Gerry Doyle

a kinetic conflict as opposed to a WAR OF THE MIND (?)

U.S. Lost 92,000 Jobs in February The U.S. lost 92,000 jobs in February, the Labor Department said Friday, missing expectations.

A nightmare employment report this morning.

Economists’ expectation was +50,000 jobs.

Actual number was 92,000 jobs lost.

🎁 🔗

www.wsj.com/economy/jobs...

I figured the nyt visuals team would be working on this and I was right

it's pretty amazing neither of the parties bombing iran have taken responsibility for this

🇰🇼 Kuwaiti F-18C shot down at least one of the 🇺🇸 USAF F-15Es in visual range on March 2nd.

I don't know what to say. It's definitely hard to make excuses for.

Via Twitter acct @Blaxk__Bird

the thing is... midget subs and missile-armed speedboats are still a threat, especially in a hormuz context. and there may be lots of mines and anti-ship missiles lying around undeployed as well

Iran Left With Midget Subs, Speedboats After Week of Strikes Iran’s navy suffered devastating losses in the last week, with most of its surface vessels damaged or destroyed, leaving the country to depend on a fleet of smaller ships such as midget submarines and...

let's check in on iran's navy www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

I do think all of these things are likely tbh

but!

those things can be true but also all parties for some reason feel like the war should continue to limp along

careful?

Strait of Hormuz Escorts May Trigger Iran’s Anti-Ship Missiles President Donald Trump’s suggestion that the US would insure and protect oil tankers and other vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz may potentially bring Iran’s anti—ship missiles into play, a...

it's not clear whether iran still has a bunch of anti-ship missiles, but at one point they did

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

I mean if these details are remotely true it's a pretty massive failure of air defenses isn't it?

and I mean

wouldn't "ai" have been able to offer a few predictions about the second- and third-order effects of these strikes, none of which the u.s. seemed to see coming

Russia Is Big Winner as Iran War Drains Supplies That Ukraine Needs The conflict is draining supplies Ukraine needs for its defense, while surging oil prices are boosting the Russian economy.

Russia is one of the biggest winners early in the largest U.S. military confrontation in decades, as Iranian missiles deplete stocks of Patriot interceptors that Ukraine needs.

tbh I strongly disagree that these strikes looked any different than in previous air campaigns

surely you're not implying that war aims and justifications have been shifting daily

👏All ballistic missiles are hypersonic👏

Chaotic War Endgame Fear, Iran Drone-Missile Math, China Lowers Growth Target Podcast Episode · Bloomberg Daybreak: Europe Edition · March 5 · 21m

lots of good stuff here, but if you want to specifically hear my big dumb voice talk about where the war in iran is at the moment, it starts around 16:30: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...

the one who loved horses, the one who was a great goalkeeper, the one who kept a diary every day, the one who held her sister's hand when they walked to school, the one who read Harry Potter in English, the one who collected old coins, the one who drew rainbows for her grandmother ...

bob gates' memoir from precisely this period discusses the insane intensity of the israeli campaign to get the US to bomb Iran and the considerable and near uniform DOD resistance to the idea

The UN, though in Manhattan, is on international land, not American. Also a pretty central tenet of diplomacy is “we will not take advantage of proximity to murder your people” for reasons that should be very obvious.

so this is apropos of a larger truth many people get: in a truly big war PGMs will go very rapidly and anyone still standing after the initial barrages goes dumber

US Use of Costly Weapons Against Iran Tests Limits of Inventory The US has a massive stock of easy-to-produce, air-dropped precision bombs — as President Donald Trump implied in a social media post this week — but has been using costly and less-numerous standoff w...

munitions: you know 'em, you love 'em, you're using the top-shelf stuff against an adversary with few defenses www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

AN/FPS-132 seems definitely hit, I’m talking about thaad tho

I don’t think this happened, although it’s possible someone did not set up adequate defenses around the battery (which itself Is not designed to hit targets in the lower atmosphere)

Mark Kelly to Undersecretary of Defense Elbridge Colby: "I'm trying to understand whether you believe Iran can be primarily contained by our regional partners, which is what you wrote a few weeks ago, or is it imminent threat to the US as President Trump just told the American people? Can't be both"

I think you mean la ventana

one-way attack drones are RUDIMENTARY CRUISE MISSILES

shout it from the hilltops

so I have had this thought several times in the last few days, that overenthusiastic "decapitations" actually set conditions for civil war, not regime change. armed militias, boy, I don't know....

Kash Patel’s latest firings ousted agents with expertise in Iran The FBI director gutted a specialized, global espionage unit of counterintelligence agents, just days before Operation Epic Fury.

When FBI Director Kash Patel fired a dozen FBI agents and staff last week for their role in the classified documents investigation of Donald Trump, he targeted an elite counter espionage unit that investigates threats from foreign adversaries and specializes in Iran www.ms.now/news/kash-pa...

a good question

another one: who if anyone is allowed to be in charge without getting blowed up

Iran's Missile Math: $20,000 Drones Take on $4 Million Patriots Which side runs out of munitions first could determine the outcome of the war.

a free* link for you, the people

*for seven days www.bloomberg.com/news/article...