Who knows what will translate to the regular season but through 2 exhibition games BYU is averaging 25 FTA / game. Last year that would have been good for 11th best in the country.
In addition, the Cougs are shooting 80% from the stripe with Keita going 7/8 and Mboup 4/4
While football’s in a rain delay, here’s a random stat
In 64 career games so far, Kennard Davis has never fouled out of a game. Has only hit 4 fouls thirteen times in his career
Pretty good mark for someone who will be relied on as your main defensive stopper
As it stands in the preliminary projections at haslametrics.com/ratings2.php..., BYU is never more than a 6pt underdog (at Arizona). Over the 6 games they are currently projected to drop, the average spread is only 2.5 pts
Current projected losses:
UConn
at TxTech
at Kansas
Houston
at Baylor
at AZ
can check out the team page and game by game predictions here:
haslametrics.com/ratings2.php...
Preliminary preseason projections are out on haslametrics.com and the cougars clock in at 12th overall (8th OFF, 33rd DEF)
Ended last season at 20th ovr, 11th OFF, 70th DEF
Jumping to the team page, preliminary projections have the Cougs going 24-6 with only a loss to UConn in non-con play
Full BYU roster starting ratings from evanmiya. Also rankings relative to the rest of the Big XII. BYU and Houston both have 4 players in the top 20 of the conference
#BYUHoops #BYUSN
Preseason numbers are ready over on evanmiya.com. BYU comes in as the #8 team with AJ, Richie, and Rob as top 50 players.
Initial rankings have BYU as third in the conference behind Houston and Arizona
#BYUHoops #BYUSN
Excited to put an actual team logo up on this bad boy by the end of tonight
A parody image of the New York Times best movies of the 21st century polling results but only including BYU/LDS Sports related movies such as the Amazing documentary Jimmer Fredette's senior season and Last Miracle for Lavell about Lavell Edward's final season as head football coach
A golden era of cinema
Kennard Davis played 6 games last year against top 100 (Kenpom) defenses.
Scoring kept up pretty well and actually increased in shooting efficiency against those opponents, especially from three.
Did see decreases in FTA, less assists, more TOs against top 100 defenses
I'm using the Matchup Preview tool at EvanMiya.com to look at some spicy potential 2nd round tournament games.
2-seed Tennessee vs 7-seed BYU would be very fun. The Vols stifling defense against the hottest offensive team in the country right now in BYU.
Vols only predicted to win by 3 👀
Also from haslametrics.com BYU has beaten defensive expectations in 6 out of the last seven games. Average offensive ranking on the site of the teams they faced over that span is 52.
Breakdown 👇
Top 1-15: 1
16-30: 1
31-40: 1
41 - 50: 1
51 - 100: 3
#BYUHoops #BYUSN
BYU's defense is now good enough to avg out to a top 50 def across 4 analytics sites
kenpom.com - 57
barttorvik.com - 46
evanymiya.com - 41
haslametrics.com - 47
really good progress you can track visually w/ this graph from haslametrics
Richie is close to this top 20, averaging 16.8ppg in BYU's 12 Quad 1 games. Doing it on 50/39.7/81 shooting splits too.
In BYU's last 4 Quad 1 games he's at 23.5 ppg on 57/53/89.5 splits 🔥
if you wanna zoom in a little bit more here's the same data scoped to the last 4 minutes then first 4 minutes of the 1st and second halves. Even better in some aspects that the 7 min view (K State was better as was WVU)
Per request from @steviepf22.bsky.social, #BYUHoops has been really taking care of business in the middle portion of games during their latest win streak.
Here's the breakdown of their +/- through the last 7 mins of the 1st half and first 7 mins of the second half in the last nine games.
I'm really trying not to get my hopes up too much and take things one game at a time, lol. Always depends on the matchup but BYU has been finding multiple ways to win games against quality opponents
BYU's win against Arizona was the 20th best win of the season
correlation to seeding as it does to making the tourney but three of the four teams that ended last season between 3-4 WAB were four seeds. The other team (USU actually) was on the eight line. All four teams won at least one game in the tourney
2/2
Looking at barttorvik.com, if BYU wins all the games they are favored to over these last 4 (ASU, WVU, Utah), their WAB could end up around 3.21 at the end of the regular season. All three wins are 60%+ win probability.
WAB doesn't have as clean of a
1/2
Big 12 conference by Net rating per cbbanalytics.com. Numbers are for conference play only. BYU inching closer to the top echelon, kind of in a space of their own right now.
Bluesky's limitations on video are killing me, haha. Here are the other two possessions from a great start to the K State game
Re: BYU being determined to push the pace early in games
8 of the first 11 points against K State came as they pushed the pace. Love how almost every time they're looking to flip the floor early (passes across) to prevent the defense from loading up on the ball
#YzeGuyClips
stops they are really out running and trying to push the pace. The challenge then becomes to keep that up and be consistent.
Of note, they also crashed the glass real hard in the last 2 games (7 OREB vs WVU, 13 vs K St) which helps push that pace number up
/end
you're getting a bounce from playing 3 of the faster teams in conference in those 5 games but KY has said all year that they want to play faster and it does seem like they're making progress there. You see it especially in the beginning of games as they are able to get
2/3
Quick 🧵 on pace (data from cbbanalytics.com):
In BYU's first 9 Big XII games their pace was 63.1 poss per 40 minutes. Part of that came from playing 4 games against the slowest teams in conference but to compare in their last 5 games their pace is 67.2 poss. Now
1/3
BYU's practically the definition of Bubble Team with that +0.03 value, basically the average Bubble Team would have 0 WAB but that runs a big risk of being left out of the tourney.
Per Torvik, WVU is BYU's 3rd best opportunity left in the regular season
BYU's back to back losses have dropped their WAB (Wins Above Bubble) to 53rd best in the country. barttorvik.com has it at +0.03 currently.
Big opportunity tonight, per Torvik, to add 0.73 to their WAB (max you can get from one game is technically 1)
Rematch season is upon us. Cincy will most likely shoot better at home, BYU will shoot worse on the road but in MC BYU was solid at collapsing drives and disrupting with swipes and deflections as well as cleaned the glass. Keep that formula and should be able to get the job done
Another OBU that doesn't result in a make but wanted to highlight the fantastic read Richie makes here. Knows UCF is in a lock and trail so short circuits the screen and goes directly to the corner. Feel like his reads on screens have really improved this year
#YzeGuyClips
