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Jill Laufer

@jilllaufer

Public Policy Prof Youth Political Participation Media & Framing Gun Violence & Climate Change AI & Tech β€’ Art & Space BKLYN in OAK πŸ–– | https://ps.ucdavis.edu/people/jill-laufer

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17.08.2023
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Latest posts by Jill Laufer @jilllaufer

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Guess What Moderate Democratic Voters Aren’t Anymore? Moderate. Two new polls suggest that moderate Democrats, too, want higher taxes on the rich and some measure of economic populism. Moderate isn’t what it was in 1992.

Moderate Democrats with columns in newspapers are constantly saying the Democratic Party is way too liberal on "social" issues. Moderate Democratic voters in real life do not feel this way. With some polling data from @gelliottmorris.com and @dataforprogress.org. newrepublic.com/article/2074...

09.03.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 1779 πŸ” 427 πŸ’¬ 49 πŸ“Œ 46
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An analysis of over 14 million social media posts from accounts in Canada found that 87% of conspiratorial claims come from just 100 influencers.

This minority of users impacts politics, influencing what people view as normal and leads to self-censoring to avoid attacks from conspiracy theorists.

08.03.2026 12:48 πŸ‘ 492 πŸ” 233 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 23
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How to Measure Public Support for Political Violence Abstract. With low but rising levels of violent political threats and violent acts by civilians in the United States, researchers increasingly want to meas

After nearly a decade measuring American public support for political violence, @nathankalmoe.bsky.social and I have published a somewhat comprehensive guide to measuring these attitudes. This includes historical comparisons and responses to common critiques. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

06.03.2026 17:45 πŸ‘ 157 πŸ” 69 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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New Interview: www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...

04.03.2026 19:27 πŸ‘ 2275 πŸ” 365 πŸ’¬ 199 πŸ“Œ 499

Oh my goodness this sounds amazing.

05.03.2026 01:30 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Current Board Members - ANES | American National Election Studies

Dear ANES community, the link below introduces our new Board of Advisors, led by Jamie Druckman. Jamie follows John Aldrich, who deftly chaired the Board for nearly 2 decades. This new group will guide us through the 2028 election cycle. Our deepest thanks to outgoing and incoming Board members!

03.03.2026 23:48 πŸ‘ 48 πŸ” 19 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
Title, author list, and two figures from the paper. 
Title: The Aftermath of DrawEduMath: Vision Language Models
Underperform with Struggling Students and Misdiagnose Errors
Authors: Li Lucy, Albert Zhang, Nathan Anderson, Ryan Knight, Kyle Lo
Figure 1: On the left is a math problem, where students are asked to draw x < 5/2 on a number line. The right side shows two example student responses that differ in correctness. DrawEduMath pairs each math problem with one student response, and prompts VLMs to answer questions about the student response.
Figure 2: VLMs consistently perform worse on answering DrawEduMath benchmark questions pertaining to erroneous student responses. Performance on non-erroneous student responses is labeled with specific VLMs’ names; that same model’s performance on erroneous student responses is directly below.

Title, author list, and two figures from the paper. Title: The Aftermath of DrawEduMath: Vision Language Models Underperform with Struggling Students and Misdiagnose Errors Authors: Li Lucy, Albert Zhang, Nathan Anderson, Ryan Knight, Kyle Lo Figure 1: On the left is a math problem, where students are asked to draw x < 5/2 on a number line. The right side shows two example student responses that differ in correctness. DrawEduMath pairs each math problem with one student response, and prompts VLMs to answer questions about the student response. Figure 2: VLMs consistently perform worse on answering DrawEduMath benchmark questions pertaining to erroneous student responses. Performance on non-erroneous student responses is labeled with specific VLMs’ names; that same model’s performance on erroneous student responses is directly below.

Models are now expert math solvers, and so AI for math education is receiving increasing attention.
Our new preprint evaluates 11 VLMs on our QA benchmark, DrawEduMath. We highlight a startling gap: models perform less well on inputs from K-12 students who need more help. 🧡

03.03.2026 03:08 πŸ‘ 34 πŸ” 12 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 2
stanley tucci with members of the gold medal winning USA women's hockey team

stanley tucci with members of the gold medal winning USA women's hockey team

crying in the club* (*at my desk) bc stanley tucci took the USA women's hockey team out for a meal at his favorite restaurant and they gave him his own jersey

26.02.2026 18:48 πŸ‘ 10646 πŸ” 1642 πŸ’¬ 130 πŸ“Œ 290
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Senior Correspondent, Politics WIRED is where a better future is imagined. For three decades, we have been the indispensable guide to a world in constant transformation. We cover humanity’s biggest challenges, from climate change t...

Journalism job alert: @wired.com is hiring an experienced politics writer. I might be biased, but WIRED is doing some of the best political coverage out there. This is your chance to join our amazing newsroom! condenast.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/CondeC...

25.02.2026 23:47 πŸ‘ 311 πŸ” 177 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 6
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🚨 Please share widely! 🚨

I'm hiring a postdoc (from Aug 1) to help build a new research program on politically sustainable immigration policies at Notre Dame.

Looking for a social scientist with strong quant skills, familiarity with new computational tools, and interest in public-facing research.

25.02.2026 16:34 πŸ‘ 55 πŸ” 59 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 5
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State of the Union 2026 Live Updates: Trump Hails His Policies and Derides Democrats The president projected a version of the United States that is growing, safe and β€œwinning.” In the Democratic response, Gov. Abigail Spanberger of Virginia accused the president of sowing fear and lying about the economy.

President Trump offered few new policy revelations in his marathon State of the Union address. Instead, he offered a rosy picture of the U.S. economy, supported by dubious claims, attacked Democrats and mocked their focus on affordability.

25.02.2026 05:30 πŸ‘ 99 πŸ” 28 πŸ’¬ 44 πŸ“Œ 2
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Brooklyn 8:37 PM

23.02.2026 01:38 πŸ‘ 8849 πŸ” 916 πŸ’¬ 177 πŸ“Œ 91
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The book is build around a series of paired case studies -- similar events, where one became a full-fledged media storm, and the other did not -- such as the Titan Submersible Implosion vs. the Messenia Migrant Boat Disaster, occurring just days apart in 2023.

22.02.2026 17:58 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Catching Fire in the News Cambridge Core - Politics: General Interest - Catching Fire in the News

I'm a little late in sharing this news, but thanks to the extraordinary efforts of Amber Boydstun, @jilllaufer.bsky.social, and @nlpnoah.bsky.social, our book on media storms, "Catching Fire in the News", is now published and available fully open-access from Cambridge! doi.org/10.1017/9781...

22.02.2026 17:54 πŸ‘ 29 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
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Alabama House bill would create sales tax holiday for guns | Alabama Reflector Sells' Bill would create the Second Amendment Sales Tax Holiday during the last weekend in August. Firearms and accessories would be exempt.

More people in Alabama died by gunfire in 2023 than in New York State, with four times Alabama’s population.

20.02.2026 16:03 πŸ‘ 19 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2

A lot of people, including me, were wondering how an IRB could ever approve this study.

The answer is that no IRB did. The person who β€œsigned off” on approval from the only ethics board that reviewed it had resigned three years earlier. His signature was used without his knowledge.

21.02.2026 02:43 πŸ‘ 4282 πŸ” 2087 πŸ’¬ 86 πŸ“Œ 98

β€œAlysa Liu’s father, Arthur Liu, went into exile at age 25 in the 1990s from China to the US due to persecution of participants in the 1989 Democracy Movement.”

β€œLiu was a frontrunner recruitment prospect for China in 2022” but β€œher father would not be persuaded.” en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alysa_Liu

20.02.2026 06:28 πŸ‘ 55 πŸ” 11 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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The Feds Targeted Charlotte. Now a Local Democrat Who Helped ICE Faces Voters. - Bolts North Carolina lawmaker Carla Cunningham voted to mandate compliance with ICE, and derided immigrants on the House floor. The Democrat faces an intense March primary.

For @boltsmag.org, I wrote about the race to unseat Rep. Carla Cunningham in NC. After casting critical votes forcing cooperation with ICE, and backing other Republican legislation, the longtime Democratic lawmaker is facing a strong challenge in next month’s primary.
boltsmag.org/north-caroli...

18.02.2026 16:21 πŸ‘ 200 πŸ” 59 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 2
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Georgia Is Letting a Railroad Seize Land a Black Family Has Owned For 100 Years Descendants of enslaved people are fighting an attempt to use eminent domain to carve a spur through one of Georgia’s largest Black‑owned farms.

In the 1800s, a slave owner purchased over a dozen people in Georgia and set the foundation for his family’s generational wealth

Generations later, a railroad company owned by one of his descendants is using eminent domain to seize land of Black farmers

20.02.2026 02:06 πŸ‘ 4755 πŸ” 2591 πŸ’¬ 144 πŸ“Œ 146
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This really is a great picture:

20.02.2026 02:08 πŸ‘ 29162 πŸ” 3679 πŸ’¬ 26 πŸ“Œ 313

lol if white students can bypass graduation requirements because of discomfort with Black and Latino topics, but Black and Latino students can't do the same with topics about white people, isn't that discrimination? πŸ€”

20.02.2026 01:54 πŸ‘ 290 πŸ” 80 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 3
Team USA athletes are celebrating on the ice. A headline reads: "U.S. Wins Women’s Hockey Gold Over Canada in Overtime."

Team USA athletes are celebrating on the ice. A headline reads: "U.S. Wins Women’s Hockey Gold Over Canada in Overtime."

Breaking News from @theathletic.com: The U.S. beat Canada in overtime, 2-1, in the women’s hockey tournament to win the gold medal and complete a dramatic comeback. www.nytimes.com/athletic/liv...

19.02.2026 21:16 πŸ‘ 678 πŸ” 98 πŸ’¬ 30 πŸ“Œ 22
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'Smiling' fossil discovered in Northumberland The unusual looking fossil is estimated to be a few hundred million years old dating to the Carboniferous period.

Put!

It!

Back!

19.02.2026 13:25 πŸ‘ 2748 πŸ” 394 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 114

New #Union numbers were released this morning by BLS, showing that in 2025, 16.5 million workers in the United States were represented by a union, an increase of 463,000 from 2024 and the highest number of unionized workers in the U.S. in 16 years. 1/

18.02.2026 15:07 πŸ‘ 113 πŸ” 39 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 6
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🚨 New paper out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social 🚨

Do the public hold meaningful attitudes? Using the case of abortion policy preferences, we provide strong evidence that policy prefrences can be coherent, stable over time, and causally explain vote choice.

doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

18.02.2026 23:26 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Good to get current with @stevelevitsky.bsky.social today, talking protest, politics, social capital, and more. Video here:

19.02.2026 01:50 πŸ‘ 37 πŸ” 20 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 3

This is a truly horrifying memo. It says that the policy of the US government will now be to proactively seek out and arrest likely tens of thousands of refugees who entered legally under Biden and subject them to detention, where they will be interrogated about their status.

19.02.2026 02:12 πŸ‘ 3094 πŸ” 1612 πŸ’¬ 80 πŸ“Œ 108

In the concentration camp universe, this is what's known as a filtration camp. A government preemptively takes a whole class of people to interrogate and detain extrajudicially in order to inflict duress on them while arbitrarily assessing their (supposed) culpability.

19.02.2026 02:20 πŸ‘ 5537 πŸ” 3034 πŸ’¬ 61 πŸ“Œ 55

Love this episode

18.02.2026 23:56 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0