Jack Mitcham, Ph.D.

Depends on use case. From what I've seen, Claude Code and ChatGPT Codex are pretty close for coding, with Gemini way behind.

It's going to be interesting to see if each company starts specializing in one thing or another.

Me too, except I'm unemployed so I don't get paid for it.

The American political class is utterly delusional, adrift in a dream of normality, unable to process the actual reality of events on the ground, where the US just launched a completely unprovoked war against a massive country, murdered its leadership, and demanded its conversion to a vassal state.

Careful with your doubleplus-ungood wrongthink there, Will.

Maybe the word "native" is doing some kind of hidden work in there?

I'm in a weird spot, because I work with LLMs semi-professionally (long story), but also I'm a big fan of scifi/fantasy novels and am even working on a scifi novel myself.

So my timeline is AI Bluesky + rabid AI hate from authors.

Jeff VanderMeer yelled at & blocked me my first week here.

I predict a bifurcation, where self-driven and curious students can rocket ahead to prodigy levels, while most other students offload their cognition to the machine and require more prodding to do anything on their own.

In other words, 2oz of agency is a lot for a kid.

I'm pretty terrified of these conflicts all merging together, and perhaps expanding.

Maybe China decides to eat Taiwan while everyone is distracted?

A reminder that Anne Frank didn't die from a gas chamber or anything like that. She died from disease.

The National Marine Fisheries Service justified a biological opinion by adopting an admitted “worst-case scenario” projection of the North Atlantic right whale population that it believed was “very likely” wrong. The agency’s proposed actions could have destroyed the historic Maine lobster fishery. The D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals subsequently overturned that opinion because the agency’s decision to seek out the worst-case scenario skewed its approach to the evidence.

(e) Employees shall be transparent about the likelihood of the assumptions and scenarios used. Highly unlikely and overly precautionary assumptions and scenarios should only be relied upon in agency decision-making where required by law or otherwise pertinent to the agency’s action.

It's this one. www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...

See the pictures for examples. It's not exactly "use only the most likely scenarios" but it is "don't look at tail risks."

There's a carveout for military risk analysis, but it doesn't seem like they used it.

They put out an EO last year stating that only the most likely scenarios can be considered when performing risk analysis. I was yelling about how dumb that was back then.

Are they just skipping 5.3? (Aside from "instant")

That's what I was going to say. Literally my dinner tonight too, and I felt pretty good about it.

My sci-fi brain with no architectural training tells me that's an airlock.

I have, and I don't think so.

But also, I am not responsible for other people's voluntary actions.

Right now it's a hypothetical since my bankroll can't absorb someone's life savings (unless their life savings is like $150) but I can't imagine it changing at higher levels.

It feels like being a product manager trying to get your engineers to do what you want.

If someone wants to make a dumb bet that will ruin their life, I do not feel bad taking the opposite side of that bet.

Chart comparing previous study to new one

That's the one, but it says the data shows an increase in productivity, but they suspect the increase is understated.

That article cites an out of date METR report. The latest METR report shows that people do save time with AI coding tools.

So while this used to be true. It doesn't appear to be the case any longer.

Look man, I just want to build statistical models about tornado frequency in the US and trade a few dollars on the results.

I don't know WTF all this is about, but they're going to ruin it for me.

KIM KITSURAGI - “*Sunrise, parabellum*,” the lieutenant says. He's in the middle of a freshly cleaned room, with the fan above his head like a halo. His face is covered in bruises.

It's definitely a big problem. I mainly stick to markets which insider trading isn't really meaningful. For example, number of tornadoes in a month.

Do we have a Constitution anymore, or is it just optional? Because if it’s the second thing it opens up a lot of options about what to do with these guys

Hardware not hardest. Silly phone.

The idea behind it is to prevent critical systems from using hardest or software from hostile foreign nations that likely have backdoors or lther cyber risks involved. That's rational.

However, it's clear that does not apply to Anthropic and a court will likely slap this down.

I've seen multiple movies marketed as romance when they're just tragedies. There was some Netflix movie like that (All of you). Romance with sci-fi elements, it was marketed as.

Nope, it was a straightforward, by-the-books tragedy with romantic elements.

Thank you for applying to the Online Adjunct Faculty - Graduate Business Analytics opportunity with Southern New Hampshire University! After review of your application, we are unable to move forward with your candidacy as you do not meet the minimum education requirements needed for the position.

Education 1 School or University University of Massachusetts ~Degree~ Doctoral ~Field of Study~ Business Administration Overall Result (GPA) 3.9 To (Actual or Expected) 2023

Is there some sort of super-doctorate I'm not aware of, @snhu.edu?

I have a soft spot for CISA, and I've worked alongside a lot of great people there. It's sad to see it being gutted like this. All of this extra money going to DHS should be going to CISA instead of ICE or CBP. Cyber threats are real and will impact you far more than somebody with a minor visa issue

Boof is how Kavanaugh ingested his beer. Meaning rectally.