@marlind
Forest scientist at European Forest Institute, Bonn, Germany. Social-ecological resilience, Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation, Disturbance risk management, Sustainability, Forestry, Carbon Cycle, Ecosystem Services, Biodiversity
Various policies have high expectations on forests, as carbon sinks, as biodiversity habitats, as source of renewal resources for the bioeconomy - future disturbance regimes will strongly affect all of these!
Check out both the Science paper and our policy brief!
Insights 3: Disturbance change impacts Europe’s forest demography, reducing the share of old forests and increasing the share of young forests on the landscape. This could have profound implications for ecosystem services and biodiversity, and needs to be accounted for in forest policy. (6/10)
Insight 2: Fire is the main driver of increasing future disturbance, and the Mediterranean is particularly affected. However, future disturbance hotspots emerged across biomes, from Finland to Germany and Spain, in our simulations. Disturbance change is thus a challenge at the European scale. (5/10)
Thanks, @rupertseidl.bsky.social, Marc Grünig, @wernerrammer.bsky.social
@corneliussenf.bsky.social and the whole RESONATE team for pulling this off! It was a pleasure to work with this great team!
The policy brief will be online friday morning...
This is crucial evidence for several European policies!
Insight 1: In the coming decades, disturbances will continue to increase regardless of emissions pathway. If we effectively reduce emissions, we reach peak disturbance by mid century with declines thereafter. If emissions continue unabated, however, disturbances will continue to soar. (4/10)
Methodology 2: Key advances of our new approach are that amplifying interactions between individual disturbance agents are explicitly accounted for, and that climate - disturbance – vegetation feedbacks are explicitly simulated. (3/10)
The future of Europe’s forest disturbance regimes– a thread.
Tl, dr: Disturbances from wildfire, bark beetles & wind will continue to increase in the coming decades. Under unabated climate change disturbances could more than double by 2100.
New paper out in @science.org doi.org/10.1126/scie...
Climate change will increase forest disturbances in Europe throughout the 21st century
We are living in a different world now re: forest disturbance risks!
Check this new Science paper out for state-of-the-art forest disturbance scenario projections! www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Fig. 2 Conceptual model of the expected role of dryland mechanisms along a climatic gradient from cool and moist towards hot and dry conditions (x-axis), and their relevance for climate-smart forestry (CSF, y
✨ Paper spotlight ✨
(🧵1/8) Shaping Future Forests: How can ecophysiology support climate-smart forest management?
nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
#PlantScience
☀️Hotter and drier conditions under ongoing climate change are causing tree mortality events and altering forest dynamics worldwide.
🧑💻Learn more in the webinar:
☀️Limits and opportunities in predicting drought-induced forest mortality
🗓️24 March 2026; 🕓4:00 pm CET
🔗 zoom.us/meeting/regi...
Postdoctoral position in Forest Genetics at @uni-freiburg.de with a focus on local adaptation and/or stress reaction of trees. The position combines research and teaching (4 SWS), and offers the opportunity to develop an independent research profile (4+ years).
We need to shift from reactive response to an Integrated Fire Management to enhance forest and landscape resilience
#ForestSoils are more than dirt beneath our feet: they regulate water, store carbon, & support #biodiversity 🌱
On 18 November, the #HoliSoils Webinar Series continues with a session dedicated to understanding & mapping forest soils across Europe!
Sign up now ➡️ holisoils.eu/holisoils-we...
Excellent resource!
The Forest Information System for Europe (FISE) is an entry point for data, information and knowledge on European forests – gathered or derived through key forest-related policy drivers. EFI and @w-u-r.bsky.social have been working on updating the site!
🔗 Explore the website: forest.eea.europa.eu
Geospatial data from the Integrate Network Database (270 marteloscope sites in 27 European countries with more than 100,000 recorded trees) can now be accessed through an interactive map.
resilience-blog.com/2025/10/06/n...?
Sounds very interesting. The DOI does not work for me. Is the link correct?
New paper in Nature Climate Change! What are the costs of increasing disturbances? Find out in this amazing contribution by @johannesmohr.bsky.social! Great to see this out and congrats Johannes on such a nice first PhD paper! www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Great example how you interpret the scientific results and draw policy and management recommendations!
well, we list several specific recommendations for forest owners and managers: diversify tree species, use disturbance impacts to enhance biodiversity, manage browsing efficiently, and several others
Connecting recreational experience with knowledge on Integrative Forest Management. Nice blog post related to the #TRANSFORMIT project (transformforests.eu/about/)
resilience-blog.com/2025/08/26/j...?
What happens when forests are valued not just for timber, but for clean water, biodiversity, and climate resilience? 🍃💧🦌
WWF Bulgaria , runs a pilot model for Payments for Ecosystem Services shows how nature can be part of the economic equation.
Full story: intercede-project.eu/payments_fes...
very interesting study! Vaia is such a prominent wind storm case study. Very much appreciate that ungulate browsing was studied so widely, as forest resilience of the future stand will be strongly affected by high ungulate densities!
Researchers identify five steps to successful nature restoration - the need for policy coherence & adequate financial support to make Nature Restoration happen is clear yet the Commission have proposed an MFF/CAP that seem to deliver neither
www.google.com/amp/s/phys.o...
We benefit a lot from exchanging experiences in disturbance prevention across borders. Alex and Lindon brought international practical experience to Germany and share this now with neighboring regions as well
Recommended watch: In a talk at the recent TED Countdown Summit 2025 in Nairobi, former US vice-president Al Gore explained why the narrative of "climate realism” is a “myth”.
New paper: "Biodiversity Credits: An Overview of the Current State, Future Opportunities, and Potential Pitfalls", led by Sven Wunder, Cecilia Fraccaroli @efieuropeanforest.bsky.social and Sophus zu Ermgassen.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...
Import progress to assess wind damage risk. Useful resource for the FoRisk facility forisk.org