Julen Astigarraga's Avatar

Julen Astigarraga

@julenastigarraga

Ecology, forests, global change, biogeography, rstats, data science | Ekosistemetan ematen diren aldaketak ulertzeko ahaleginean

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27.10.2024
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Latest posts by Julen Astigarraga @julenastigarraga

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The future of Europe’s forest disturbance regimes– a thread.

Tl, dr: Disturbances from wildfire, bark beetles & wind will continue to increase in the coming decades. Under unabated climate change disturbances could more than double by 2100.

New paper out in @science.org doi.org/10.1126/scie...

05.03.2026 19:36 👍 60 🔁 36 💬 0 📌 5

One of those legendary pieces of online statistical lore that everyone needs be aware of.

04.03.2026 13:56 👍 31 🔁 3 💬 5 📌 0
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Downscaling daily solar radiation in the Canary Islands with GAM Researcher in climate science at MBG-CSIC

🆕 BLOG POST
There’s so much more to spatial downscaling today than classic LM or kriging. In my new blog post, I show how flexible and powerful GAMs can be for this task. #rstats #dataviz

➡️ dominicroye.github.io/blog/canary-...

02.03.2026 16:31 👍 34 🔁 16 💬 2 📌 0
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Best practices for moving from correlation to causation in ecological research - Nature Communications Different scientific traditions offer seemingly disparate approaches to inferring causal relationships in ecological systems. This Perspective unifies the causal assumptions and methods from...

Excited to share our new paper in @natcomms.nature.com We synthesize causal discovery & inference approaches across traditions (regression adjustment, quasi-expts, SEMs, Granger causality, convergent cross-mapping, and more) into a unified workflow for ecologists. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

24.02.2026 17:25 👍 159 🔁 63 💬 3 📌 6
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Tenemos nuevo #SeminarioEcoinformático !!

Esteban Alonso (IPE-CSIC) nos hablará sobre supercomputación y paralelización de tareas 💻🔀

*Esta vez no habrá grabación del seminario, así que os animamos a asistir!

¡Os esperamos a todas y a todos!

📆 jueves 12 marzo 2026, 16:00h
🔗 shorturl.at/G9efC

23.02.2026 16:17 👍 9 🔁 9 💬 0 📌 0

New paper out in @jappliedecology.bsky.social! We investigated how forest structural heterogeneity and climate influence temperate dung beetles in production forests. 🪲

19.02.2026 16:52 👍 9 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 1
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☀️Hotter and drier conditions under ongoing climate change are causing tree mortality events and altering forest dynamics worldwide.

🧑‍💻Learn more in the webinar:
☀️Limits and opportunities in predicting drought-induced forest mortality
🗓️24 March 2026; 🕓4:00 pm CET

🔗 zoom.us/meeting/regi...

18.02.2026 09:36 👍 7 🔁 5 💬 0 📌 0
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a woman in a red shirt is sitting at a table with a bowl of christmas ornaments . ALT: a woman in a red shirt is sitting at a table with a bowl of christmas ornaments .

Querida comunidad ecoinformática venimos con una actividad muy interesante, así que id reservando la fecha en vuestras agendas porque...

¡Vuelven las Jornadas de Ecoinformática!

Nos vemos el 1–2 octubre, Sevilla.

Os dejamos un formulario de pre-registro 👇 shorturl.at/2TtLB

17.02.2026 09:04 👍 6 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 0
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Central Europe has seen unprecedented forest disturbances recently, but how are forests recovering? We surveyed disturbance hotspots in 10 countries 3-5 years after disturbance, finding ample tree regeneration and no signs of forest loss (median 4750 stems/ha), but... 1/2 doi.org/10.1111/gcb....

09.02.2026 07:09 👍 28 🔁 15 💬 1 📌 2
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New paper by @albavianasoto.bsky.social and @corneliussenf.bsky.social on forest reburns in southern Europe, published in Glob. Ecol. and Biogeography🌲🔥
Highlight: 30.1% of burned forest area experiencing multiple fire events since 1985.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

02.02.2026 12:43 👍 12 🔁 7 💬 0 📌 1
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What's new in the world of Generalized Additive Models YouTube video by Bottom of the Heap

🚨 GAMs have moved on—so it’s time for an update.

On March 3, 2026 (17:00–19:00 CET) I’ll be livestreaming an updated introduction to Generalized Additive Models in R

📺 YouTube livestream link: youtube.com/live/A9U8e1K...

#RStats #mgcv #GAMs #gratia #statistics 🧪

03.02.2026 12:57 👍 107 🔁 47 💬 4 📌 1
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Global functional shifts in trees driven by alien naturalization and native extinction - Nature Plants This study finds that native tree extinctions and alien naturalizations are pushing forests towards fast-growing, resource-demanding species. This global shift could affect carbon storage and ecosyste...

Fast-growing trees are set to dominate the #forests of the #future — but at a cost🌳
Our Nature Plants (@natplants.nature.com) study shows a global shift toward "sprinter" tree species, while slow-growing, functionally critical #trees face elevated #extinction risk. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

29.01.2026 06:11 👍 90 🔁 48 💬 1 📌 1
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Contrasting pathways to tree longevity in gymnosperms and angiosperms - Nature Communications Tree longevity is thought to increase in harsh environments, but global evidence of drivers is lacking. Here, the authors find two different pathways for tree longevity: slow growth in resource limite...

Led by Roel Brienen, our paper in @natcomms.nature.com "Contrasting pathways to tree longevity in gymnosperms and angiosperms" is finally out and formatted.

Other bluesky folks contributing to the paper were @yellowbuckeye.bsky.social and @rmtrr.bsky.social

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

26.01.2026 21:58 👍 39 🔁 24 💬 1 📌 1
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We are hiring a postdoctoral researcher!🌲 🌳 🌍

📍Interested in boreal and temperate forest productivity and respiration?
💻 Like to work with large datasets, remote sensing and models?
🏔️ Love an alpine setting in a small town?

Come and join us at KIT!

Application details: t1p.de/qctj7

22.01.2026 11:44 👍 33 🔁 40 💬 0 📌 0
Aerial view of Douglas fir in Oregon. Stock photo.

Aerial view of Douglas fir in Oregon. Stock photo.

Carbon dioxide fertilization drives about 45% of US forest carbon uptake, 66 teragrams of carbon per year, while changes in tree age composition contribute 89 teragrams per year, according to plot-level data from 14 forests. In PNAS: https://ow.ly/P0Tz50Y1Mgh

23.01.2026 23:00 👍 9 🔁 4 💬 0 📌 0
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Tree diversity is changing in the Amazon and Andes.

Belen Fadrique leads our analysis in @natecoevo.nature.com w/ 400 plots + 40 years of RAINFOR records.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Hot, drier, more fragmented forests are losing species. Many in the Andes + western Amazon are gaining them.

23.01.2026 12:11 👍 42 🔁 29 💬 1 📌 1
Zotero Blog » Blog Archive » Zotero 8 Zotero is a free, easy-to-use tool to help you collect, organize, cite, and share research.

Zotero 8 is out in stable: www.zotero.org/blog/zotero-8/
A bunch of new stuff -- the new citation dialog especially is a huge (and long overdue) improvement; massively speeds up anything I do in Word/GDocs with Zotero

22.01.2026 19:15 👍 61 🔁 32 💬 2 📌 0
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Massive update to the Global Wood Density Database out today @newphyt.bsky.social led by the brilliant Fabian Fischer. What an amazing community resource!
🧪🍁🌐

nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

17.01.2026 14:05 👍 78 🔁 40 💬 0 📌 2
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In the @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social Global Climate Highlights 2025 report we used #dataviz to present its key messages and bring them to a wider audience. This first example shows daily temperature anomalies from 1940 to 2025 and it was inspired by the work of @erwanrivault.com (BBC)

14.01.2026 13:58 👍 51 🔁 33 💬 3 📌 2
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Esperamos que hayáis comenzado el año con fuerza porque se viene la vuelta de los 'Seminarios de Ecoinformática' 😍

¡Apunten en su agenda que nos vemos el próximo 22 de enero! ⬇️

🟢Miguel Sevilla IPE-CSIC
OpenStreetMap: cartografía libre de acceso, uso y contribución
Link: shorturl.at/G9efC
#Science

12.01.2026 12:53 👍 5 🔁 5 💬 1 📌 1

Forest Diversity, Biodemography and Global Change post-doc opportunity, ERC project led by Lalasia Bialic-Murphy apply.refline.ch/273855/1824/...
Individuals with skills in demographic or species distribution modeling, large language models or functional trait interpolation are encouraged to apply.

12.01.2026 16:39 👍 2 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 0
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Hemos empezado el año con un artículo nuevo, y este es muy bonito

authors.elsevier.com/sd/article/S...

"Summer aridity modulates tree growth response to thinning in Mediterranean pines"

Vamos con el primer hilo del año (1/13)
@csicdivulga.bsky.social
#SoyForestal

07.01.2026 09:00 👍 5 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 0
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In C Europe, there is a push to align forest management more closely with natural processes, but is this "closer-to-nature" management able to sustain biodiversity and ecosystem services? Great synthesis led by @anastritih.bsky.social with input from many leading experts! doi.org/10.1007/s407...

07.01.2026 14:04 👍 47 🔁 14 💬 1 📌 2
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Pervasive increase in tree mortality across the Australian continent Nature Plants - Eight decades of forest plot monitoring show a pervasive increase in tree mortality across Australia’s forest biomes driven by climate change, jeopardizing their role as...

New research from our group: A pervasive increase in tree mortality across the Australian continent - driven by rising temperatures
rdcu.be/eXSa7

06.01.2026 21:42 👍 93 🔁 50 💬 1 📌 7
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Living on the edge – physiological tolerance to frost and drought explains range limits of 35 European tree species vist.ly/4k79q #LT50 #P50 #SDM

31.12.2025 09:24 👍 6 🔁 5 💬 0 📌 0

🌳Check our new review paper about “what the worldwide forest biodiversity experiments tell us“ in the last three decades.

02.01.2026 03:26 👍 29 🔁 12 💬 1 📌 0
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It’s the run up to the holidays so there can only be one #MethodologyMonday topic - the scientific way to cut your Christmas cake. Published c1906 in Nature by the statistician Francis Galton 🎂🎄🔪😊 Enjoy!
galton.org/essays/1900-...

22.12.2025 07:57 👍 16 🔁 6 💬 0 📌 0
https://shorturl.at/N6J3V

https://shorturl.at/N6J3V

¿No te ha tocado la lotería?

¡Pues no te preocupes porque desde el grupo de Ecoinformática hemos estado preparando algo especial!🎄

🎁 Sabemos que os habéis portado genial este año, así que qué mejor que comenzar el 2026 apuntándote al taller de elaboración de paquetes de R 🚀
shorturl.at/N6J3V

22.12.2025 12:48 👍 15 🔁 10 💬 0 📌 4
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🎉 labeleR-paper has been published in @ecosistemas-aeet.bsky.social!
👪 Together with @iramosgutierrez.bsky.social @jimenamateomartin.bsky.social & @frodsan.bsky.social!
📃 We briefly explain how to use it, its advantages and possibilities... Take a look! revistaecosistemas.net/index.php/ec...

22.12.2025 15:52 👍 32 🔁 12 💬 1 📌 0