There is a weird post hoc ergo propter hoc vibe to this piece.
07.03.2026 23:32
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There is a weird post hoc ergo propter hoc vibe to this piece.
Hezbollah knew a new war was coming. Probably because the old one never ended, Israel violated the “ceasefire” almost daily.
And they view this new war as “existential.”
“Ahmed’s ambitions [in Tigray] may be inspired by the global rise of a might-makes-right approach to achieving political and territorial targets… Ahmed may feel “emboldened to act in a world where the rules-based international order appears increasingly eroded,”
www.wsj.com/world/africa...
The @theathletic.com man. Haters.
Help me out @kurtleavins.bsky.social.
The @edmontonoilers.bsky.social are 2nd worst in the NHL in GA/game & 2nd best in GF-game.
They added 2 defensive weapons.
But Bowman is getting pilloried. Yes he made the mess.
Why is a 1st rd pick important right now & what other “help” was possible?
There is A LOT that disqualifies hi. For POTUS for people on the left. This softball shit is not why, though.
Laila Bassam @reuters.com sources: Hizbullah has deployed Radwan units from north of Litani to engage encroaching Israeli forces: www.reuters.com/business/aer...
In this softball CFR interview Colby talks about Trump like a King who makes all decisions, making no mention of Congress or war powers. He’s never questioned about legal authority for war, or about primacy. Nor is he pushed on munitions usage in US wars.
www.youtube.com/live/jIRMUoi...
He will be 70 should he win and take office in 2029. That is insane.
It doesn’t matter that he good on these issues. Which he is.
He is too old.
There should be an age limit to this job. 65?
Thanks!
I think it was Tipper Gore and the explicit music labels.
Great thread.
How might Turkey react to the US arming Kurdish groups? Could this in any way blow back on the region?
@heissenstat.bsky.social & @nateschenkkan.bsky.social
www.reuters.com/world/asia-p...
This is illegal.
It also counter-productive. It’s literally what caused Hezbollah to form. This might work in the short-term but Israel can’t sustain this over time. And the blowback, which high may be years in the making will come. And it will be bad.
The next question is how will this war harm US reputation & credibility over the long term?
The US and it regional partners might hurt Iran—and the regime—in this illegal and pointless war.
They might undermine the regime.
They will certainly hurt and undermine their own defense systems & capacity.
What are the odds the cribbed this from Game of Thrones,
“…. I am the sword in the darkness. I am the watcher on the walls. I am the fire that burns against cold, the light that brings the dawn, the horn that wakes the sleepers, the shield that guards the realms of men…”
These countries have invested in AI with the US partly to hedge against China.
They drive US policy across North & East Africa. They operate essential ports.
They were very angry at Obama for fading them during JCPOA talks. Even with massive US arms inflows.
This could be worse.
The US built up these middle powers. It does all the sustainment for them. Much beyond what it does for Israel. The trade was for access, basing, & overflight, help with Iran, keeping China out & protecting Israel.
The US is failing them. The long-term security implication of this are huge.
I think @kenklippenstein.bsky.social does a great job highlighting how may democrats are just as bad as republicans when it comes to Iran. It don’t count as a country. Its leaders don’t have human rights.
They can go along with this violence because Iran is somehow an exception to laws and norms.
I meant shot blocker. Sorry.
So much better than the other reported options for OEL and Faulk. Younger cheaper, stay at home shitblocker, and PK.
I hope this is more Elkhom than Fredric. But the latter is looking better.
The details on the internal dynamos of Hezbollah, Lebanon vs Iran. Are fascinating and important. This is an existential war for the regime.
Iran is willing to hurt friends and enemies for this war.
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/02/w...
Iran fired 1200+ projectiles at 5 countries in the first 48 hours. Most were drones. These saturation attacks aim to overwhelm air defenses and drain interceptors. $20-50K Shaheds vs. $4.19M air defense interceptors put US partners on the wrong side of the cost curve.
David Shulman on the West Bank, but applicable now:
"We are watching the not-so-slow disintegration of the Israeli state. Newton taught that entropy always prevails in the end. But here we have willful, personally initiated and executed entropy in the form of barbarism."
archive.ph/kfVOp#select...
Then what explains a certain S. Hamid at WaPo?
I wonder how Naval readiness will be impacted. Carrier strike groups have been operating in the Red Sea/Gulf region since before the 2025 war. With aircraft and ship maintenance, a lot of platforms may be out of commission (at a high cost, for the F-18 for example) for a while.
This is in addition to the three F-18 the Navy lost from the USS Harry Truman in 2025, from friendly fire and aircraft carrier driving accidents.
SecDef Pete bringing lethality back.
news.usni.org/2025/12/04/i...
THE MOST NIHILISTIC CONFLICT ON EARTH
Sudan’s devastating civil war shows what will replace the liberal order: anarchy and greed.
By @anneapplebaum.bsky.social
archive.ph/2025.08.06-1...
This answers an @abuaardvark.bsky.social question about what Iranian leaders learned from Israeli attacks on Hezbollah leadership.
Turns out they were ok with the risk.