NEWS — Newton County, TX tells me they are aware of a tabulation error showing Talarico with zero votes, Crockett with 43, and Hassan with 269. A recount is required to correct the results but cannot occur this week without a district judge’s order. They expect an update Monday.
Ryan actually started as a student fellow with us a couple weeks ago, though IL9Cast is his personal project.
This year’s governor races are set to be more consequential than ever, with mid-decade redistricting raising the stakes across the map.
Research Director Austin Park breaks down what to watch in his full 2026 preview.
votehub.com/2026/01/23/a...
VoteHub has rebuilt its polling averages from the ground up.
They’re stable, transparent, and empirically grounded — and this year, we’ll be publishing averages for every federal race and key primary.
votehub.com/2026/01/22/o...
Using public voter files, Peter Lutz takes a first-of-its-kind look at partisan registration among pro athletes by league.
Hi Dr. McCartan. I’ll take this feedback back to the team. Weights are determined per our Pollster Scorecards, but we could be clearer on several fronts including how it translates to averages. In the meantime, I encourage you+others to check out our Scorecards write-up. votehub.com/2025/08/18/w...
In special elections across the country, Democrats are outperforming their 2024 benchmarks, driven by asymmetrical turnout and a national environment shifting in their favor. Read our full breakdown of last night’s results in Iowa and Minnesota. ⬇️
Democrats have taken the majority in the Pennsylvania State House with the election of Dan Goughnour in HD 35, breaking the 101-101 deadlock.
Iowa HD 100 Special Election Results
With 100% reporting:
🔴 Blaine Watkins (R): 51.5% (2,749)
🔵 Nannette Griffin (D): 48.2% (2,574)
This is a 24 point overperformance for Democrats from 2024, when the district was Trump +27.5.
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Presidential approval continues to tighten. Our latest polling average shows Donald Trump with a net approval rating of +0.6.
Our new polling average site is live! We are tracking approval ratings, favorability, and the generic ballot on a daily basis. You can also explore all U.S. polls and access our free API. Link below.
🚨 Big news! VoteHub is launching our open-source API for polls.
We include all polls—whether or not they make it into our averages—covering approval, favorability, and the generic ballot. Link below.
Maine HD 24 Special Election Update:
🔵 Sean Faircloth (D) - 72.3% (1407)
🔴 Carolyn Fish (R) - 27.7% (540)
~95% of precincts reporting
This was a Harris +23 district in 2024.
Connecticut SD 21 Special Election Update:
🔵 Tony Afriyie (D) - 56.2% (3349)
🔴 Jason Perillo (R) - 43.8% (2608)
~74% of precincts reporting
This was a Trump +0.5 district in 2024.
Connecticut SD 21 Special Election Update:
🔵 Tony Afriyie (D) - 56.0% (3137)
🔴 Jason Perillo (R) - 44.0% (2462)
~74% of precincts reporting
This was a Trump +0.5 district in 2024.
Connecticut SD 21 Special Election Update:
🔵 Tony Afriyie (D) - 58.0% (2962)
🔴 Jason Perillo (R) - 42.0% (2142)
~70% of precincts reporting
This was a Trump +0.5 district in 2024.
NEW: Kelly Loeffler has been confirmed as the 28th United States Small Business Administrator
Vice President Kamala Harris won Athens-Clarke County, home to the University of Georgia, by nearly 40 points last month. Neighboring Oconee County had nearly inverse results.
Pictured are census block estimated and precinct results in the two counties.
Georgia 🍑
2024 presidential election
