Steve Partridge

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Self preservation. Jenrick being Jenrick.

Vintage black-and-white photograph of a young child wearing a knit hat and sweater.

8 March 1929 | A French Jewish girl, Claudine Malack, was born in Paris.

She arrived at #Auschwitz on 13 November 1942 in a transport of 745 Jews deported from Drancy. She was among the 599 people murdered after selection in a gas chamber.

Uh oh looks like I may have triggered the snowflakes over at GB News ❄️

You say there are 1817 seats in London yet the prediction exceeds that and doesn't include any Independents, Localists, Others etc.
Its extremely unlikely that the Tories will increase significantly. They may make some gains but they'll be more than off set by losses to RefUK in E London.

Tories extremely unlikely to make significant gains.

I will believe it when I see it.

This prediction adds up to more seats than there are available in London and doesn't include any Independents, Others or Localists.

We're they saying anything different?

I used to have a large map up in my office with coloured pins in each constituency. You could still see which was which (mostly) but each pin was the same size. Is something like that a possibility?

Who else has been in touch with you in Lambeth?

You say roughly the right place, but in reality its confusing and hard to work out which hex is which.

There's a poll from BMG out for you to run through EC too.
bsky.app/profile/elec...

US-Israel war with Iran: B-1 Lancer bomber lands at RAF Fairford The aircraft is the fastest bomber in the US Air Force and is piloted by a crew of four.

As the Americans land B1 bombers at RAF Fairford, President Trump is promising a relentless assault. We are being drawn into an offensive war. The PM must spell out to Parliament what constitutes a “defensive” operation and the limits on the use of our bases.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Phones are not permitted in exams.

+8 'progressive' bloc. -8 Right Wing bloc

Ahem

'Bloomin' Florence Nightingale treating all those sick people'.

Coincidence corner: JCB and Reform UK

From the new Private Eye, out now.

His string of failures continues.

Yep. RefUK do struggle to hold onto their seats. Apparently some local issues too.

Hardworking taxpayers fund our armed forces.

Meanwhile influencers like Isabel Oakeshott live overseas, contribute nothing, and still benefit from the protection of the UK.

If she's going to pick a fight with @calummillerld.bsky.social, she should at least get her facts right.

Do we get all of that £681 million?

This weeks guesses

Coggeshall (Braintree) Ind Group
Murton (Durham) RefUK
Hextable (Sevenoaks) Ind
Spital (Tamworth) RefUK
Thrupp (Stroud) Green - interesting to see if addition of a LD candidate has much impact on Greens.

Yes they are the third largest party in the House of Commons with 72 MPs. They are the second largest party in local government. They are also respectful to other smaller parties and in many local authorities they work with those parties to run the council.

You haven't been paying attention to the local by-elections taking place every week.

Nobody should be allowed to buy a political party with a donation that size.

But it won't stop some supporters being selective with which poll that choose to reference.

That's insane! Why on earth?

That is a sensible target for Greens.