Guess What Moderate Democratic Voters Arenβt Anymore? Moderate.
Two new polls suggest that moderate Democrats, too, want higher taxes on the rich and some measure of economic populism. Moderate isnβt what it was in 1992.
Moderate Democrats with columns in newspapers are constantly saying the Democratic Party is way too liberal on "social" issues. Moderate Democratic voters in real life do not feel this way. With some polling data from @gelliottmorris.com and @dataforprogress.org. newrepublic.com/article/2074...
09.03.2026 15:29
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An analysis of over 14 million social media posts from accounts in Canada found that 87% of conspiratorial claims come from just 100 influencers.
This minority of users impacts politics, influencing what people view as normal and leads to self-censoring to avoid attacks from conspiracy theorists.
08.03.2026 12:48
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How to Measure Public Support for Political Violence
Abstract. With low but rising levels of violent political threats and violent acts by civilians in the United States, researchers increasingly want to meas
After nearly a decade measuring American public support for political violence, @nathankalmoe.bsky.social and I have published a somewhat comprehensive guide to measuring these attitudes. This includes historical comparisons and responses to common critiques. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
06.03.2026 17:45
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New Interview: www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
04.03.2026 19:27
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Oh my goodness this sounds amazing.
05.03.2026 01:30
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Current Board Members - ANES | American National Election Studies
Dear ANES community, the link below introduces our new Board of Advisors, led by Jamie Druckman. Jamie follows John Aldrich, who deftly chaired the Board for nearly 2 decades. This new group will guide us through the 2028 election cycle. Our deepest thanks to outgoing and incoming Board members!
03.03.2026 23:48
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Title, author list, and two figures from the paper.
Title: The Aftermath of DrawEduMath: Vision Language Models
Underperform with Struggling Students and Misdiagnose Errors
Authors: Li Lucy, Albert Zhang, Nathan Anderson, Ryan Knight, Kyle Lo
Figure 1: On the left is a math problem, where students are asked to draw x < 5/2 on a number line. The right side shows two example student responses that differ in correctness. DrawEduMath pairs each math problem with one student response, and prompts VLMs to answer questions about the student response.
Figure 2: VLMs consistently perform worse on answering DrawEduMath benchmark questions pertaining to erroneous student responses. Performance on non-erroneous student responses is labeled with specific VLMsβ names; that same modelβs performance on erroneous student responses is directly below.
Models are now expert math solvers, and so AI for math education is receiving increasing attention.
Our new preprint evaluates 11 VLMs on our QA benchmark, DrawEduMath. We highlight a startling gap: models perform less well on inputs from K-12 students who need more help. π§΅
03.03.2026 03:08
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stanley tucci with members of the gold medal winning USA women's hockey team
crying in the club* (*at my desk) bc stanley tucci took the USA women's hockey team out for a meal at his favorite restaurant and they gave him his own jersey
26.02.2026 18:48
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π¨ Please share widely! π¨
I'm hiring a postdoc (from Aug 1) to help build a new research program on politically sustainable immigration policies at Notre Dame.
Looking for a social scientist with strong quant skills, familiarity with new computational tools, and interest in public-facing research.
25.02.2026 16:34
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Brooklyn 8:37 PM
23.02.2026 01:38
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The book is build around a series of paired case studies -- similar events, where one became a full-fledged media storm, and the other did not -- such as the Titan Submersible Implosion vs. the Messenia Migrant Boat Disaster, occurring just days apart in 2023.
22.02.2026 17:58
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Catching Fire in the News
Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Catching Fire in the News
I'm a little late in sharing this news, but thanks to the extraordinary efforts of Amber Boydstun, @jilllaufer.bsky.social, and @nlpnoah.bsky.social, our book on media storms, "Catching Fire in the News", is now published and available fully open-access from Cambridge! doi.org/10.1017/9781...
22.02.2026 17:54
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A lot of people, including me, were wondering how an IRB could ever approve this study.
The answer is that no IRB did. The person who βsigned offβ on approval from the only ethics board that reviewed it had resigned three years earlier. His signature was used without his knowledge.
21.02.2026 02:43
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βAlysa Liuβs father, Arthur Liu, went into exile at age 25 in the 1990s from China to the US due to persecution of participants in the 1989 Democracy Movement.β
βLiu was a frontrunner recruitment prospect for China in 2022β but βher father would not be persuaded.β en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alysa_Liu
20.02.2026 06:28
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The Feds Targeted Charlotte. Now a Local Democrat Who Helped ICE Faces Voters. - Bolts
North Carolina lawmaker Carla Cunningham voted to mandate compliance with ICE, and derided immigrants on the House floor. The Democrat faces an intense March primary.
For @boltsmag.org, I wrote about the race to unseat Rep. Carla Cunningham in NC. After casting critical votes forcing cooperation with ICE, and backing other Republican legislation, the longtime Democratic lawmaker is facing a strong challenge in next monthβs primary.
boltsmag.org/north-caroli...
18.02.2026 16:21
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Georgia Is Letting a Railroad Seize Land a Black Family Has Owned For 100 Years
Descendants of enslaved people are fighting an attempt to use eminent domain to carve a spur through one of Georgiaβs largest Blackβowned farms.
In the 1800s, a slave owner purchased over a dozen people in Georgia and set the foundation for his familyβs generational wealth
Generations later, a railroad company owned by one of his descendants is using eminent domain to seize land of Black farmers
20.02.2026 02:06
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This really is a great picture:
20.02.2026 02:08
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lol if white students can bypass graduation requirements because of discomfort with Black and Latino topics, but Black and Latino students can't do the same with topics about white people, isn't that discrimination? π€
20.02.2026 01:54
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Team USA athletes are celebrating on the ice. A headline reads: "U.S. Wins Womenβs Hockey Gold Over Canada in Overtime."
Breaking News from @theathletic.com: The U.S. beat Canada in overtime, 2-1, in the womenβs hockey tournament to win the gold medal and complete a dramatic comeback. www.nytimes.com/athletic/liv...
19.02.2026 21:16
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New #Union numbers were released this morning by BLS, showing that in 2025, 16.5 million workers in the United States were represented by a union, an increase of 463,000 from 2024 and the highest number of unionized workers in the U.S. in 16 years. 1/
18.02.2026 15:07
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π¨ New paper out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social π¨
Do the public hold meaningful attitudes? Using the case of abortion policy preferences, we provide strong evidence that policy prefrences can be coherent, stable over time, and causally explain vote choice.
doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
18.02.2026 23:26
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Good to get current with @stevelevitsky.bsky.social today, talking protest, politics, social capital, and more. Video here:
19.02.2026 01:50
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This is a truly horrifying memo. It says that the policy of the US government will now be to proactively seek out and arrest likely tens of thousands of refugees who entered legally under Biden and subject them to detention, where they will be interrogated about their status.
19.02.2026 02:12
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In the concentration camp universe, this is what's known as a filtration camp. A government preemptively takes a whole class of people to interrogate and detain extrajudicially in order to inflict duress on them while arbitrarily assessing their (supposed) culpability.
19.02.2026 02:20
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Love this episode
18.02.2026 23:56
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