The higher the oil futures go the higher the november margin is
The higher the oil futures go the higher the november margin is
Full spectrum dominance looking funny in the light
As bad as the war with Iran is going you can forget about war with China lol. Just a pipe dream in dc now.
Letβs Face Facts: This Isnβt Going Well (Iran War Edition) talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/lets-...
PIMCO: β.. there has been no βrally round the flagβ effect for President Trump or Republicans ..
β.. The enthusiasm gap as of now β with a lot of caveats β would suggest, if consistent with history, a possible wave election, defined as winning 30 seats and flipping the Senate ..β [Cantrill]
(WSJ) - The U.S. Embassy in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, came under attack twice on Tuesday, causing part of the roof to collapse, according to people familiar with the matter.
@wsj.com
(The problem I'm trying to point out is that most of the people using polls to inform strategy at a high level in the Democratic Party are not pollsters, indeed I think most have never taken a survey methods class)
Captain America π€£π€£π€£
πππ i think weβre done here.
US allies are learning in real time that our government is not strong enough to protect them.
The government still wouldnβt fall under that scenario. Its the marvel movie βwe kill the top guy and everyone just gives upβ fantasy. Its not serious. If it was why doesnβt the US just target the heads of state of China and Russia, its actual principal adversaries? Come on.
This is like arguing when a US president dies the government collapses. Be intellectually honest.
This is a delusional fantasy. Good luck
So what? Wars are won through boots on the ground. Not targeted assassinations.
Israelβs β and the US β have a political goal of regime change or balkinzation. They are not close. They refuse to put troops on the ground, because they are casualty averse, so they cannot manage events. This likely ends last like year, with US allies in the region taking a bigger beating.
Constraints? Iran is hitting US bases all across the region. Pounding them. With limited air defense resistance. US allies throughout the region are being shown the US cannot protect them.
Killing leaders =! toppling a government. The US should know this better than anyone.
Airstrikes alone do not win wars. Decapitation strikes do not win wars. Only boots on the ground and risking real casualties can produce a win against an armed and insulated opponent. And even then its no guarantee. You canβt win a war on the cheap. Or with headlines.
The man is straight up stupid
Probably helps South Africa
Fettermanβs poll numbers are now in Sinema territory: sunk too deep with his party to win a primary, artificially inflated by Republicans whoβd never actually vote for him, trapped in a negative-partisanship era that makes an independent bid implausible. His seat is up in 2028.
Johnson is doing pro-Democratic ads now??
The court is trying to help Trump. They understand that the tariffs were a drag on the economy and created uncertainty, and negative economies lose elections. They are trying to help Republicans salvage 2026 and 2028. If the tariffs helped Republicans electorally they would have upheld them.
So much of what Trump does is fake. Board of peace is fake. Venezuelan regime change was fake. Credit card interest caps were fake. Wall was fake. Its all about optics, the apperance of winning. Its all comms and marketing to make the base believe in the spectacle. But its not real and never was
Democratic ticket wins in 28 for structural reasons. Negative national sentiment on the economy + feeling country is going in the wrong direction under Republicans. However it will be a challenge to make substantive change, and in 32 Dems could be back in the same boat.
This race seems about over.
@electrek.co $TSLA
electrek.co/2026/02/09/b...
AIPAC-aligned super PAC United Democracy Project spent millions to defeat Tom Malinowski for backing conditions on US aid to Israel. They may help elect Analilia Mejia, a more progressive candidate who deems Israel's actions a genocide. (Race is too close to call.) A spectacular own-goal.
Elites in America have complete impunity, total immunity from consequences whatsoever. It is a neo aristocracy of sorts, which hates knowledge and rewards ignorance. Many elites are not only corrupt, vain, and contemptuous of the masses, but are also stupid and live vapid lives.
I couldnβt believe it
The thinking with Biden 2020 was that his electability was a mirage and that once he lost a primary he would collapse. That didnβt happen because of his strong support in Black southern statesβ¦if the left makes inroads in the Black south they can take on Newsom. If its like 16/20 then no