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Marco Petagna

@petagna

BSc MSc Media Advisor & Senior Operational Meteorologist UK Met Office Parent to 2 mini daxies Love running Views & opinions my own @Petagna on X

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Latest posts by Marco Petagna @petagna

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The jet stream lies to our north at the moment, keeping the more active weather systems at bay

A more mobile and unsettled weather pattern becomes established next week as a stronger jet slips south

07.03.2026 13:43 ๐Ÿ‘ 14 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

#warmestdayoftheyearsofar

05.03.2026 16:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Major sudden stratospheric warming ssw event has occurred with zonal mean zonal winds at 10hpa 60N reversing from their usual westerlies this time of year to easterly

The stratospheric polar vortex has split..Will be interesting to ๐Ÿ‘€ for possible surface blocking in few weeks

04.03.2026 21:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 13 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

18.2C today at Wiggonholt

Previous date record high for the UK was 17.2C set on a few occasions, last in 1957!

03.03.2026 16:38 ๐Ÿ‘ 9 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Saharan dust this week..

03.03.2026 13:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 9 ๐Ÿ” 2 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Could see 18 or 19C SE UK Thursday

Average high is around 10C

Date record for UK 5 March is 19.2C Huntly, Aberdeenshire, 1961

Warmest day so far this year 18.7C Kew Gardens, 25 February

03.03.2026 13:39 ๐Ÿ‘ 9 ๐Ÿ” 3 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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-1C mountains โ›ฐ๏ธ in Scotland
+17C SE England

02.03.2026 15:55 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
Preview
Dull and mild February brings wet winter to a close The Met Office has released its provisional statistics for Winter 2025/26 and February 2026, revealing a season characterised by persistent wet weather and stark regional rainfall contrasts.

Full winter and February weather stats...

www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/new...

www.metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2026/me...

02.03.2026 15:53 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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UK winters are getting wetter
Updated figures...

02.03.2026 12:28 ๐Ÿ‘ 9 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The West Midlands, Cornwall and Leicestershire all experienced their wettest winter on record...

02.03.2026 12:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Through next week

Low pressure dominating
โฌ‡๏ธ
High pressure dominating

More settled weather developing

01.03.2026 15:48 ๐Ÿ‘ 9 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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1st of March ..

1st day of Meteorological Spring ๐ŸŒป

St David's Day

A month where we gain significant daylight..

01.03.2026 11:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 19 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Outlook snapshot:

1. Friday's rain clearing ๐ŸŒง

2. Ridge high pressure today ๐ŸŒค

3. Rain bearing weather systems for Sunday/Monday ๐ŸŒง

4. High pressure for Tuesday ๐ŸŒค

28.02.2026 11:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 10 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Spring starts with something more settled

Low pressure โžก๏ธ higher pressure

27.02.2026 22:10 ๐Ÿ‘ 11 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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"Clear"!

Can the spv stratospheric polar vortex recover this season?...

26.02.2026 23:23 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

More likely to snow March than December

25.02.2026 18:35 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Pretty marked signal from GFS and EC for a major ssw sudden stratospheric warming event early March..

25.02.2026 16:06 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 3 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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The spv stratospheric polar vortex is getting str-etch-ed..

25.02.2026 16:02 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

18.6C the provisional high so far today..

25.02.2026 16:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Very very mild for many
17/18C now SE England
๐ŸŒก๐Ÿ“ˆ
Though shy of the 21.2C UK February record set 26.2.19 at Kew Gardens

25.02.2026 13:40 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Today's EC output also following the GFS trend towards a wind reversal at 10hpa 60N next week..

23.02.2026 21:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Interesting turn of events.. GFS now plumping for a significant spv stratospheric polar vortex weakening, and potential major ssw sudden stratospheric warming ..one to ๐Ÿ‘€

23.02.2026 18:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 6 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Storm Hernando continues to bear down on the E US ...

23.02.2026 12:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 8 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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It's much warmer than on average at 10hpa above the N Pole

The spv stratospheric polar vortex is much weakened as a result, and losing some of its 3d coherent structure

23.02.2026 12:14 ๐Ÿ‘ 4 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1

See metoffice BSky post 3 days ago which gives info on making contact with developers

22.02.2026 18:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Working the 12hr weekend media shifts at the MetOffice... made so much more straightforward at the moment with no weather warnings, wind storms/flooding rains or snow levels and snow amounts to tax the weary brain..a rare occurrence of late!

22.02.2026 18:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 20 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 2 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

16.1C at Yeovilton this afternoon ๐ŸŒก๐Ÿ“ˆ

21.02.2026 14:27 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
21/02/2026 - Mild and breezy - Afternoon Weather Forecast UK โ€“ Met Office Weather
21/02/2026 - Mild and breezy - Afternoon Weather Forecast UK โ€“ Met Office Weather YouTube video by Met Office - UK Weather

Here's your latest metoffice national weather forecast

Hint..
..'warmer rain' in store!

youtube.com/watch?v=Ick-...

21.02.2026 12:20 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
A map of the UK showing a maximum temperature of 14.3 Celsius, recorded in Exeter Airport on 20th February 2026

A map of the UK showing a maximum temperature of 14.3 Celsius, recorded in Exeter Airport on 20th February 2026

After weeks of chilly weather, today's been the warmest day of the year so far with 14.3ยฐC recorded in Exeter ๐ŸŒก๏ธ

This exceeds the previous highest temperature of 2026; 13.9ยฐC in Westonzoyland, Somerset on 6 February.

20.02.2026 15:07 ๐Ÿ‘ 19 ๐Ÿ” 4 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 1
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Almost 50C warming at 10hpa above the N Pole recently

The spv stratospheric polar vortex much weakened as a result

20.02.2026 14:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 7 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0