Price of Crude Oil WTI (USD/Bbl) over a five-year period, spanning from 2021 to early 2026. The chart shows a significant price peak in 2022 reaching over $120, followed by a general downward trend with various fluctuations, eventually hitting a low near $55 in late 2025 before a sharp vertical spike to the current price of 90.900. This recent surge represents an increase of +23.880 (+35.63%), highlighted in green text above the blue line graph.
The real insanity isn’t how much oil prices have spiked, it’s that we’re still burning oil for energy.
Don't rely on conservative scientists to inform you about existential risks!
Yeah these non linear systems, with fattails, tipping points, feedbacks and tresholds, seems to be a great place to find unpleasant surprises.
Uncertainty have not been on our side so far.
Cool, glad you enjoyed it. I got the feeling, that the predator, was just a human i a costume. All the usual human problems, just in a different skin. I got bored.
I really liked Prey. Badlands dissapointed me a lot.
Stability isn’t restored by reassurance.
It’s restored when response speed matches system change.
As I understands stuff, it is no easy task, to return temperature after overshoot, because oceans stores most heat, and that introduces a long lag.
We would need solar geoengineering, to return fast seen from our perspective.
I do not claim, the article or you, says otherwise, just to add info.
Read this graph carefully. If it makes you uneasy, you’re reading it correctly.
We need to act now!
Short-term stabilization can amplify long-term instability.
Reactive systems consume their own buffers.
Revealed: 10 new insights in climate science (and they are not good)
www.esa.int/Applications...
Conveniently forgotten.
@ipcc.bsky.social AR6 SPM C.3 :
"Hard limits to adaptation have been reached in some ecosystems (high confidence). With increasing global warming, losses and damages will increase and additional human and natural systems will reach adaptation limits (high confidence)."
Too bad most of the eco-systems will collapse in a 3°C warmer world. Guess we in such a world, will have to learn to live on a dead planet.
Also: Lets not go there
Her har vi det omvendt dejligt lunt i dag, med hele 2 plusgrader.
🧵 If warming continues to 3°C above pre-industrial we will have crossed a number of tipping points. Droughts in some regions and extreme rainfall in others will result in widespread crop failures and global food shortages.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
As trust erodes, long-term planning becomes harder to sustain.
Governance turns reactive.
I get the feeling that I am looking through a window, I love it.
My professional opinion as an ecologist:
3°C heating takes out most biodiversity on planet Earth
Most species live in less than a 2°C range of climate zones
A brief explainer
bsky.app/profile/prof...
Between 1.5–2°C we do not meet a cliff, but a rapidly steepening risk landscape —
where extremes intensify, adaptation pressure rises, and the probability of “awakening dragons” increases.
I find it wierd, that "you" with any useful precision, can quantify, seperate the effect from climate change, when the future clearly is not nearly as well understood as the past. Anyway, I dont understand the method, and the math, so guess I have to accept this as possible.
Repeated failure erodes trust.
Not because action is rejected — but because outcomes diverge from expectations.
Emails Show Epstein Scheming That Environmental Destruction Could Solve “Overpopulation” | Article by Joe Wilkins (@joeonhere.bsky.social) for @futurism.com: futurism.com/science-ener...
Thanks for taking time to answer, I do understand a bit better now, and do see my understanding flawed.
Fair point.
My concern is a bit like, with UN declaring us entering an era of waterbankruptcy, and with continued high emissions, to cause "only" around 500million starving people more than today, seems to me like a very unrealistic risk modelling, very optimistic?
When conditions destabilize, averages lose meaning.
Variability, not trends, begins to govern outcomes.
So you expect civ to last until 2100, that seems very optimistic - "if the world continues to emit a high level of greenhouse gas emissions"
Plans rarely fail from lack of intent.
They fail when underlying conditions shift faster than institutions can adapt.