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Mark Niesse

@markniesse

Reporter covering the Georgia General Assembly and state government for Capitol Beat at capitol-beat.org

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27.07.2023
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Latest posts by Mark Niesse @markniesse

If villain has a wider 4betting range (AK, JJ+), either calling or shoving is profitable, but calling would probably be more profitable by keeping the drunk guy in. I'd be interested in how a sim would estimate the EV of a call.
Thanks for your response and for hosting Thinking Poker! Great stuff.

27.02.2026 13:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Help me out with 1st strat question:
If Hero 5bet shoves and Villain calls w/ QQ+/AK, Hero is in great shape! (.38)(790+1150) - (.58)(1150) = $70.2.
If Villain's range is wider, then shove profits more.
If Villain's range is only AA/KK, then Hero's call is just set mining. @carloswelch.bsky.social

26.02.2026 19:39 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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The FBI got the ballots from the 2020 election in Fulton County. Agents will use them to look for double-counted, illegal and missing ballots. The election is long over, but Republicans' quest to find intentional fraud isn't. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

15.02.2026 13:46 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Skeptics of 2020 election look for answers from FBI raid in Fulton Allegations of fraud and mismanagement have dogged Fulton County since 2020.

Many conspiracy theories about the 2020 election have been debunked.
But skeptics say the FBI's investigation of Fulton County could answer legitimate questions about double-counted or uncounted ballots. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

13.02.2026 13:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Georgia GOP senators target Raffensperger over voter registration lists |

Several Georgia Republican senators are demanding that Republican Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger comply with the Trump administration’s pursuit of the state’s unredacted voter registration list. #gapol capitol-beat.org/2026/01/geor...

14.01.2026 18:35 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Georgia legislators run for higher office while crafting new laws |

Lawmaking in Georgia this year could come with a healthy dose of campaigning. At least 16 Georgia legislators say they’re running for higher office during elections later this year. #gapol capitol-beat.org/2026/01/geor...

13.01.2026 20:08 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Georgia Senate bans local gun storage laws with first bill passedΒ in 2026 |

The Georgia Senate voted along party lines Tuesday to ban cities from requiring gun owners to lock up their guns in cars, the first bill approved in this year’s legislative session. capitol-beat.org/2026/01/geor... #gapol

13.01.2026 19:00 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
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A squabbling State Election Board struggles after Georgia Supreme Court ruling The State Election Board is mired in squabbles and political advocacy even after the Georgia Supreme Court rebuked the board for exceeding its authority.

When it’s not busy bickering, the State Election Board keeps trying to insert itself into Georgia’s voting process even after the state Supreme Court reduced its power this spring. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

29.09.2025 12:47 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Georgia Republican Party targets early and absentee voting in 2026 agenda The Georgia Republican Party is seeking broad reductions to early voting, absentee voting and voter registration through a GOP-led committee of state legislators.

The Georgia Republican Party is asking legislators to get rid of a week of early voting, end no-excuse absentee voting and eliminate automatic voter registration. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

16.09.2025 11:35 πŸ‘ 74 πŸ” 36 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 17
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Georgia double-voting cases bypass State Election Board backlog Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger has begun sending allegations of double-voting to prosecutors, circumventing the backlogged State Election Board.

A huge backlog of cases at the State Election Board has, at times, prevented the timely prosecution of double-voting, allowing alleged wrongdoers to escape justice. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

10.09.2025 12:19 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Georgia voting law's limits on mass-mailing absentee applications upheld A federal judge ruled in favor of part of Georgia's 2021 voting law that restricts organizations from mass-mailing absentee ballot applications to voters.

A federal judge upheld a Georgia law restricting voting organizations from mass-mailing absentee ballot applications as they did during the 2020 election. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

09.09.2025 15:47 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Bipartisan support grows for using hand-marked paper ballots in Georgia A Republican effort to switch to hand-marked paper ballots in Georgia is gaining support from some Democrats, including U.S. Rep. Hank Johnson and state legislators.

In a rare show of bipartisanship in Georgia elections, a few prominent Democratic lawmakers are supporting a Republican effort to move toward hand-marked paper ballots. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

06.09.2025 14:07 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Gabriel Sterling launches campaign for Georgia secretary of state Gabriel Sterling, a Republican defender of Georgia's election system who called out President Donald Trump in 2020, is running for secretary of state.

Gabriel Sterling, a leading defender of Georgia’s voting system who famously called for President Donald Trump to condemn election threats in 2020, launched a campaign for secretary of state. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

04.09.2025 19:18 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Hand-marked paper ballots could be tested in Georgia's 2025 elections Lawmakers overseeing Georgia's election laws called for a test-run of hand-marked paper ballots this fall, a move away from touchscreen voting.

Key Georgia lawmakers Tuesday called for a rapid test-run of hand-marked paper ballots in this year’s elections, switching from touchscreens in some polling places. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

02.09.2025 18:38 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Automatic voter registration comes under scrutiny by Georgia lawmakers Georgia lawmakers will decide whether to roll back automatic voter registration, which has resulted in high numbers of voters but led to some criticism.

Automatic voter registration β€” which has given Georgia one of the highest registration rates in the nation β€” might be endangered next year. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

01.09.2025 13:18 πŸ‘ 62 πŸ” 25 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 1
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State Election Board's 'dysfunction' on display for Georgia lawmakers Georgia lawmakers witnessed a splintered and dysfunctional State Election Board as they consider stepping in to make changes.

CLARKESVILLE β€” A divided, bickering State Election Board was on full display Thursday as Georgia legislators repeatedly heard about its deep β€œdysfunction.” State representatives were not impressed. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

29.08.2025 11:20 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Fulton commission must appoint GOP nominees or face $10K daily fines Board of Commissioners must appoint two Republicans to the county Election Board or pay $10,000 daily fines.

A judge held the Fulton County Board of Commissioners in civil contempt Wednesday, ordering $10,000 daily fines for defying a court order by failing to appoint two Republican nominees to the county Election Board. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

27.08.2025 20:22 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Georgia cancels nearly 471K voters, one of the largest removals in history Georgia election officials completed the canceling of 471,000 voter registrations this week, removing people who moved away or haven't participated in recent elections.

Georgia finished canceling nearly 471,000 voter registrations Friday, one of the largest removals of inactive voters in U.S. history. The cancellations shrink the state's number of registered voters from 8.44 million to less than 8 million. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

22.08.2025 17:25 πŸ‘ 43 πŸ” 34 πŸ’¬ 6 πŸ“Œ 6
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Fulton commissioners reject GOP election board picks, defying court order The Fulton County Board of Commissioners defied a court order and refused to appoint two election skeptics to the county elections board on Wednesday.

The Fulton County Board of Commissioners refused to appoint two election critics nominated by the county Republican Party on Wednesday, despite a court order requiring them to do so. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

20.08.2025 23:26 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The latest from the Georgia 2026 midterm election trail Get the latest updates and analysis on the Georgia races for U.S. Senate and governor β€”Β the battleground state's most hotly contested races.

Since the Georgia Supreme Court rejected several of the State Election Board's voting rules this summer, all sides have agreed to dismiss the rest of the case. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

20.08.2025 20:22 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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The latest from the Georgia 2026 midterm election trail Get the latest updates and analysis on the Georgia races for U.S. Senate and governor β€”Β the battleground state's most hotly contested races.

A judge threw out a lawsuit Monday over the 2020 presidential election, ruling against Georgia election critics who had demanded to review ballot images that don't exist. www.ajc.com/politics/202... #gapol

19.08.2025 16:48 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Mass voter registration cancellation in Georgia could affect eligible voters Georgia plans to cancel nearly 500,000 inactive voter registrations this month. Voting rights groups warn the cancellations include some voters who may still be eligible.

Georgia’s mass cancellation of inactive voter registrations β€” one of the largest in U.S. history β€” targets people who likely moved away and didn’t vote recently. But it comes with a risk that eligible voters could get swept up in the process. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

19.08.2025 12:55 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Federal appeals court considers food-and-water ban in Georgia's voting law Federal appeals court judges questioned whether Georgia's ban on giving food and water to voters waiting in line is allowed or violates their free speech rights.

The 11th Circuit Court of Appeals questioned whether providing food and water to voters waiting in line is a form of free speech protected by the First Amendment or an intrusion on the protected space near polling places. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

13.08.2025 18:54 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Georgia representatives open up debate over vast changes to voting laws A Georgia elections study committee has become a forum for advocates on the right and left to seek major changes to voting laws ahead of a heated election year in 2026.

A Georgia elections study has become a public venue for conservative activists to demand major changes, such as switching to hand-marked paper ballots, ending no-excuse absentee voting and getting rid of automatic voter registration. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

11.08.2025 12:24 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Investigations of election fraud and errors took a back seat to the State Election Board’s failed efforts to change Georgia election rules last year. Now there's a backlog of 315 cases that have already been investigated and are awaiting decisions. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

08.08.2025 11:18 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Chris Carr suing Burt Jones over unlimited fundraising edge The Georgia attorney general's gubernatorial campaign claims a 2021 state law allowing Jones to raise unlimited cash is unfair.

Attorney General Chris Carr’s campaign for governor just filed a federal lawsuit challenging a 2021 Georgia law that allows his Republican opponent, Lt. Gov. Burt Jones, to raise unlimited cash while imposing strict limits on his own fundraising. #gapol

ajc.com/politics/202...

07.08.2025 17:06 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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Fulton County ordered to appoint Republican election board picks A Fulton Superior Court judge ordered that the county's board of commissioners must appoint two critics nominated by the Fulton Republican Party to the county election board.

The Fulton County Board of Commissioners must appoint election critics nominated by the Fulton County Republican Party to the county election board, a superior court judge has ruled. By @calebgroves.bsky.social #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

05.08.2025 21:22 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Husband campaigns while his wife on State Election Board criticizes officials Kelvin King is running for Georgia elections chief while his wife, Janelle King, used her platform as a member of the State Election Board to criticize the secretary of state.

He’s a candidate running to oversee Georgia elections. She’s a State Election Board member and media personality who appears on Fox News. Does Janelle King’s government position give a political benefit to her husband? #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

03.08.2025 14:25 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 2
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Georgia Election Board seeks DOJ aid to again investigate 2020 election Three Republicans on the State Election Board revived allegations about Georgia's 2020 election and asked for help from President Donald Trump's Justice Department.

Three right-wing members of the State Election Board revived a fight over the 2020 presidential election Wednesday and called for President Donald Trump’s Justice Department to intervene. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

31.07.2025 15:22 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 2
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State Election Board finds Lyft's ride-to-the-polls offer broke Georgia law In a 3-1 vote Tuesday, the State Election Board found that the company violated a Georgia law against paying for votes when it offered discounted rides to the polls in 2022.

The State Election Board found that Lyft violated a Georgia law against paying for votes when it offered discounted rides to the polls. Free rides are allowed, but the board's majority opposed Lyft's pro-voter offer. #gapol www.ajc.com/politics/202...

29.07.2025 20:30 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0