Keith A. Preble, Ph.D.'s Avatar

Keith A. Preble, Ph.D.

@poliscikeith

Teaching assistant professor in political science & security studies. I research: foreign policy, proliferation, sanctions, statecraft, DPRK, EU. My personal account, my personal views. https://www.keithpreblephd.com

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23.08.2023
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Latest posts by Keith A. Preble, Ph.D. @poliscikeith

A lot of these statements, prognostications, and protestations are just fears of big electoral losses in the upcoming midterms these politicians from both parties are likely to feel from voters for a number of reasons.

09.03.2026 19:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

People ask me all the time about oil prices and the economy, and I say the same thing (I should have it printed on a t-shirt): Don't believe it until you see it; saying it doesn't make it.

09.03.2026 19:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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GOP Whip Tom Emmer predicts oil prices will drop after Iran war Oil prices spiked amid the ongoing U.S.-Israel war with Iran, stoking affordability fears ahead of the November midterm elections.

I hate to say it, but I just don't think the government's positions are all that credible these days nor do I trust much of the information that they try to disseminate through their own channels and proxies:

www.cnbc.com/2026/03/09/i...

09.03.2026 19:52 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Yanis Varoufakis calls prosecution after admitting taking ecstasy 40 years ago β€˜ridiculous’ Greek leftwing intellectual and former minister says his indictment is indicative of far-right turn in western politics

These kinds of government effort are mystifying to me: I can't imagine people caring about the actions of someone 40 years ago or even their opinions on drug use today:

www.theguardian.com/world/2026/f...

Will prosecuting him magically reduce or eliminate drug use in Greece or anywhere in Europe?

09.03.2026 19:46 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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How cargo thieves are stealing millions of dollars in tech hardware The value of cargo thefts has surged, with pricey AI chips and RAM modules as favorite targets.

What an unsurprisingly shocking story: wapo.st/4bjcRHl

09.03.2026 11:27 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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ABC NEWS: β€œ.. Retired Adm. Mike Mullen, former chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said Sunday that he worries the current war with Iran could drag on for years.”

abcnews.com/Politics/adm...

09.03.2026 11:02 πŸ‘ 550 πŸ” 209 πŸ’¬ 25 πŸ“Œ 13

Wordle 1,724 4/6*

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09.03.2026 11:12 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Cocoa beans rot and West African farmers seek other options after commodity crash West African cocoa farmers are facing a squeeze after the price of the global commodity crashed on the international market in recent months.

apnews.com/article/west...

08.03.2026 22:43 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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War in Myanmar’s Andaman Islands In Myanmar’s vast southern archipelago, the civil war intersects with a much longer struggle for survival.

In Myanmar’s vast southern archipelago, the civil war intersects with a much longer struggle for survival.

08.03.2026 11:33 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Oh my! Would you look at the time.

08.03.2026 11:38 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Wordle 1,723 5/6*

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08.03.2026 11:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Statement of Cardinal Blase J. Cupich, archbishop of Chicago, β€œA Call to Conscience” - Statements - Archdiocese of Chicago - AoC Portal As more than 1,000 Iranian men, women and children lay dead after days of bombardment from U.S. and Israeli missiles, the official White House X account on Thursday evening posted a video of scenes fr...

Please please read this from the archbishop of Chicago

www.archchicago.org/statement/-/...

08.03.2026 03:46 πŸ‘ 5699 πŸ” 2219 πŸ’¬ 162 πŸ“Œ 156
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Column | How to war-proof your budget before regular gas hits $4 a gallon As the Iran conflict leads to rising gas prices, these tips can help you save money and maintain some budget predictability.

As the Iran conflict leads to rising gas prices, these tips can help you save money and maintain some budget predictability.

08.03.2026 01:00 πŸ‘ 27 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 32 πŸ“Œ 13
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A federal judge in DC rules that Kari Lake was not lawfully appointed and that actions she took as the claimed head of USAGM "shall have no force or effect," including last August's RIFs at the Voice of America.

07.03.2026 23:29 πŸ‘ 5691 πŸ” 1673 πŸ’¬ 110 πŸ“Œ 101

For those of you who'd like to read it, instead of shaking your fist at half the title, here you go:

www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...

07.03.2026 18:46 πŸ‘ 426 πŸ” 70 πŸ’¬ 57 πŸ“Œ 12

Connections
Puzzle #1000πŸŽ‰
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07.03.2026 22:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Pedro SΓ‘nchez: No to war It is naive to think that escalating conflict in Iran will lead to anything good, writes Spain’s prime minister

In a guest essay, Spain’s prime minister says: β€œNo to the unilateral violation of international law. No to repeating the mistakes of the past. No to the idea that the world’s problems can be solved with bombs”

07.03.2026 22:00 πŸ‘ 112 πŸ” 45 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 6
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Americans stuck in the Middle East recount finding their way home with little government help Stranded Americans across the Middle East say they’ve been left to navigate flight cancellations and confusing government guidance on their own.

Not sure why the US government wasn’t more prepared for a war of their own doing:

apnews.com/article/stra...

07.03.2026 22:00 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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How to Measure Public Support for Political Violence Abstract. With low but rising levels of violent political threats and violent acts by civilians in the United States, researchers increasingly want to meas

After nearly a decade measuring American public support for political violence, @nathankalmoe.bsky.social and I have published a somewhat comprehensive guide to measuring these attitudes. This includes historical comparisons and responses to common critiques. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

06.03.2026 17:45 πŸ‘ 157 πŸ” 69 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Long-delayed Jan. 6 plaque honoring police quietly erected overnight at Capitol The memorial honoring officers who defended the Capitol was required by law to be installed by March 2023.

Long-delayed Jan. 6 plaque honoring police quietly erected overnight at Capitol

07.03.2026 14:11 πŸ‘ 4324 πŸ” 1081 πŸ’¬ 135 πŸ“Œ 108
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The Fish Doorbell β€” The Fish Doorbell Did you spot a fish? Press the Fish Doorbell! This alerts our lock operator to let the fish through. The Fish Doorbell is in Utrecht, NL.

Fish Doorbell time! visdeurbel.nl/en/?fbclid=I...

07.03.2026 21:03 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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A Political Earthquake Rattles the North Carolina Legislature

End of an era in NC?

www.nytimes.com/2026/03/05/u...

07.03.2026 19:59 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The Government Uses Targeted Advertising to Track Your Location. The online advertising industry has built a massive surveillance machine, and the government can co-opt it to spy on us.

The creepy system that serves you targeted ads has been used by the government to track peoples' locations, new reporting confirms. eff.org/deeplinks/2...

05.03.2026 21:14 πŸ‘ 133 πŸ” 89 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 7

Now do RFK, Jr.!

05.03.2026 19:51 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

PEPFAR, the program to stop hundreds of thousands of children and adults from dying of HIV/AIDS, was $6.5 billion a year.

05.03.2026 02:45 πŸ‘ 3040 πŸ” 1118 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 20
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North Korea’s Response to the Israel-US Attacks on Iran Just a week after North Korea signaled openness to dialogue, the U.S. launched a military operation against Iran with a stated goal of regime change.

Just a week after North Korea signaled openness to dialogue, the U.S. launched a military operation against Iran with a stated goal of regime change.

05.03.2026 09:34 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Wordle 1,720 5/6*

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05.03.2026 09:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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DOJ shelves Biden autopen probe, failing to identify a relevant statute The probe came as President Donald Trump has repeatedly claimed former President Joe Biden used an autopen without knowing the contents of what he signed.

Tough to bring a criminal case when you can’t even identify a relevant statute, turns out.

www.nbcnews.com/politics/tru...

05.03.2026 00:26 πŸ‘ 260 πŸ” 57 πŸ’¬ 11 πŸ“Œ 4

I agree. My grandfather’s family died before I was born (pneumonia, flu, other infectious diseases of the day), so this table is special.

05.03.2026 00:18 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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HBCU Students Walk Miles to the Polls After Campus Sites Are Cut Black college students in North Carolina and Texas continue to engage students to be more civically active.

Dozens of North Carolina A&T State University students recently walked more than 30 minutes to a nearby polling site holding signs that said β€œAggie Votes Matter,” β€œUse Your Vote or Lose Your Vote,” and other signs after they found out there was no early voting site on campus.
https://bit.ly/4d1TSmY

04.03.2026 23:17 πŸ‘ 177 πŸ” 77 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 5