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Kelton Minor

@keltonminor

Researching human adaptation to global changes in climate, environment, and technology

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09.11.2024
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Latest posts by Kelton Minor @keltonminor

There were 23 billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in the US in 2025.

And we only know this because @climatecentral.org hired the NOAA employee who led this vital tracking effort, which was decommissioned by the administration last spring.

08.01.2026 17:30 πŸ‘ 107 πŸ” 52 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1

There will be a brain drain out of the US to Canada, Europe and other countries.

And once we lose these top researchers we may never get them back.

Itβ€˜s been a monumental mistake to attack science and higher education.

05.11.2025 20:21 πŸ‘ 47 πŸ” 17 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
DOEresponseSite On July 29, 2025, the Department of Energy (DOE) published a report from its Climate Working Group (CWG). This report features prominently in the EPA's reconsideration of its 2009 Endangerment Finding...

The Department of Energy hired five academics to raise doubts about climate change. 85+ climate experts (organized by @andrewdessler.com) reviewed their report. Our conclusion, detailed in 450 pages of analysis: it is biased, full of errors, and not fit to inform policy making.

02.09.2025 13:07 πŸ‘ 1191 πŸ” 506 πŸ’¬ 21 πŸ“Œ 37
a graph of high temperatures, daily severity rating and radiative power, showing how heat and DSR built up before fires broke out

a graph of high temperatures, daily severity rating and radiative power, showing how heat and DSR built up before fires broke out

Heat & very dry air that used to be rare, now very common in Spain & Portugal, putting huge strain on EU firefighting resources - at 1.3C global warming. Every additional ton of fossil fuels burnt will make European summers even more deadly & dangerous www.worldweatherattribution.org/extreme-fire...

04.09.2025 09:28 πŸ‘ 188 πŸ” 96 πŸ’¬ 7 πŸ“Œ 2
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We warmly welcome @keltonminor.bsky.social as a new Associate Professor in Planetary Behavioral Data Science, in a joint position with the Psychology Dept.

Kelton's research examines how individuals and populations adapt to rapid global changes in the atmosphere, biosphere, and cybersphere.

01.09.2025 07:56 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks to everyone both near and far who gave me the unswerving courage to continue spinning on the long, dusty road to discovery.

🚲 Persist.

01.09.2025 21:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

"There would be no comfortable houses for the mass of the people, no railway, no wireless, no protection against epidemics, no cheap books, no culture and no enjoyment of art for all...” -Einstein

β€œThe growth of knowledge depends entirely on disagreement.”
-Karl Popper

01.09.2025 21:07 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

"and what we owe to that freedom which our ancestors have won for us after hard struggles. Without such freedom there would have been no Shakespeare, no Goethe, no Newton, no Faraday, no Pasteur and no Lister..."

01.09.2025 21:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Today, the ghosts of the past have the present to give. To invoke the words of Einstein:

β€œIf we want to resist the powers which threaten to suppress intellectual and individual freedom we must keep clearly before us what is at stake ..."

01.09.2025 21:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ‡©πŸ‡° TAK Danmark, for at fremme friheden til at (ud)forske med Γ₯bne ΓΈjne, sind og hjerter. Det er jeg ekstremt taknemmlig for πŸ‡©πŸ‡°

01.09.2025 21:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸš΄β€β™‚οΈ From first hosting me as a wobbly-wheeled Cornell University exchange student in 2010, a US-Fulbright Denmark fellow in 2012, a new PhD student at the University of Copenhagen in 2018, to now welcoming me back as a more steady-wheeled Associate Professor in 2025 🚲....

01.09.2025 21:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ As an American, I’m also grateful to give back to πŸ‡©πŸ‡° Denmark’s innovative research environment, which has been equally formative for my scientific development as it has my ability to ride a bike!

01.09.2025 21:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

It is both a privilege and the beating heart of science to be able to ask hard, open-ended questions on the uncertain road to answers without fear, favor or censorship. We all have much to learn from toddlers in that regard πŸ₯

01.09.2025 21:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

🌐 My research program aims to monitor and support humanity’s adaptation to growing planetary stressors on the one spaceship we all share 🌍

01.09.2025 21:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Today I'm starting a new chapter as a tenured Associate Professor of Planetary Behavioral Data Science at the University of Copenhagen (@cphsodas.bsky.social & Department of Psychology)! It has been an Orwellian kind of year for scientists. But as history shows, science persists.

01.09.2025 21:07 πŸ‘ 32 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2
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RealClimate: National Climate Assessment links RealClimate: For some reason, it has become hard to locate the various National Climate Assessments (NCAs) that have been produced by the USGCRP over the decades (and it's pretty hard to find the USGR...

If you are having trouble finding National Climate Assessment reports, they are here.

www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...

26.07.2025 17:50 πŸ‘ 103 πŸ” 78 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 5

Glad this is getting some coverage. I've already had to send over 20 emails and several phones calls about this, with no resolution yet.

25.06.2025 18:25 πŸ‘ 203 πŸ” 80 πŸ’¬ 8 πŸ“Œ 1
Environmental Research: Climate - IOPscience

Congratulations to Environmental Research: Climate @iopp-environment.bsky.social on receiving its first Impact Factor of 5.4! ERCL is non-profit, open access and has no article charges through 2025. Consider for your interdisciplinary climate research!

iopscience.iop.org/journal/2752...

25.06.2025 18:52 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
β€œThe biggest factor here is simply the raw uncertainty of it all,” says Gernot Wagner, a climate economist at Columbia Business School. β€œIf you’re a natural scientist with massive labs and post-docs and pre-docs and research assistants, and all your funding depends on one government agency that may be in the crosshairs of DOGE, that uncertainty is even larger.”

In this environment, even many scientists who haven’t yet lost their jobs or funding have one eye on the border. In a recent survey of more than 1,600 scientists by Nature, 75% said they were considering leaving the country.

β€œThe biggest factor here is simply the raw uncertainty of it all,” says Gernot Wagner, a climate economist at Columbia Business School. β€œIf you’re a natural scientist with massive labs and post-docs and pre-docs and research assistants, and all your funding depends on one government agency that may be in the crosshairs of DOGE, that uncertainty is even larger.” In this environment, even many scientists who haven’t yet lost their jobs or funding have one eye on the border. In a recent survey of more than 1,600 scientists by Nature, 75% said they were considering leaving the country.

EU may look like the winner in the US brain drain.

But I'm afraid I'm with @markgongloff.bsky.social & @lararhiannon.bsky.social: "A US Brain Drain Doesn’t Benefit Anyone"
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

17.04.2025 10:26 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 13 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 2
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Worse Weather Pushes People to Social Media New research shows that people post more on social media when bad weather hits, sometimes even more than during large social events in the United States.

New research from Nick Obradovich, @estebanmoro.bsky.social l, @keltonminor.bsky.social shows that people post more on #socialmedia when bad weather hits, sometimes even more than during large social events in the U.S.

01.04.2025 19:13 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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NIH Ends Future Funding to Study the Health Effects of Climate Change It’s unclear whether the guidance will impact active grants, but it appears to halt opportunities for future studies. One climate health expert said the directive would have a β€œdevastating” impact on ...

The National Institutes of Health will no longer be funding work on the health effects of climate change, according to internal records reviewed by ProPublica.

www.propublica.org/article/nih-...

24.03.2025 20:50 πŸ‘ 265 πŸ” 207 πŸ’¬ 10 πŸ“Œ 27

If you had a grant cancelled, consider submitting info about your terminated grant using this Google Form [Contact Scott Delaney with Qs on Signal (sdelaney.84)]
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
Also, see @scott-delaney.bsky.social 's post below for the database of cancelled grants
#defendresearch

24.03.2025 18:23 πŸ‘ 13 πŸ” 15 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks Ari 😒

22.03.2025 00:51 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks Colin, gut punch of a week.

22.03.2025 00:49 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Appreciate the support Esteban. Looking forward to catching up soon on the other side of this!

22.03.2025 00:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks Scott. Mostly just looking forward to getting back to doing science wherever and whenever that may be, hopefully soon πŸ™

22.03.2025 00:44 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Reviewer notes: That’s a very nice mediation analysis you have there. It would be a shame if something happened to it. Mediation analysis has gotten a lot of flak, including classic titles such as β€œYes, but what’s the mechanism? (Don’t expect an easy answer)” (Bullock et al., 2010), β€œWhat mediation analysis can (not) ...

New blog post! In which I explain the issue with mediation analysis and sketch out one way to deal with the underlying causal inference problem -- in just a bit over 1,000 words!

If you have never found the time to read up on this, now is your chance.

www.the100.ci/2025/03/20/r...

20.03.2025 13:40 πŸ‘ 454 πŸ” 138 πŸ’¬ 27 πŸ“Œ 20

Mediation analysis or "three correlations in a trench coat"

21.03.2025 13:04 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

β€œWe write as constitutional scholarsβ€”some liberal and some conservativeβ€”who seek to defend academic freedom and the First Amendment in the wake of the federal government’s recent treatment of Columbia University.”

21.03.2025 13:58 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

"The government’s action therefore risks deterring and suppressing constitutionally protected speechβ€”not just illegal discriminatory conduct... The administration’s failure to honor the Title VI safeguards creates a dangerous precedent for every recipient of federal financial assistance."

20.03.2025 21:50 πŸ‘ 372 πŸ” 85 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1