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Filipe Campante

@filipecampante

Bloomberg Distinguished Professor (SAIS & Carey Business School), Johns Hopkins University. Political economy, Brazil, and a little bit of futebol.

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Latest posts by Filipe Campante @filipecampante

Thing is, no one knows this is happening, yet if they had one this game, they would have immediately become national heroes.

07.03.2026 18:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Come think of it, a hinge moment in modern US history was Nixon resigning before being impeached and convicted by his own party. The seal wasn’t broken, then Ford pardoned him, and here we are.

07.03.2026 12:44 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Presidential systems are clearly a terrible idea anywhere, but say what you will about Latin America, at least there we know that you can remove a president.

07.03.2026 12:38 πŸ‘ 120 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 5 πŸ“Œ 1

Excellent question. Among those, cricket is by far the one with most people caring about it, though basically all of them are in the Indian subcontinent. Winter Olympics is by far the least diverse.

07.03.2026 12:03 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

It’s interesting, NFL is a niche thing in Brazil β€” a small but nontrivial group of people like and follow it β€” but baseball is a total zero. The only baseball thing people know is Yankees hats, and even then most are not aware of what the Yankees are. People just associate it with New York City.

07.03.2026 02:01 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Me too, ever since I learned (today) that Brazil is actually involved in this…

07.03.2026 01:55 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0
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This is pretty funny, because to a first approximation the number of people in Brazil who even know this is happening is zero.

07.03.2026 01:52 πŸ‘ 11 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Brazilian women marrying MLB players seems to be the chief source of Brazilian baseball talent.

07.03.2026 01:50 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
The Oligarchical Corridor A Source of War

If we examine the origins the the war on Iran, we get an inkling of a closed domain of international oligarchs, exploiting the state’s power and patriotic sentiment, while creating a world order in which the American state is much weaker. An oligarchical corridor.
snyder.substack.com/p/the-oligar...

06.03.2026 17:01 πŸ‘ 743 πŸ” 351 πŸ’¬ 23 πŸ“Œ 35

🧡Feels like shouting into the void, but it is essential to note that the Trump/Rubio gutting of the State Department and blowtorching of US diplomatic capacity and credibility is an accelerant to this spiraling war and will seriously undercut US/allied efforts to pick up the pieces after. 1/

06.03.2026 16:25 πŸ‘ 2674 πŸ” 869 πŸ’¬ 51 πŸ“Œ 101
Preview
It Wasn't Fascism All Along Conservatism was a distinct ideology but it is dead and it is not coming back.

"It is the β€˜reasons why’ that best define an ideology."

This is very good and thought-provoking #longread by @polphilpod.bsky.social in @liberalcurrents.com

I don't agree with all but the core arguments are sound and important. Well worth your time, if you are interested in political ideologies.

06.03.2026 15:29 πŸ‘ 40 πŸ” 10 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 2

For those who still think that it's somehow a good thing, this is what happens in a world where the US is no longer constrained by hypocrisy. Vice is no longer paying tribute to virtue, and is going wild out there instead.

06.03.2026 13:33 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Boy, I wish they let me buy a BYD in this country…

06.03.2026 03:43 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Wemby, though…

06.03.2026 03:25 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Paremos um momento para absorver o fato de que quem temia a divulgaΓ§Γ£o do vΓ­deo do estupro era a vitima, e quem ameaΓ§ava divulgar eram os estupradores. Nada simboliza mais perfeitamente como a sociedade trata as mulheres.

05.03.2026 01:49 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

If I were to ever be in a situation like this, I would trust my Brazilian passport a lot more than my American one.

05.03.2026 01:23 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 0

This, plus the fact that top 5 journals are unreasonably assigned vastly greater value than other journals.

04.03.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

And it's worth emphasizing: this is not due to evil editors or reviewers, nor can it be changed by page limits, timelines or whatever. It's the basic economics of (artificially) restricted availability of top 5 slots.

04.03.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

That's exactly what they are now. I keep saying that to my non-econ colleagues: you should treat a top 5 econ paper as you would a book with a top press, bc that's the level of work that goes into it.

04.03.2026 17:06 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Somehow we have ended up in an equilibrium where a top 5 paper is supposed to completely exhaust the topic, narrowly speaking: all the mechanisms, all the robustness, all the crazy "but what if?" alternative stories...

04.03.2026 14:31 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

But that only reinforces my point. Suppose referees had said: this is a cool paper, we'll take it in. Let the extensions that require additional access to restricted Census data be left to other papers. But that never happens!

04.03.2026 14:31 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Filipe LuΓ­s se despede do Flamengo: 'Saio em paz, de cabeΓ§a erguida' Veja as ΓΊltimas notΓ­cias do UOL em um novo formato de consumir conteΓΊdo em Flash. Confira vΓ­deos e stories do que estΓ‘ acontecendo no mundo.

Ícone rubro-negro, um dos maiores nomes da histΓ³ria do Flamengo β€” muito maior do que esses dirigentes desprezΓ­veis que continuam lΓ‘. Que triste Natal… www.uol.com.br/flash/?c=a7b...

04.03.2026 02:22 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

He truly thinks he’s an absolute monarch, it’s incredible.

03.03.2026 18:14 πŸ‘ 31 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I don't fault you! Reviewers ask for a ton of stuff, to me that is the central problem, by far.

03.03.2026 17:51 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Honest question: how much of that time was it sitting with reviewers/editors, versus the time it took for you to do all the stuff that they were asking for?

03.03.2026 17:45 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Rinse and repeat for multiple top 5 outlets, and that's how you get to those many many years...

03.03.2026 17:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

You have to do a lot of the work before even submitting, which by itself lengthens the process, but then you get rejected and still have to incorporate the comments before sending to the next top 5 -- after all, you may well get the some of the same reviewers, and they expect that.

03.03.2026 17:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

So the time it takes to get those five additional data sets, run those three additional experiments, write that additional model etc. etc etc -- all of which will only marginally improve the paper -- that's a lot of time and effort...

03.03.2026 17:41 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

The basic mechanism is: the supply of top 5 slots is highly constrained relative to the number of papers vying for them. That means that to merit one of them, it's not enough to have a cool set of important results: you need to nail all the mechanisms and robustness checks in that single paper.

03.03.2026 17:41 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

I'm not familiar with these equilibrium concepts... :)

03.03.2026 17:34 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0