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Steve Darrell

@stevejdrl

Vegan, Welshman living in England, I read, play wargames and watch rugby. Remainer/Rejoiner.

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Latest posts by Steve Darrell @stevejdrl

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Spot on from the Economist.

What a second week of war will bring
economist.com/middle-east-...

09.03.2026 07:21 ๐Ÿ‘ 72 ๐Ÿ” 23 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 6 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Itโ€™s fine for Russia to use drones to freeze out your population โ€” by the way, can you give us your drone defenses? This is the actual US position.

09.03.2026 16:14 ๐Ÿ‘ 1200 ๐Ÿ” 553 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 46 ๐Ÿ“Œ 12

Just a reminder itโ€™s been two days since reports came out, later acknowledged by Trump and his Administration, that Russia has been helping Iran to try and kill US military personnel.

And the Trump response so far has been...drum roll please...to reduce sanctions on Russia!

09.03.2026 11:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 380 ๐Ÿ” 126 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 12 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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B.C. Doctors Flag Alarming Health Trends Near Fracking Sites Researchers met with the city of Dawson Creek in British Columbia to share insights about how fracking in the region is affecting public health.

- Cancers
- unexplained scarring on the lungs
- impaired fetal growth
- premature birth
- heart disease

Canadian doctors warn of alarming health trends near fracking sites:

share.google/Y3bkaYqgOUfb...

09.03.2026 11:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 180 ๐Ÿ” 111 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5
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In 2025, leading mathematicians met in secret to test a new AI model. Its proofs sounded like those of a real mathematician presenting a complex argument.

But were we giving it more credit than it deserved? Are we at risk of accepting proofs we canโ€™t understand?
1/10

09.03.2026 08:01 ๐Ÿ‘ 48 ๐Ÿ” 13 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

Worth saying that this knee-jerk profoundly fails to understand how much a middle-weight country like the UK has benefitted from a "rules based international order" (and especially the existing order, designed by and tilted towards the interests of historic powers):

09.03.2026 09:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The impact of Brexit on immigration to the UK A new analysis finds that Brexit raised the number of foreign-born workers in the UK by about 200,000, but resulted in a more dramatic shift in the countries of origin.

The impact of Brexit on UK immigration - new research by @johnspringford.bsky.social & me for @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social & @ukandeu.bsky.social

Brexit

a) reduced EU-origin employees by 785K (2.3% of workforce)
b) increased non-EU origin employees by 992K (2.95%)

www.cer.eu/insights/imp...

09.03.2026 07:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 473 ๐Ÿ” 245 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 36 ๐Ÿ“Œ 33
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Reading Schelling in Tehran: 1 Technically, in Doha

My class was scheduled to read Thomas Schelling this month in our course on Nuclear Weapons and World Politics. It turned out to be a current affairs course. Here's part 1 of my series on reading Schelling in this crisis.

open.substack.com/pub/musgrave...

09.03.2026 06:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 120 ๐Ÿ” 34 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
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The โ€˜Toxic Cocktailโ€™ Brewing in Pennsylvaniaโ€™s Waterways - Inside Climate News Pennsylvania is still cleaning up decadesโ€™ worth of coal mining pollution. Now it must also contend with millions of tons of fracking waste, some of it radioactive.

Fracking waste has a mix of chemicals from fracking fluid + others leached from underground.

Arsenic, lead, cancer-causing benzenes, radioactive radium can all be present.

It's being dumped in Pennsylvania landfills.

Mounting evidence says it's getting into rivers:

share.google/p7PRFqzizPVZ...

09.03.2026 08:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 100 ๐Ÿ” 71 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3

Strongly suspect that as this war and its negative effects escalate, we're gonna see a massive increase in disinfo and unsourced "news" - starting right the hell now.

PLEASE don't share "breaking" news from rando or disreputable accounts who provide no links.

09.03.2026 01:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 2431 ๐Ÿ” 681 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 13 ๐Ÿ“Œ 41
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This is an absolutely huge jump in oil prices.

It's also why Europe needs to get off fossil fuels asap (beyond climate change impact). We can't be beholden to this.

09.03.2026 08:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 1340 ๐Ÿ” 358 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 58 ๐Ÿ“Œ 27

The people who told us austerity was crucial, Brexit would be brilliant, Boris Johnsonโ€™s amazing and Liz Truss is an economic genius, are now insisting the country should join an illegal war

#BBCLauraK

08.03.2026 09:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 624 ๐Ÿ” 222 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 10 ๐Ÿ“Œ 3
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I'm out of words here

08.03.2026 12:44 ๐Ÿ‘ 3196 ๐Ÿ” 1234 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 95 ๐Ÿ“Œ 143

โ€œOur government is treating the suffering of the Iranian people as a backdrop for our own entertainment โ€ฆ But, in the end, we lose our humanity when we are thrilled by the destructive power of our military. โ€ฆ The longer we remain blind to the terrible consequences of war ...

08.03.2026 12:45 ๐Ÿ‘ 2847 ๐Ÿ” 889 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 86 ๐Ÿ“Œ 21
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ CNNโ€™s Frederik Pleitgen says black, oil-contaminated rain is falling over Tehran after strikes on oil facilities by U.S. / Israeli airstrikes.

08.03.2026 09:21 ๐Ÿ‘ 452 ๐Ÿ” 216 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 25 ๐Ÿ“Œ 36

My recollection of Suez (in 1956 I was a child stranded on a ship to Kenya in the Mediterranean that got barred from the Canal so we to turn around and circumnavigate Africa) was that the UK & Israel & France were blocked by โ€ฆ the USA (Eisenhower).

08.03.2026 10:16 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

This is well worth reading, on such an important issue.

08.03.2026 11:12 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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We use 30 year averages to show climatology (average weather conditions). During the 20th century the UK climatology followed a path around a confined box. With #globalwarming and #climatechange they have escaped out the box. This #dataviz shows UK rainfall and temperature.

24.02.2026 11:52 ๐Ÿ‘ 67 ๐Ÿ” 35 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2
Chart showing the exponential collapse of the lag, extrapolated to 2.0C. Reference points show 10, 20 and 30 year lag scenarios projecting 2033, 2043 and 2053 respectively.

Chart showing the exponential collapse of the lag, extrapolated to 2.0C. Reference points show 10, 20 and 30 year lag scenarios projecting 2033, 2043 and 2053 respectively.

1/๐ŸŒก๏ธ Global warming passed a milestone on 17th Nov 2023 that barely made the news

For the first time ever, the world's daily average temperature was 2.0ยฐC above pre-industrial levels

Here's what the data says about when that becomes the annual norm, & whether it's coming sooner than anyone expects๐Ÿงต

08.03.2026 10:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 112 ๐Ÿ” 95 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 5 ๐Ÿ“Œ 4

Over on threads someone just use ai;dr and we all need to adopt that right quick

11.02.2026 19:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 12081 ๐Ÿ” 4186 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 86 ๐Ÿ“Œ 190
Caitlin KALINOWSKI over X

I resigned from OpenAl. I care deeply about the Robotics team and the work we built together.
This wasn't an easy call. Al has an important role in national security. But surveillance of Americans without judicial oversight and lethal autonomy without human authorization are lines that deserved more deliberation than they got. This was about principle, not people. I have deep respect for Sam and the team, and I'm proud of what we built together.

Caitlin KALINOWSKI over X I resigned from OpenAl. I care deeply about the Robotics team and the work we built together. This wasn't an easy call. Al has an important role in national security. But surveillance of Americans without judicial oversight and lethal autonomy without human authorization are lines that deserved more deliberation than they got. This was about principle, not people. I have deep respect for Sam and the team, and I'm proud of what we built together.

OpenAI head of robotics just resigned over company deal with the Pentagon sayingโ€ฆ

โ€œSurveillance of Americans without judicial oversight and lethal autonomy without human authorization are lines that deserved more deliberation than they gotโ€

07.03.2026 19:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 7126 ๐Ÿ” 2663 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 141 ๐Ÿ“Œ 211

With 18 months to the World Cup, I suspect you're right. I doubt England will want to change coaches too close to that.

07.03.2026 19:59 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Explains a lot about the failure of Brexit that its main adherents should right now be prostrating themselves before the US because they think that's what an independent UK means.

07.03.2026 12:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 281 ๐Ÿ” 87 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 8 ๐Ÿ“Œ 2

Nigel Farage is in Mar-a-Lago tonight (not Clacton, obvs). Via Politico: "What Farage should be doing: Sorting out his Reform documents with Companies House. The party is overdue on submitting a [legally mandatory] statement."

06.03.2026 19:48 ๐Ÿ‘ 377 ๐Ÿ” 168 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 13 ๐Ÿ“Œ 12
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The Two Deprivations Are poorer constituencies going green of turquoise?

1/ I have done a data dive on โ€˜The Two Deprivationsโ€™ and the govtโ€™s Green-Reform dilemma: parables.substack.com/p/the-two-de...
It references the work of @luketryl.bsky.social @robfordmancs.bsky.social

06.03.2026 11:49 ๐Ÿ‘ 41 ๐Ÿ” 15 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 5

Absolutely insupportable. Labour have a massive majority. Itโ€™s a hugely popular issue. To fail to act would be a dereliction of historic proportions, and utterly inexplicable.

06.03.2026 22:26 ๐Ÿ‘ 1009 ๐Ÿ” 354 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 44 ๐Ÿ“Œ 14

Our prisons also include some (not many, but ...) innocent people. There have been several stories over the last few months about people finally being released years after being imprisoned for things they didn't do. If they'd been killed in this kind of incident, they'd never have seen justice.

07.03.2026 10:13 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Our cover this week. Says it all

06.03.2026 13:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 52 ๐Ÿ” 18 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 4 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Now don't complain, he has "concepts of a plan" you know.

06.03.2026 12:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0