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Stanthorpe

@stanth0rpe

Dad, senior risk analyst, Anglo-Irish RPG player. German based Ecomodernist & freelance opinion-holder. Exhausted.

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Latest posts by Stanthorpe @stanth0rpe

Iran gets a say in this. As does Israel (apparently).

09.03.2026 06:58 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

mr president have you considered maybe intentionally flooding the mississippi river or reading the book of the dead from the mummy out loud

09.03.2026 05:46 πŸ‘ 238 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 13 πŸ“Œ 2

Wraps up? Surely the Iranians get a say in conflict termination? I mean there are 90+ million Iranians out there & I think they might have an opinion on the matter.

08.03.2026 18:19 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

On this I definitely agree. A breaking of the US-Israel / US-gulf alliances would leave Iran unquestionably better off (relatively speaking).

08.03.2026 18:15 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The regime can obviously slaughter protestors, but that only kicks the economic can down the road & doesn’t solve anything.

08.03.2026 18:13 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

But any surviving regime will face the same problems, hence instability after the initial patriotic sugar-rush. Longer term, I *suspect* an army take-over producing an authoritarian & deeply conservative govt - but one that’s not overtly revolutionary Islamic. But this is just my gut feeling.

08.03.2026 18:11 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s an interesting thesis & I can see how that hangs together - but I don’t think that mere survival produces a stronger Iranian Islamic Republic. Sure they’ll be able to deflect immediate criticism by blaming the US, but I don’t think that buys them more than a year or so.

08.03.2026 18:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

If it must be funded then I can think of worse plans than taking $50 Billion from ICEs budget.

08.03.2026 17:57 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I honestly can’t see that happening. I can see the war causing a breakdown of the US-Israel alliance though, esp if this conflict persists & their different goals are in conflict.

08.03.2026 17:53 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

In think that trump would be fine with a repressive Islamic regime leader who allows American oil companies to control their oil sector. Israel on the other hand, seems to want a permanently destroyed Iran that can never ever threaten it again. These goals are not - longer term - compatible.

08.03.2026 11:25 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I’d put money on it being a computer game, similar to the Expanses telltale series.

08.03.2026 11:13 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a close up of a man 's face with a mustache wearing a black jacket . ALT: a close up of a man 's face with a mustache wearing a black jacket .

Can’t kill them if you don’t know who they are!

08.03.2026 11:06 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

This has worrying echoes of the Dardanelles campaign.

08.03.2026 09:55 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

So Israel is acting in direct contradiction of trumps stated war-aims: how can a country without a government - that is recognised by its own people as somehow legitimate - surrender? (Unconditionally or otherwise?)

08.03.2026 09:23 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

Oh dear, unfortunate flare-up of cancer related symptoms. How sad. Such a shame.

08.03.2026 09:00 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I think that Starmer maintaining a dignified silence & keeping British forces in a defensive posture is the sensible, moral & populist choice.

08.03.2026 08:53 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

If the next headline is "Starmer to Blair: because it all worked out so well last time?" Labour would go up 10pts in the polls.

08.03.2026 08:16 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

The worst part of having such a good friend. I hope he’s ok.

07.03.2026 18:20 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes, but take heart! The Russians know exactly what they’re doing!

…wait.

06.03.2026 22:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Nonononononononono!

06.03.2026 17:42 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I’m more concerned with hubris’s twin tbh.

06.03.2026 15:37 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Completed!

06.03.2026 15:37 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s nice that they have an opinion, especially after making it abundantly clear that they don’t care about our opinions.

06.03.2026 12:23 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Agreed, but there are different levels of frothing. It’s one thing to be weird, quite another to be Allister β€žshouting-at-cloudsβ€œ Heath.

06.03.2026 12:20 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Either way, Hegseths rants are going to age like fine milk. And I think that given the clearly needy macho posturing "rah-rah-war!" tone, he knows it too.

06.03.2026 10:05 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I think this mess is going to see an inevitable munitions crisis, Hegseths firing (blamed for public chest-thumping rather than logistics management). After that, his replacement (Driscoll?) is probably going to have be Rumseld & reluctantly put boots on the ground to stabilise things.

06.03.2026 10:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

BREAKING: U.S. Central Command is now saying internally that this war against Iran is likely to last through September, per POLITICO

05.03.2026 16:56 πŸ‘ 847 πŸ” 227 πŸ’¬ 37 πŸ“Œ 88

Saturday night: what do you mean they’ve not surrendered yet???!!

04.03.2026 16:42 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Matthew 4:9 comes to mind.

04.03.2026 16:33 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Play stupid games, win stupid prizes.

04.03.2026 13:31 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0