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Whitney Manzo

@whitneymnz

Political science, books, soccer, and margaritas

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Latest posts by Whitney Manzo @whitneymnz

This sure seems more like the tyranny the Constitution is supposed to protect against than forgiving student loans.

24.01.2026 17:02 πŸ‘ 8415 πŸ” 2287 πŸ’¬ 65 πŸ“Œ 42
Visit of the
Prime Minister of Denmark
22nd Jawary 2026
We'll get by with a little help from our friends

Visit of the Prime Minister of Denmark 22nd Jawary 2026 We'll get by with a little help from our friends

Sky News: Danish PM Mette Freideriksen’s note in the visitors book when she visited UK today

23.01.2026 04:59 πŸ‘ 9365 πŸ” 1793 πŸ’¬ 128 πŸ“Œ 99
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One of the most lopsided results you'll ever see in a poll, from our weekend Washington Post poll www.washingtonpost.com/politics/int...

05.01.2026 15:39 πŸ‘ 15416 πŸ” 4235 πŸ’¬ 420 πŸ“Œ 392
"Captain Gains" on Capitol Hill
Shang-Jin Wei & Yifan Zhou
WORKING PAPER 34524
DOI 10.3386/w34524
ISSUE DATE November 2025
Using transaction-level data on US congressional stock trades, we find that lawmakers who later ascend to leadership positions perform similarly to matched peers beforehand but outperform them by 47 percentage points annually after ascension. Leaders' superior performance arises through two mechanisms. The political influence channel is reflected in higher returns when their party controls the chamber, sales of stocks preceding regulatory actions, and purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms.

"Captain Gains" on Capitol Hill Shang-Jin Wei & Yifan Zhou WORKING PAPER 34524 DOI 10.3386/w34524 ISSUE DATE November 2025 Using transaction-level data on US congressional stock trades, we find that lawmakers who later ascend to leadership positions perform similarly to matched peers beforehand but outperform them by 47 percentage points annually after ascension. Leaders' superior performance arises through two mechanisms. The political influence channel is reflected in higher returns when their party controls the chamber, sales of stocks preceding regulatory actions, and purchase of stocks whose firms receiving more government contracts and favorable party support on bills. The corporate access channel is reflected in stock trades that predict subsequent corporate news and greater returns on donor-owned or home-state firms.

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Figure 2: Estimated dynamic quasi-difference-in-differences coefficient, di, of equation(3), with vertical dashed lines representing 90 percent confidence intervals. The point estimate of the year in which the lawmaker became a congressional leader (Year 0) is normalized to zero. BHAR over the 250 days following each trade is the dependent variable and calculated using the Fama-French five-factor plus momentum as the benchmark model.

什 1 1 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9 Year Figure 2: Estimated dynamic quasi-difference-in-differences coefficient, di, of equation(3), with vertical dashed lines representing 90 percent confidence intervals. The point estimate of the year in which the lawmaker became a congressional leader (Year 0) is normalized to zero. BHAR over the 250 days following each trade is the dependent variable and calculated using the Fama-French five-factor plus momentum as the benchmark model.

After becoming a congressional leader, a politician’s stock portfolio beats out those of peers by 47 (!!!) percentage points a year through trades timed around bills and firms that later get government contracts

www.nber.org/papers/w34524

via @florianederer.bsky.social

03.12.2025 01:42 πŸ‘ 1434 πŸ” 629 πŸ’¬ 32 πŸ“Œ 83
Preview
James Watson, dead at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers James Watson, the co-discoverer of the structure of DNA who died Thursday at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers.

A Sharon Begley byline, almost 5 years after her death.

Upon hearing the news James Watson had died, a STAT reporter said in our Slack, "I wish I could read what Sharon would have written."

Incredible news: Sharon in fact did pre-write a Watson obit. And it is masterful and excoriating.
πŸ§ͺ🧬🧫

08.11.2025 13:39 πŸ‘ 6037 πŸ” 1983 πŸ’¬ 112 πŸ“Œ 340

This is obscene.

09.11.2025 05:52 πŸ‘ 709 πŸ” 218 πŸ’¬ 31 πŸ“Œ 3

Political violence disproportionately hurts people with less power, not people with more power. Political violence will disproportionately hurt people of color and women and LGBTQ people. It’s not fair, but that’s the way it works. Celebrating political violence means at best indifference to that.

10.09.2025 19:09 πŸ‘ 7897 πŸ” 1986 πŸ’¬ 145 πŸ“Œ 125
Preview
Legal Issues Raised by a Lethal U.S. Military Attack in the Caribbean The Trump administration’s extraordinary lethal attack on this purported smuggling vessel raises significant potential legal issues.

1/ I worked at DoD. I literally cannot imagine lawyers coming up with a legal basis for lethal strike of suspected Venezuelan drug boat.

Hard to see how this would not be "murder" or war crime under international law that DoD considers applicable.

Read expert analysis by @bcfinucane.bsky.social‡️

03.09.2025 21:41 πŸ‘ 8499 πŸ” 3027 πŸ’¬ 360 πŸ“Œ 304

".. unless Pulte somehow had particular knowledge about issues with Cook's application, which is unlikely, then one has conclude that Pulte handed Fannie and Freddie a list of political enemies and asked for their loan files for review."

26.08.2025 11:21 πŸ‘ 3052 πŸ” 1222 πŸ’¬ 126 πŸ“Œ 50

THIS IS NOT CONSTITUTIONAL.

They cannot commandeer state and local law enforcement because they want to.

THIS IS NOT LAWFUL.

They cannot use federalized guard or military personnel for civilian law enforcement absent rebellion and insurrection.

14.08.2025 14:46 πŸ‘ 4117 πŸ” 1229 πŸ’¬ 346 πŸ“Œ 74

I often hear similar thoughts from a majority of my students. No relationship to partisanship, race, class, etc. "It's all broken, things need to change"

27.06.2025 13:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œDecades of political science research show that societies that are open & pluralistic, w/ high levels of both individual & political rights, are more prosperous, more peaceful & more effective than autocracies that are closed and stagnant.”

Winners of poli sci top prize speak out.

26.05.2025 14:10 πŸ‘ 740 πŸ” 214 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 6

I don’t mean to be a caricature, but this just isn’t law. The Supreme Court is always making policy. But this is beyond. β€œThis dicta in an emergency order will reassure the markets but just uh trust us on the law here ok no we’re not overruling Humphrey’s yet and when we do we’ll spare the fed.”

22.05.2025 21:16 πŸ‘ 1700 πŸ” 507 πŸ’¬ 55 πŸ“Œ 50

My favorite thing is going to "Mexican" restaurants in European countries. If I see it, I'm going. It's always an adventure

30.04.2025 23:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

This is a law, passed by Congress, that the executive branch is required to enforce, and which was just upheld by an 8-1 Supreme Court decision less than a year ago.

01.02.2025 18:48 πŸ‘ 531 πŸ” 169 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 6

I suppose it's nice that my class on the Civil Rights Movement has current material to discuss? 🫠

22.01.2025 13:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Mine is the years of walking into what I suspect is the same hotel chain to be greeted by a TV welcoming "Mr. Manzo"

07.01.2025 21:36 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Gigantic SUVs are a public health threat. Why don’t we treat them like one? The anti-tobacco playbook could help turn the US public against their beloved oversized cars.

A gigantic vehicle endangers those who never consented to the danger they face walking, biking, or sitting inside smaller cars. Heavier vehicles pulverize modest-sized ones, & tall front ends obscure a driver’s vision, putting pedestrians and cyclists at risk. Deaths are at 40 year highs.

06.01.2025 18:39 πŸ‘ 61 πŸ” 21 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

I was in London for July 2019 and for July 2024, and you really can tell a difference. The labor shortage is no joke.

06.01.2025 03:15 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Female content creators on YouTube received significantly more negative feedback for comparable content.

But the removal of public display of dislikes eliminated this gender gap and persistently increased female creator productivity and consumer demand.

sites.google.com/view/maritaf...

19.11.2024 18:14 πŸ‘ 1118 πŸ” 333 πŸ’¬ 16 πŸ“Œ 35

I love moot court and I hate moot court. The problem is, I always love it when it's time to schedule courses and forget that I hate it until it's too late

17.11.2024 02:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Kidz bop choices are so strange sometimes! I would love a deep dive into that

15.11.2024 19:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Bluesky academics, lets get to know each other! Quote this & tell me: 1) a project you are working on & 2) an odd idea/theory you aren’t working on but keep thinking about

1) NC public opinion in the 2024 election
2) The politics of youth sports

15.11.2024 18:32 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Old North State Politics "To blog, rather than to seem": a public scholarship blog that focuses on North Carolina politics and other random political ramblings regarding the politics of the U.S. South and and the United State...

@whitneymnz.bsky.social & Susan Roberts look at the 2024 election's gender dynamics--especially generational and the abortion issue--to analyze what it means for the nation's politics.

You can find their new analysis at: www.oldnorthstatepolitics.com

#ncpol

14.11.2024 17:08 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0