hypothetical.
ICE is now doing exactly what we described.
New post on what our data showed and why privacy is a political question.
dkarpa.github.io/blog/2026/su...
Call for Proposals: Data Collection for Replication+Novel Political Science Survey Experiments Alexander Coppock and Mary McGrath January 27, 2026 We invite proposals for a survey experiment replication+novel design competition. Se- lected replication+novel design survey experiments will be conducted on large samples of American respondents, quota sampled to match U.S. Census margins and filtered for quality and attention by the survey sample provider Rep Data (repdata.com). Each proposal consists of two parts: (1) a replication study of an existing, previously published survey experiment, and (2) a novel experimental design on a topic of the authorsβ choosing. The replication studies and reanalyses of the existing studies will be combined into a meta-paper to be co-authored by all authors of accepted proposals along with the princi- pal investigators (Coppock and McGrath). As a condition for acceptance, authors commit to sharing the data and producing a write-up of the findings from their novel design for submission to a scholarly journal, and public posting of a working paper pre-publication.
πΊ Call for proposals πΊ
1οΈβ£ replicate an existing experiment
2οΈβ£ run a novel experiment
on repdata.com
3οΈβ£ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies
4οΈβ£ publish your study
details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_...
applications open Feb 1
please repost!
Girl are you NA? Because I'm missing you
Truly amazing
Not a single fork will remain
Very happy that our review article (with the @annualreviews.bsky.social) on βAusterity and Populismβ is now available as preprint: www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... - with @sattlersthomas.bsky.social
"the relationship between downward class mobility is only mediated by life satisfaction and income insecurity, suggesting that the class route to far-right voting is largely linked to existential and material issues. "
People misperceive their rank in the wealth distribution: the wealthy underestimate how much they have compared to others, and people at the bottom of the distribution think that they are doing better compared to others than they actually do. Our research shows that misperceptions shape for savings.
I find cats funny. They look so dumb, yet so cute
times are changing and many theories were just made for a time that has passed. this has to sink in
Very interesting thought. Analogously, the BBC staying on X might boost its value for users while also needlessly legitimazing it
π§΅ PhD position (75%) in Political Behavior / Political Communication / CSS
π LMU Munich | β³ 3 years | π start MarchβMay 2026
Weβre hiring for DemocraGPT, a @bidt.bsky.social-funded project developing an AI-based training for difficult conversations in times of growing polarization