🏀 Jalen Johnson Under 10.5 Rebounds (-110)
76ers @ Hawks
📍 Onyx Odds
Prediction markets are offering the Over at +110 with liquidity, while multiple sharp books have this juiced toward the Under.
🏀 Isaac McKneely Over 9.5 Points (-125)
Louisville @ Miami
📍 Onyx Odds
Playing Mika Zibanejad Under 0.5 Assists (-130).
🏒 New York Rangers @ New Jersey Devils
📊 Prop: Zibanejad Under 0.5 Assists
📍 Onyx Odds
💰 -130
Exchange markets are offering the Over around +131 with solid liquidity
Grabbed Utah Jazz +10.5 (-112).
📍 Onyx Odds
🏀 Utah Jazz @ Milwaukee Bucks
📊 Spread: Jazz +10.5
💰 Odds: -112
Sharp exchange markets are offering Bucks -10.5 +112 / +110, with significant liquidity
Here are two more from my feed this morning.
Notice the part about our 5-star points picks being up 157.2 units this season 👀
And each pick comes with justifications about why it’s being recommended to you.
So not only do you get picks that should interest you, but you’ll also learn new things along the way.
When you sync a sportsbook on @BettingPros, you get a personalized feed of pick recommendations based on your habits and preferences and our tools.
Here’s one for me today, courtesy of @sportstalkmatt and The Daily Juice.
I can even listen to the clip…
After all that, the U.S. went and covered the spread against Brazil (I went to bed).
I use sharp money tools and track lines and liquidity on prediction markets to find edges.
I used to see dozens of Underdog plays a day on there, even at the previous odds.
Now, it’s rare to see more than 1 or 2 🤔
They also seem to align closely with sharp prediction markets and exchanges, so I’m wondering if they’ve set up AI to monitor PM lines and liquidity and pull or adjust their own lines accordingly.
Underdog recently improved their payouts to be the best in the industry, but they’ve also really tightened up their lines.
Idk if they have new market makers or are leaning hard on AI to automate updates, but their lines have been really tight since the change.
Been doing somewhat lower volume recently just because of life and being busy, so the variance hits hard sometimes.
Went 1-7 last night, down 5.5 units to wipe out most of our early March profit.
But such is the volume +EV life.
Trust the process. We push on.
So far my greatest accomplishment as a dad is convincing my kids that they actually really like thunder
+EV betting isn’t glamorous.
@Between_SethFF told me once that my betting strategy "makes him sick."
My bank account disagrees.
You’ll have losing days.
You’ll have variance.
But if you consistently bet good prices at scale, the math starts working in your favor.
That’s
And that's just one of the tools we're working on at @BettingPros.
We have a TON coming soon.
And for now, you can get 20% off a premium subscription, which means you can get a FULL YEAR for less than $100 🔥
Use code MAYO for 20% off 👇
By not relying on a single sharp book, we're reducing variance because sharpness varies from book to book and market to market. 🧠
The results so far have been incredible, and we're actively working on adding more sports and markets
And the best part is we didn't rely on a single sharp book.
For every market we post, the @BettingPros data science team went back and evaluated exactly which books have been the sharpest.
That’s what we're buildling with the @BettingPros Market-Based EV tool.
It compares sportsbook prices to sharp market benchmarks to surface bets with positive expected value.
Basically: where the price is wrong.
That’s also why tools that compare lines to sharp market pricing are so powerful.
Instead of guessing who wins…
You can focus on finding value relative to the market.
This is why many sharp bettors treat betting more like trading than predicting.
They're ok with losing because they know the long math is in their favor.
• Where is the market price?
• Where is someone offering a better number?
• Is the difference enough to create EV?
If you only place 3 bets a week…
Variance can dominate results.
But if you place hundreds of +EV bets over time, the edge begins to show up in your bankroll.
It becomes a law of large numbers game.
Edges in sports betting are small.
Often 1–4%.
That’s why volume matters.
Expected value simply means:
If this exact bet were placed thousands of times, would you profit?
If the answer is yes → it’s +EV.
If the answer is no → it’s negative EV.
Once you know the true market price, you can identify mistakes.
Sharp market: -150
Sportsbook offering: -130
That difference creates positive expected value (+EV).
You’re getting a better price than the market consensus.
The market already does most of the predictive work.
Sharp sportsbooks, prediction markets, exchanges, and high-liquidity markets help establish the true price of a bet.
These markets are usually closer to efficient.
A lot of bettors think the goal is simple:
“Pick winners.”
But sportsbooks don’t make money because bettors pick the wrong team.
They make money because bettors take bad prices and bet with their gut, and as a result, the bettors lose money in the long run.
Stop chasing picks and betting based on vibes.
Start doing what the sharps do and focus on PRICE.
Here’s how +EV volume betting works (and why it compounds over time). 💰 🧵
😤
Steven Spielberg, Morgan Freeman, Dinosaurs.
Unexpected by whom?
