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Philippe Bocquier

@phbocquier

Migration & Health, Urbanisation, Africa, Europe. Event History Analysis, Causality. Others: Paleoanthropology, Paragliding, SBK, Movies, Novels. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6278-0597 https://scholar.google.be/citations?user=THd_fY0AAAAJ&hl=fr&oi=ao

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07.10.2023
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Latest posts by Philippe Bocquier @phbocquier

This message will self-destruct from my memory in 5 seconds.

09.03.2026 17:15 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Join the pre-EPC workshop in Bologna by the IUSSP panel on lifetime migration:

β€œGlobal perspectives in lifetime migration data infrastructures”

A great lineup of presenters from 4 different world regions 🌎🌍🌏

Register here: iussp.workshop@gmail.com

Full program details:
iussp.org/sites/defaul...

06.03.2026 09:12 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Interactive resources

With the power of OJS and Quarto, I’ve created a few interactive websites to illustrate trickier statistical concepts when teaching. Check them out (and adapt and copy as much as you want!)

With links to three different websites (accessible at the main link in the post)

Interactive resources With the power of OJS and Quarto, I’ve created a few interactive websites to illustrate trickier statistical concepts when teaching. Check them out (and adapt and copy as much as you want!) With links to three different websites (accessible at the main link in the post)

Finally got around to adding fancy links to my different interactive teaching websites for showing things like p-hacking, p-value interpretations, and (still-in-draft-form) DAGs at www.andrewheiss.com/teaching/ #rstats #QuartoPub #statsky

06.03.2026 22:15 πŸ‘ 133 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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There is a tsunami of fake social science research coming for us, and the American Sociological Association doesn’t care There are so many red flags that this system is sending up, crying out for the scholarly research enterprise to defend itself. Sadly, reader, that does not appear to be happening.

I wrote it up here, with a picture of a mockingbird, and links to data and code.
/2

07.03.2026 16:06 πŸ‘ 86 πŸ” 29 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 5
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I ran a simple model with new public data then used 1 prompt to make ChatGPT guess what the model would produce. With 10 seconds of "thinking," it was very close. The implications of this are catastrophic. The American Sociological Association should do something about this but it doesn't care to
/1

07.03.2026 16:06 πŸ‘ 71 πŸ” 29 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 16

Where is the DAG? πŸ˜‚

06.03.2026 14:42 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
06.03.2026 14:41 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

In case of informative censoring due to migration out of the pop at risk, I use a competing risk model. The migration is competing with (=not independent from) your diagnosis event. More difficult to deal with people returning (after a gap): you may not know if they were diagnosed elsewhere.

06.03.2026 14:19 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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<em>Population and Development Review</em> | Population Council Journal | Wiley Online Library The ongoing Colombian armed conflict has produced widespread homicides and enforced disappearances, as armed actors used violence to terrorize communities and consolidate power. Family bereavementβ€”on...

Paper by E Acosta, @demography.bsky.social, @thegargiulian.bsky.social & C Torres first from PDR special issue I guest edited w/ L Andriano & M Ebbinghaus, Social and Demographic Consequences of Political Conflict and Violence, to be available on early view onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

05.03.2026 22:16 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Gen Z men twice as likely as baby boomers to believe wives should obey husbands Global survey shows young men hold more traditional views about gender roles than older generations Almost a third of generation Z men think a wife should obey her husband, according to a global survey of 23,000 people that found young men hold more traditional views about gender roles than older generations. A third (33%) of gen Z men also said a husband should have the final word on important decisions, according to the 29-country survey which included Great Britain, the US, Brazil, Australia and India. Almost a quarter (24%) of gen Z men think women should not appear too independent or self-sufficient, compared with 12% of baby boomer men. Attitudes toward sexual norms also differed sharply across generations, with 21% of gen Z men thinking a β€œreal woman” should never initiate sex, compared with only 7% of baby boomer men. More than half (59%) of gen Z men said men were expected to do too much to support equality, compared with 45% of baby boomer men. For women, the proportions were 41% and 30% respectively. Thirty percent of gen Z men believed men should not say β€œI love you” to their friends, compared with 20% of baby boomer men and 21% of gen Z women. Twenty-one percent of gen Z men believed that men who took part in caregiving for children were less masculine than those who did not, compared with 8% of baby boomer men and 14% of gen Z women. Both genders felt women had more choice in dating and relationships (22%), household roles (24%) and the clothes they can wear (34%), while men were considered to have more choice in hobbies (18%) and jobs (39%). Continue reading...

Gen Z men twice as likely as baby boomers to believe wives should obey husbands

05.03.2026 06:10 πŸ‘ 242 πŸ” 94 πŸ’¬ 134 πŸ“Œ 359
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The role of polygyny in sub-Saharan Africa’s fertility decline - N-IUSSP Across 23 sub-Saharan African countries, fertility decline in the past few decades is in good part attributable to the shrinking share of women in polygynous unions. As Sophia Chae and ... Read more

N-IUSSP: The role of polygyny in sub-Saharan Africa’s fertility decline

www.niussp.org/fertility-an...

#demography
#populationstudies

05.03.2026 16:18 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Excited to see the Human Fertility Database here on Bluesky! πŸŽ‰

The #HFD provides high-quality and internationally comparable data on cohort and period #fertility πŸ“Š

Make sure to follow them πŸ‘‡

05.03.2026 07:48 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Weaponizing Kinship: Four out of ten Colombians have lost a family member in the conflict πŸ‡¨πŸ‡΄
Enrique Acosta, Diego Alburez, Maria Gargiulo, & Catalina Torres quantified how many Colombians have ever lost at least a family member to conflict-related violence.
www.demogr.mpg.de/go/weaponkinship


05.03.2026 12:01 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Regression to the mean 😜🀣

04.03.2026 18:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Results are, epectedly, that "Countries with lower wealth and research allocation in GDP are less researched despite having larger immigration and emigration stocks."

Decolonising migration analysis? Still a long way to go.

04.03.2026 09:24 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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New estimates of education-specific fertility show significant variation across 36 Sub-Saharan countries, with divergent fertility trends. The new flexible model demonstrates differences between UN and Demographic and Health Surveys data. www.demographic-research.org/articles/vol...

03.03.2026 07:19 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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With some help from Claude Code, I have the app I've always wanted:

elicitcausal lets you design a causal graph with your theoretical priors & preregister it. Then after you complete a study, you can upload your graph and get estimates of causal learning.

Link: causal.wilddata.solutions

#rstats

27.02.2026 21:58 πŸ‘ 52 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2
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I am always on the lookout for data showing the real impact of AI on the world around us. This chart shows that since ChatGPT launched the monthly count of Stack Overflow questions declined dramatically. Please point me to more chart showing the real impact of AI. Source: buff.ly/8YcUeSi

27.02.2026 11:00 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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🚨 A defining moment for global health data.

The termination of the #USAID-supported Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) Program has wide-ranging consequences. We reflect on the collapse and argue what should come next in a new PNAS: doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2…

πŸ“Š 9,000+ studies

26.02.2026 14:28 πŸ‘ 49 πŸ” 24 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3

Parution d'un nouveau manuel rΓ©digΓ© par notre chargΓ© de cours, Ali Kouauci, et intitulΓ© Β« Demographic analysis with deficient data: Using Mortpak & PAS on Algerian and Canadian data in solved exercises Β»

πŸ“˜ Le manuel est disponible ici : a.co/d/06qdORWq

26.02.2026 19:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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πŸ“— Ali Kouaouci, chargΓ© de cours de longue date au sein de notre dΓ©partement, a publiΓ© un nouveau manuel intitulΓ© Β« Population forecast using Spectrum: Using Algerian and Canadian data in solved exercises Β»

πŸ‘οΈ Disponible ici : a.co/d/1Z6dp7V

20.01.2026 21:40 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

#USA vs #EU power struggles over #data and #GDPR

26.02.2026 12:40 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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On the sidelines of the #INSPIRE2 AGM in Mombasa, APHRC launched its Data Governance Training Curriculum.

With AI tools expanding, data protection laws tightening, and growing demand for high-quality African data, institutions are expected to do more and do it responsibly.

#INSPIRE2

25.02.2026 14:16 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Reminder: join us today for our #LunchSeminar!⏬

24.02.2026 10:23 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Urban areas might increase out of natural growth, urban sprawl and reclassification, but not because of net migration from rural areas. But yes, it still involves a lot building.

www.niussp.org/migration-an...

23.02.2026 22:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Logo of the IUSSP Studies Group

Logo of the IUSSP Studies Group

For students and professionals, the Population Studies Group at @lshtm.bsky.social offers a self-study course: "Introduction to Demographic Methods and Population Analysis".

See if any of the 28 interactive lectures are for you! No prior training required.

www.population-europe.eu/resources/te...

23.02.2026 13:27 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
The Continent Issue 229 cover.

The Continent Issue 229 cover.

All Protocol Observed | Welcome to Issue 229 of The Continent

🟠 Top Story: A new Western empire gathering pace. Last time, they had guns. Now they’ve got AI.

πŸ“₯ Download your copy here: www.thecontinent.org/_files/ugd/2...

20.02.2026 19:12 πŸ‘ 52 πŸ” 29 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 14

A global boycott would be in order

21.02.2026 12:59 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Job posting for a doctoral position at the University of Rostock and the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.

Job posting for a doctoral position at the University of Rostock and the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.

Large-scale bibliometric data project to analyze and forecast the migration of scientists.

Large-scale bibliometric data project to analyze and forecast the migration of scientists.

Research project on scientific mobility with a survey on the motivations and context of researchers and skilled workers.

Research project on scientific mobility with a survey on the motivations and context of researchers and skilled workers.

Apply now! The application deadline is April 15, 2026. For more information, visit www.demogr.mpg.de/go/jobs.

Apply now! The application deadline is April 15, 2026. For more information, visit www.demogr.mpg.de/go/jobs.

Job Offer‼️Doctoral Student Position
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR) / University of Rostock
Supervisors: Aliakbar Akbaritabar | Emilio Zagheni
πŸ“†Apply until April 15, 2026
https://www.demogr.mpg.de/en/career_6122/jobs_fellowships_1910/doctoral_student_position_15039/

18.02.2026 14:02 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The standing ovation to Rubio that shocks #Africa.

Please #EU, take your distance!

21.02.2026 11:15 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0