Meteorologist Dan Smith

Watch for gusty winds and heavy rain starting after 3am in NW Ohio/SE Michigan, with rainfall rates of 1"+/hr peaking between sunrise and noon.

Tue 11:30pm update: Strong storms continue to race across the Midwest, with an ice storm starting up farther north in Michigan. While this complex has a history of putting down tornadoes back in IL/IN, our local tornado and hail threat is lower.

#Midwest #storms

Dangit, I KNEW I put the wrong state in on the form...

Predictor (GRAF model), Fri 2pm: 50+ mph WSW wind gusts across NW Ohio/SE Michigan.

PREDICTOR: While that early Wednesday morning line of storms will be our main focus tonight, don't forget those 50+ mph wicked winds to close out the week in NW Ohio/SE Michigan. 💨

#Ohio #Michigan #wind

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*SEVERE UPDATE*
Summary: Severe threat has decreased for this evening, but we're still watching for a few possible isolated strong cells near/north of the state line after 8pm. Severe weather is more likely overnight, main threat time from 2am-6am.
Cell phone volume up tonight!

10-day forecast (Toledo, Ohio): * Overnight line of storms; high winds likely, hail/tornadoes possible * 1-2" rain in spots thru Wed * 50+ mph gusts Friday * More gusty days Sun/Mon (few wet flakes possible early next week)

10-DAY: Quite a mid-March range of temps for Toledo! Highlights:

* Overnight line of storms; high winds likely, hail/tornadoes possible
* 1-2" rain in spots thru Wed
* 50+ mph gusts Friday
* More gusty days Sun/Mon (few wet flakes possible early next week)

#Toledo #weather

Flood watch issued 8pm Tue Mar 10 - 6am Wed Mar 11 for western counties in NW Ohio/SE Michigan.

A flood watch has been issued in advance of tonight's showers/storms, which includes our western counties through dawn Wednesday. Rainfall rates could push 1-2" per hour in some of those downpours, most likely between midnight-sunrise. More rain will fall during daylight hours Wednesday.

Still a favorite story to tell some American coworkers... like Fort Knox, but tastier.

"You are here" seasonal chart: Winter, fool's spring, second spring, spring of deception, third winter, the Pollening, actual spring, summer, Satan's front porch, false fall, second summer, actual fall.

Where would you say Toledo's seasonal status is at this week? We'll push to the 70s again today, followed by a tumble to the 40s again by Thursday -- and even subfreezing highs to start the second half of March.

#Toledo #seasons

Three deer in frame among brush and barren trees, two of them looking at the camera.

You may put on your 3-D(eer) glasses now. 🦌🦌🦌

📸: Spencer Coleman

PREDICTOR: Latest data shows that southern shift in the warm front we discussed on Action News at 5/6. Tuesday PM clearing will "prime the pump" for overnight cells to carry gusty winds, with hail and tornadoes possible. Most likely window for severe storms remains 8pm-4am.

#Ohio #Michigan #storms

10-day forecast (Toledo, Ohio): * Isolated strong storms by Tue PM commute, increasing in coverage overnight; high winds, hail & tornadoes possible * 1"+ rain with Wednesday downpours (40+ mph gusts south of Toledo) * More wind and a few wet flakes Friday & Sunday

10-DAY: It's an active March week in the weather department here in Toledo. Highlights:

* Isolated strong storms by Tue PM commute, increasing in coverage overnight; high winds, hail & tornadoes possible
* 1"+ rain with Wednesday downpours (40+ mph gusts south of Toledo)

#Toledo #weather

New record high in Toledo, Ohio for March 9th: 73F (previous record: 68F in 2021)

We tied today's record high of 68° in Toledo just before 2pm, and easily set a new one in the 70s -- first time this year in the Glass City! We'll have similar highs Tuesday by early afternoon, ahead of a front sinking slowly south and setting up the ingredients for those pop-up evening storms.

Storm Prediction Center risk area: 2/5 (slight) along/west of I-75, 1/5 (marginal) for rest. 60+ mph gusts possible, along with a lesser hail/tornado threat. Downpours likely through Wednesday. Primary severe timeframe: 8pm-4am.

While Tue PM/early Wed's storms are expected to lose steam as they trek east, damaging winds mixing down to the ground will remain the key concern with whatever cells develop. Given the wind shear along/south of the warm front, some spin-ups/hail can't be ruled out.

#Ohio #Michigan #storms

HAZARDS: Damaging wind gusts are the most likely impact from these cells, though large hail and tornadoes can’t be ruled out given the amount of wind shear to tap into overnight. Heavy rain may also lead to localized flooding through Wednesday.

WHEN: These cells will develop and race through between sunset Tuesday and sunrise Wednesday, though 11pm-4am is our current most likely window for severe threats.

WHAT: A warm front with temps near 70° will combine with increasing wind speeds overnight to generate thunderstorms, moving from west to east through NW Ohio/SE Michigan.

First Alert Weather Day: Strong storms possible in NW Ohio/SE Michigan late Tue-early Wed, most likely window 11pm-4am. Hazards: damaging wind gusts, large hail, isolated tornadoes.

Heads up: We're issuing a First Alert Weather Day for late Tuesday PM into early Wednesday AM (March 10-11), for strong storms developing after sunset and racing through NW Ohio/SE Michigan. 🧵👇

#Ohio #Michigan #storms

Predictor (GRAF model), Tue 5pm: 70s across much of Lucas/Wood Counties, 40s/50s nearshore.

PREDICTOR: Tuesday afternoon looks to host another edition of "lake breeze vs warm front", with areas near Lake Erie keeping much cooler than the rest of the viewing area.

#Toledo #LakeErie #weather

10-day forecast (Toledo, Ohio): * Record high possible Monday (68° in 2021) * Gusty storms possible late Tuesday PM, widespread showers Wednesday (at least 0.5-1" for many) * 40+ mph gusts Wed/Fri; some flurries Fri AM

10-DAY: A warm and sunny start, a rainy middle, and a gusty end to the week ahead in #Toledo. Highlights:

* Record high possible Monday (68° in 2021)
* Gusty storms possible late Tuesday PM, widespread showers Wednesday (at least 0.5-1" for many)
* 40+ mph gusts Wed/Fri; some flurries Fri AM

NOTE: US Drought Monitor data is compiled up to Tuesday and released Thursday, so this particular round of rain will not be factored in to March 12th's map.

Predictor (GRAF model): 0.5-1" rain in NW Ohio/SE Michigan late Tues through Wednesday (Mar 10-11).

Much of NW Ohio has been dealing with extreme drought conditions since October, though Wednesday will make up for some lost time. While those midweek showers will be scattered, 0.5-1" is expected for many (with isolated heavier downpours getting above the 1" mark).

#Ohio #Michigan #rain

4:30pm Sunday: Mid to upper-50s temps across NW Ohio/SE Michigan.

4:30pm Sun: Consistent temps in the mid to upper-50s this sunny Sunday afternoon! Monday's highs could very well reach 70° in Toledo for the first time this year, though many southern counties already blew past that mark on the other side of the warm front back on Friday.

#Ohio #Michigan #weather

Peak wind gusts in NW Ohio/SE Michigan, Sat Mar 7: 41 mph Lima, 39 mph Findlay, 38 mph Toledo Express, 36 mph Wauseon/Port Clinton, 35 mph Toledo Executive Airport/Defiance/Ottawa, 33 mph Adrian.

Most of these Saturday wind gust figures came in the late afternoon, between the AM thundershowers and evening cold front. Sunday's SW breeze will be tamped down a bit by comparison, though Wednesday's round will get 40+ mph gusts going yet again in NW Ohio/SE Michigan.

#Ohio #Michigan #wind

10-day forecast (Toledo, Ohio): * Sunny skies Sun/Mon (30-35 mph gusts) * Wednesday: Next rainmaker (1"+ in spots) * Wed/Fri: 40+ mph gusts possible * Cooler mid-month

10-DAY: Consistent warmth in Toledo for a few days, though you'll have to mind the breeze. Highlights:

* Sunny skies Sun/Mon (30-35 mph gusts)
* Wednesday: Next rainmaker (1"+ in spots)
* Wed/Fri: 40+ mph gusts possible
* Cooler mid-month

Predictor (GRAF model): 30-35 mph SW gusts across NW Ohio/SE Michigan Sunday, March 8.

PREDICTOR: It won't be as gusty tomorrow (Sun Mar 8), though the southwest breeze will return to keep highs near 60°. Windier conditions are expected Wednesday as another rainy system rolls through.

#Ohio #Michigan #weather

Daylight Saving Time begins Sunday, March 8th, 2026 at 2am ("spring forward" clocks by 1 hour).

The semi-annual "Why are we still doing this?" night is once again upon us. Remember to set those clocks ahead for Daylight Saving Time, and check those batteries in the smoke detector(s) while you're at it. #DST 🕑⏩

This would be the strongest and deadliest Michigan tornado since 2022, where an EF-3 tore through Gaylord in the northern "mitt" of the Lower Peninsula.

Damage is consistent with peak winds of 150 mph (EF-3 strength). A 12-year-old boy was reportedly killed in Cass County, with 3 more fatalities confirmed farther down the cell's path in Union City (per the Branch County Sheriff's Office).

Fri Mar 6: EF-3 tornado confirmed in southern Michigan by NWS, with estimated peak winds of 150 mph (4 confirmed deaths).

The National Weather Service has come down with their preliminary damage survey results (still ongoing as of Saturday afternoon) from Friday's tornado-producing storm that raced through Cass, St. Joseph, and Branch Counties in Michigan.

#Michigan #tornado