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James Ker-Lindsay

@jameskerlindsay

Academic and analyst | Former LSE and RUSI | Now trying my best to make sense of International Relations, conflict and security over on YouTube: http://www.YouTube.com/JamesKerLindsay

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16.10.2023
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Latest posts by James Ker-Lindsay @jameskerlindsay

And some more background on the region's largest minority without their own state, the Kurds - from #TheGlobalJigsaw, now that some Kurdish groups say they are preparing to join the fight against Iran
1. www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w...
2. www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w...
3. www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/w...

05.03.2026 07:31 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Hi Jake, I’ve been thinking about this too. It didn’t make sense to me either. I’m not usually conspiratorial, but has Putin thrown Khamenei under the bus a bus knowing that oil prices would shoot up? The Russian economy is in a bad way. He couldn’t defend Iran anyway. Is this a price worth paying?

04.03.2026 10:00 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Thank you! Made my afternoon. πŸ˜‚

03.03.2026 12:36 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Great. I really hope you persuade more analysts to migrate here. But you need to find real incentives. For example, I’m losing income by not using the other place to promote my channel. I accept that. But many other creators just won’t move until they see tangible financial benefits. Happy to talk.

03.03.2026 08:31 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Indeed! But at the risk of sounding horribly flippant, all this has happened just as I am moving house! I prerecorded a few weeks of videos and packed up all my stuff. In some ways, maybe it’s better. These sort of things tend to encourage immediate commentary, rather than considered analysis. 🧐

01.03.2026 16:56 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Is IRAN Facing a New BALOCH INSURGENCY?
Is IRAN Facing a New BALOCH INSURGENCY? YouTube video by Prof James Ker-Lindsay

And here’s one on the #Baloch in the southeast of #Iran. #Baluchistan #Balochistan 2/2

youtu.be/zVqgj0Kwhgc

01.03.2026 15:48 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Could Iran's Azeris Break Away?
Could Iran's Azeris Break Away? YouTube video by Prof James Ker-Lindsay

There’s going be a lot of talk in the coming days and weeks about #Iran’s minority ethnic communities and how they could play a part in the current and future developments. Here’s a backgrounder on the country’s Azeris, located mainly in the northwest. 1/2

youtu.be/hzAYqjvgaU8

01.03.2026 15:48 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
Are Pakistan and Afghanistan Heading for WAR?
Are Pakistan and Afghanistan Heading for WAR? YouTube video by Prof James Ker-Lindsay

Full scale fighting has broken out between #Pakistan and #Afghanistan. After skirmishes along the border, Pakistan has bombed Afghan cities, with Pakistan’s defence minister saying the two countries are now in β€œopen war”. But what sparked this conflict between two former allies?
youtu.be/YuIL6KIRE2U

27.02.2026 05:31 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Thanks so much, Bronwyn.

26.02.2026 14:06 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
A quiet presidential campaign Kosovo in the form of president Vjosa Osmani, has pledged to give troops the Gaza peacekeeping mission and still proudly hails her role in the Board of Peace.

open.substack.com/pub/bronwynj... update on the β€œpresidential campaign” in Kosovo and @jameskerlindsay.bsky.social full Novosti interview in English: Prishtina allows the Serbs No Autonomy.

26.02.2026 10:27 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Can MOZAMBIQUE Defeat Its ISLAMIST INSURGENTS?
Can MOZAMBIQUE Defeat Its ISLAMIST INSURGENTS? YouTube video by Prof James Ker-Lindsay

The conflict in #Mozambique gets very little attention. However, it has now displaced over a million people. And US aid cuts have made matters worse.
youtu.be/SWwkDzRxXhk

24.02.2026 06:24 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

He had one job!

23.02.2026 21:14 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

And of course these people would also be the first to complain that the EU was usurping national sovereign democracies if you gave the EU Parliament the right to propose legislation. The current system is specifically designed to preserve the power of the member states.

15.02.2026 16:33 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Great point. Having been to a CoE Secondary School, the religion is certainly worn very lightly. However, one can only imagine what a religious public school in the US would be like. Probably better to oppose them!

28.01.2026 08:30 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Great phone in today. I remember talking to a senior American official a few years ago, who was extremely worried about what was coming. He said he’d didn’t think the Republic would survive a second Trump presidency. It has always stuck with me.

26.01.2026 17:35 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Has Syria DEFEATED the Kurds?
Has Syria DEFEATED the Kurds? YouTube video by Prof James Ker-Lindsay

#Syria recently launched an offensive to retake the Kurdish-held areas in the north and northeast of the country. While a ceasefire is now in place, and the government has offered new political and cultural rights, what happens next? youtu.be/GN0CvEFoTmw

26.01.2026 06:40 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Still, well done, anyway! πŸ‘πŸ˜‚

24.01.2026 18:23 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

OK. Believe what you want. πŸ™‚

23.01.2026 10:23 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It is not an β€œorganisation”. It is an extortionate vanity project joined by Trump’s β€œhangers on” and those desperate to get in his good books. Most EU members see it for the joke it is. This will have done Kosovo’s standing more harm than good.

23.01.2026 05:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Maybe. But they could well be in for a very nasty surprise.

22.01.2026 20:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

By going against the EU. When will Kosovo learn?

22.01.2026 19:57 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, it was so disappointing to see Osmani there. Wrong on so many levels.

22.01.2026 19:50 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

From my home village, no less. πŸ˜€

18.01.2026 23:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Great list. But just how many of these things do you think will actually happen?

17.01.2026 20:25 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Can MOROCCO and ALGERIA Finally End Their COLD WAR?
Can MOROCCO and ALGERIA Finally End Their COLD WAR? YouTube video by Prof James Ker-Lindsay

For decades, #Morocco and #Algeria have been at odds, not least of all over #WesternSahara. But as the Trump Administration adds their dispute to its long list of conflicts to be resolved, could it really succeed in forging a new relationship between these North African rivals? youtu.be/WUB-Q4pMxA8

17.01.2026 17:21 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Great stuff. Happy Birthday, Dimo! I hope all is well.

17.01.2026 06:46 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Hague Failed to Justify Gotovina Acquittal The Hague Tribunal’s decision that two Croatian generals were innocent of war crimes leaves serious questions unanswered.

I wonder what he’s advised on the subject of indiscriminate bombing? Many saw his deciding vote in the successful appeal by Ante Gotovina as a travesty after a lower court had defined a specific limit. TBH I hope no future Gaza case rests on his (lack of) reasoning! balkaninsight.com/2012/11/19/h...

17.01.2026 05:27 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Haha! What a great piece of nostalgia. I remember that ad. The Empire State reaction was priceless. Thanks. πŸ™πŸ»πŸ˜‚

14.01.2026 03:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Haha! Looking back, I would have loved to do it. But I was a guest speaker at the event and still utterly shellshocked by the result. And then something in the universe threw me between these two. Needless to say, they were gloating away. I just couldn’t believe what had happened, in every sense.

12.01.2026 15:48 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Reminded today that a low point of my professional life was being stuck between Nadhim Zahawi and Kwasi Kwarteng for lunch the day after the Brexit result. Soul crushingly depressing.

(For Americans, think being stuck between Kristi Noem and Pete Hegseth the day after Trump’s election win.)

12.01.2026 13:02 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0