Leandro Navarro Pablo's Avatar

Leandro Navarro Pablo

@leandronpablo

Currently @ AIReF Macroeconomic modelling & Demographics

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16.11.2024
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Latest posts by Leandro Navarro Pablo @leandronpablo

NOTA ESPECIAL | En el supuesto de un conflicto limitado a tres meses tras el ataque a Irán, Funcas estima que la inflación podría elevarse por encima del 3% de aquí al verano. Una contienda más extensa o la destrucción de infraestructuras supondría un escenario más negativo.
buff.ly/Uo1KGAF

06.03.2026 10:41 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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La evaluación de las políticas públicas (o por qué se deben evaluar por sus efectos y no por sus intenciones) La evaluación de las políticas públicas (o por qué se deben evaluar por sus efectos y no por sus intenciones)

Aquí puede encontrar el libro, publicado por la Editorial McGraw-Hill:

editorialaulamagna.lantia.com/libro/La-eva...

Y aquí en las librerías donde se puede comprar:

libros.cc/La-evaluacio...

Estando también disponible en formato electrónico en diferentes plataformas.

26.02.2026 06:52 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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Y te recuerdo que tengo una hoja interactiva para ver datos trimestrales de EPA por CCAA
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

10.02.2026 16:36 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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International Criminal Court to ditch Microsoft Office for European open source alternative | Euractiv The court will move its internal work environment to Open Desk, a German-developed open source software

The International Criminal Court (ICC) will switch its internal work environment away from Microsoft Office to Open Desk, a European open source alternative, the institution confirmed to Euractiv.

www.euractiv.com/news/interna...

31.10.2025 07:24 👍 530 🔁 169 💬 9 📌 40
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Companies swamped by 3,000 hours of paperwork to tap EU climate funds Of the €7.1bn awarded from the bloc’s flagship innovation programme for clean tech, only 5% has been paid out

Want to know why Europe lags in innovation? Exhibit 1: less than 5% the EU Innovation Fund established in 2021 has been paid out, because companies spend up to 3’000 hours and an average 85’000€ in administrative costs to apply. Economic death by paperwork.

www.ft.com/content/0797...

03.12.2025 09:26 👍 10 🔁 4 💬 1 📌 0
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El @es-ine.bsky.social ha publicado hoy los datos de las Cuentas anuales no financieras de los sectores institucionales. Otros resultados detallados de las AAPP Serie 1995-2024.

Resultados
👇
ine.es/dyngs/INEbas...

19.12.2025 10:08 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Land of the Free (to hand over all your personal data, and please keep all opinions on our dear leader to yourself) and Home of the Brave (to exalt said dear leader)

11.12.2025 23:46 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Pay to Play in Trump's America... The Land of the Fee...

11.12.2025 23:48 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Monográfico: natalidad y economía Emisión del programa Fin de mes titulado Monográfico: natalidad y economía. Todos los contenidos de RNE los tienes aquí, en RTVE Play

Natalidad y Economía, os lo dejo aquí por si os apetece escucharlo www.rtve.es/play/audios/...

06.12.2025 09:50 👍 4 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 1

That’s our 📦 on CRAN!

03.12.2025 04:01 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Consumo publica las empresas sancionadas con 350.000 euros por el Black Friday de 2023 - EFE Consumo ha hecho públicos este viernes cinco de los siete nombres de las empresas que fueron multadas por subir el precio durante el Black Friday de 2023.

Consumo publica las empresas sancionadas con 350.000 euros por el Black Friday de 2023.

efe.com/economia/202...

28.11.2025 08:24 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Well, it's inflation then. Nice choice!

25.11.2025 05:41 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Introduction to Empirical Macroeconomics with R
Introduction to Empirical Macroeconomics with R YouTube video by Dariia Mykhailyshyna

Hey hey! 🖤🩷

The video on macro analyses using the R package bsvarSIGNs by @adamwang15.bsky.social is now publicly available! Have a look!

Thank you @dariia.bsky.social and Workshops for Ukraine! 💙💛

🎦 youtu.be/zjjM0l2r6gM

#bsvarSIGNs #bsvars #rstats #IsupportUkraine

12.11.2025 23:28 👍 5 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1
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El desempeño de la productividad en España y sus causas La economía española culmina su recuperación, pero la productividad sigue siendo su asignatura pendiente La Fundación Rafael del Pino, BBVA Research y Fedea han publicado hoy una nueva edición del ...

🟢🔵🔴Observatorio sobre el Ciclo Económico en España @frdelpino.bsky.social #BBVAResearch @socialfedea.bsky.social 🔭 El Desempeño de la #Productividad en España y sus Causas ➡️ fedea.net?p=14480
📄 Documento: bit.ly/4hCcLx1

04.11.2025 09:25 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Los hogares españoles ahorran de media unos 390 euros mensuales, montante en el que se incluye el pago de las cuotas hipotecarias, con grandes diferencias en función de diversos factores socioeconómicos. Lo detallan Desiderio Romero y María Jesús Fernández en el blog. blog.funcas.es/cual-es-el-a...

14.10.2025 06:05 👍 1 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 1
https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/AEA-05-2021-0112/full/html

Aquí el artículo de @BeneitoPilar y @OscarViChi2 (2022), donde encuentran relación causal entre la prohibición y los efectos antes descritos:

t.co/N32o4B9ttj

y aquí un resumen del mismo que hicieron para @nadaesgratis.bsky.social de una versión previa:

nadaesgratis.es/admin/prohib...

08.09.2025 06:37 👍 1 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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Source: geopolitique.eu/en/2025/08/2...

26.08.2025 14:47 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Draghi: 2025 will be remembered as the year shattering the illusion that the EU's economic weight provides geopolitical power/influence. "Today, only some form of common debt can support large-scale European projects [investments in strategic priorities/increasing productivity]."

26.08.2025 14:47 👍 9 🔁 6 💬 1 📌 0

Thanks!

19.08.2025 22:17 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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What fiscal policy is most effective? A meta-regression analysis Abstract. I apply a meta-regression analysis to a unique data set of 104 studies on multiplier effects to derive stylized facts and quantify the differing

academic.oup.com/oep/article-...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1...

19.08.2025 14:31 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

Thanks, Philipp.
Out of curiosity, do you have any survey on the multiplier ranges estimated in other papers?

19.08.2025 13:14 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
August 1, 2025
AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION
Committee on Economic Statistics and Committee on Government Relations


Statement from the American Economic Association on the
Dismissal of the BLS Commissioner

Leaders of the American Economic Association express their grave concern over the dismissal of the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) earlier today.
The independence of the federal statistical agencies is essential to the proper functioning of a modern economy. Accurate, timely, and impartial statistics are the foundation upon which households, businesses, and policymakers make critical decisions. Undermining the independence or credibility of these agencies threatens the integrity of the information that markets, institutions, and the public rely on every day.
Measuring the vast and dynamic U.S. economy in real time is inherently challenging. It is standard practice for statistical estimates to be revised as more complete and higher-quality data become available. These revisions reflect the commitment of statistical agencies to accuracy, transparency, and methodological rigor-not failure or bias.
The BLS has long had a well-deserved reputation for professional excellence and nonpartisan integrity.
Safeguarding this tradition is vital for the continued health of the U.S. economy and public trust in our institutions.
We call upon elected officials to respect and preserve the independence of the nation's statistical infrastructure.

Lawrence Katz
President, American Economic Association
Katharine Abraham
President-Elect, American Economic Association
Karen Dynan
Chair, American Economic Association Committee on Economic Statistics
Kenneth Troske
Chair, American Economic Association Committee on Government Relations

August 1, 2025 AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION Committee on Economic Statistics and Committee on Government Relations Statement from the American Economic Association on the Dismissal of the BLS Commissioner Leaders of the American Economic Association express their grave concern over the dismissal of the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) earlier today. The independence of the federal statistical agencies is essential to the proper functioning of a modern economy. Accurate, timely, and impartial statistics are the foundation upon which households, businesses, and policymakers make critical decisions. Undermining the independence or credibility of these agencies threatens the integrity of the information that markets, institutions, and the public rely on every day. Measuring the vast and dynamic U.S. economy in real time is inherently challenging. It is standard practice for statistical estimates to be revised as more complete and higher-quality data become available. These revisions reflect the commitment of statistical agencies to accuracy, transparency, and methodological rigor-not failure or bias. The BLS has long had a well-deserved reputation for professional excellence and nonpartisan integrity. Safeguarding this tradition is vital for the continued health of the U.S. economy and public trust in our institutions. We call upon elected officials to respect and preserve the independence of the nation's statistical infrastructure. Lawrence Katz President, American Economic Association Katharine Abraham President-Elect, American Economic Association Karen Dynan Chair, American Economic Association Committee on Economic Statistics Kenneth Troske Chair, American Economic Association Committee on Government Relations

Statement from the largest economics association about the BLS firing

As context: AEA approximately never makes such public statements

This is a big deal

02.08.2025 20:13 👍 5097 🔁 2123 💬 119 📌 111
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📢 The OECD’s Statistics and Data Directorate is #hiring for a Senior Accountant, working with the National Accounts Division.

⏰Applications close on 7 September 2025 so check out the job vacancy and apply here: smrtr.io/sHqW2

#OECDStats

30.07.2025 14:40 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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Interview Jens Südekum, Ökonom: Die Folgen der Zölle für die Volkswirtschaften

Mein Interview zum EU-US trade deal eben gerade im @deutschlandfunk.de.web.brid.gy

www.deutschlandfunk.de/interview-je...

28.07.2025 06:48 👍 29 🔁 8 💬 1 📌 0

In the face of the most blatant trade coercion since at least 1945, the EU has failed to even activate its anti-coercion instrument, designed, as the name indicates, precisely for this purpose. It has let down trading partners less able to stand up to Trump's bullying and weakened multilateralism.
8

28.07.2025 05:35 👍 175 🔁 60 💬 1 📌 6

There is talk of an EU-US trade deal. The EU shouldn't agree to a WTO rule-breaking shakedown that undermines the multilateral system. Instead, it should build a coalition to push back.👇

NB: The piece is written by a coalition of coauthors from Canada, Brazil, France and Germany.

24.07.2025 17:17 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
***PLEASE NOTE THAT THE DATE OF THE WORKSHOP HAS CHANGED FROM 14 NOVEMBER TO 20 NOVEMBER****

 

The Janeway Institute, in collaboration with the University of Cambridge, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) , the London School of Economics, The Productivity Institute, and the Economic History Society, is pleased to announce a Call for Papers for a conference on Long-Run Productivity, to be held on 20 November 2025 at Clare College, Cambridge.

 

Conference Theme

This conference will explore the determinants, measurement, and long-run trends in productivity growth. We welcome papers that engage with historical and modern perspectives, including empirical and theoretical approaches, cross-country comparisons, and sectoral analyses.

 

Submission Details

Researchers interested in presenting are invited to submit a full paper or extended abstract by 1 September 2025, 23:59 CEST (Central European Summer Time).  

Accepted participants will be notified in late September. Limited funding may be available to support travel and accommodation for presenters.

We look forward to your contributions to what promises to be an engaging and insightful event.

 

Organisers

Stephen Broadberry (University of Oxford and CEPR)
Jagjit Chadha (University of Cambridge)
Jason Lennard (London School of Economics and CEPR)

***PLEASE NOTE THAT THE DATE OF THE WORKSHOP HAS CHANGED FROM 14 NOVEMBER TO 20 NOVEMBER**** The Janeway Institute, in collaboration with the University of Cambridge, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) , the London School of Economics, The Productivity Institute, and the Economic History Society, is pleased to announce a Call for Papers for a conference on Long-Run Productivity, to be held on 20 November 2025 at Clare College, Cambridge. Conference Theme This conference will explore the determinants, measurement, and long-run trends in productivity growth. We welcome papers that engage with historical and modern perspectives, including empirical and theoretical approaches, cross-country comparisons, and sectoral analyses. Submission Details Researchers interested in presenting are invited to submit a full paper or extended abstract by 1 September 2025, 23:59 CEST (Central European Summer Time). Accepted participants will be notified in late September. Limited funding may be available to support travel and accommodation for presenters. We look forward to your contributions to what promises to be an engaging and insightful event. Organisers Stephen Broadberry (University of Oxford and CEPR) Jagjit Chadha (University of Cambridge) Jason Lennard (London School of Economics and CEPR)

#CallForPapers - Long-Run Productivity Conference
20 Nov | Clare College, Cambridge
Partners: The Productivity Institute, Janeway Institute, University of Cambridge, Economic History Society, LSE
Organisers: S Broadberry, @jagjitchadha.bsky.social, J Lennard
Deadline: 1 Sep
cepr.org/events/long-...

02.07.2025 12:02 👍 6 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 2

Gracias por este valioso artículo. Muchas veces se aprende más de los errores que de los aciertos.
Intuyo que los estudiantes de economía y periodismo van a aprender muchísimo con él.

01.07.2025 01:46 👍 0 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Tolstoy’s Christian Anarchism - JSTOR Daily A fateful visit to a market in Moscow entirely upended Tolstoy’s view on life and society—and changed the trajectory of his work and purpose.

Great article on Tolstoy´s later years and his recipe to fight an unjust system... daily.jstor.org/tolstoys-chr... Radical pacifism—the rejection of all violence, even to combat evil.
Christians who do not resonate with this should abstain from calling themselves "Christians".

20.06.2025 01:11 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0