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Adam Cochran

@adamscochran

Partner@CEHV, Adj. Prof Data Sci, Nerd, Dad, thread writer.

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Latest posts by Adam Cochran @adamscochran

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Over 3M files from Epstein supposedly getting released today.

Just this ONE file alone has 26 different new claims against Trump...

How many of these were properly investigated?

30.01.2026 17:22 πŸ‘ 51 πŸ” 20 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 2
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23/23

They MAY still try and fight the case outright - and they can't really mix those strategies.

But, because Trump's inept DoJ over reached, Luigi has a chance to get a LOWER sentence than if the State had done the initial charging itself.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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22/23

Meaning if he admits to murder, to torpedo the botched Federal case he could lower his penalty from:

* Life without parole

to

* 15 to life:
--eligibility for parole after 15 years
--Time served pretrial counts
--Served concurrent with federal

So maybe 12 years total

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

21/23

Now admitting to a killing in court would normally be a insane, BUT:

* The federal murder charge has no hook and can't be rebrought.

* The stalking charges become 5 years in prison max.

* NY then brings a state case, but he pleas for 15 to life, time served concurrently.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

20/23

The court would likely find that to be outside of the scope of the "resulted in death" enhancement as it was NOT during the stalking.

It would normally be covered by just a normal murder charge.

BUT, the prosecution botched it and that was dropped...

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

19/23

The "death resulting from" enhancement requires both "but-for causation" and "proximate cause"

So the defense COULD argue:

* He did stalk him earlier that day and was armed.

* He stopped stalking.

* He bumped into the victim later and did shoot him.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

18/23

The stalking crime requires the DoJ prove:

* Two or more acts that establish a pattern

* The acts were taken with the intent kill, injure, harass, intimidate or surveil, not that that intent became established *during* the acts.

But it gets WORSE.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

17/23

Why is this a problem for the DoJ?

Murder is a high-bar to charge, but a clean crime to prove.

Stalking is a COMPLEX crime.

Enhancement "resulting in death" is an even more complex crime.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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16/23

This means the only crimes he will be tried for are:

* Interstate Stalking (18 U.S.C. Β§ 2261A(1)(A))

* Electronic stalking (18 U.S.C. Β§ 2261A(2)(A))

* Both with "Resulting in death" enhancement (Β§ 2261(b)(1))

They carry a MAX of life without parole.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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15/23

This means that they were forced to DROP the following charges:

* Murder using a firearm during a crime of violence (18 U.S.C. Β§ 924(j))

* Use of a firearm during a crime of violence (18 U.S.C. Β§ 924(c))

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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12/23

The judge notes the law is clear that "a violent crime" MUST be one in which physical force is used against another person.

And so Luigi CANNOT be charged with Β§ 924(j)

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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11/23

The judge however points out that it is "absurd" that the DoJ is even asking the court to deem the "stalking" as crimes of violence.

The underlying crime (stalking) is separate from the enhancement (resulting in death)

And cannot be used to change that.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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10/23

This would let them charge:

* Federal interstate stalking charges with a "results in death enhancement" (18 U.S.C. Β§ 2261) [Life without parole]

AND

* Murder using a firearm during a crime of violence (18 U.S.C. Β§ 924(j)) [Death Penalty charge]

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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9/23

The DoJ tried to argue that "interstate stalking" and "electronic stalking" were "violent crimes"

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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8/23

This meant the courts needed to prove that Luigi had done the murder, while ALREADY doing yet another crime of a violent nature.

(We're now 3 layers of unnecessary crime deep, because they wanted the death penalty)

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Legal text excerpt highlighting Β§924(j) describing death caused by a firearm during a violation, outlining murder and manslaughter penalties.

Legal text excerpt highlighting Β§924(j) describing death caused by a firearm during a violation, outlining murder and manslaughter penalties.

7/23

They used Β§ 924(j) which is summarized as:

"Murder using a firearm during a crime of violence"

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

6/23

So federal prosecutors decided they needed to find *another* federal crime to charge him with, rather than let the state do its job.

The problem?

Not a lot of other federal crimes applied here.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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5/23

18 U.S.C. Β§ 1111 is the federal "murder" charge, but it requires one of three criteria to make it federal:

1) It happened on a Federal property.

OR

2) The victim was a protected Federal person.

OR

3) It was done while committing ANOTHER federal crime.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

4/23

Since New York didn't have a death penalty option, the DoJ would need to find a way to "federalize" the case.

But a crime CANNOT automatically be charged federally - it must have "a federal nexus" or violate a specific federal crime.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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3/23

Last January, when Trump took power, he signed EO 14164, requiring the DoJ to pursue the death penalty where possible.

He specifically made a media push about the Luigi Mangione case.

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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2/23

In the State of New York, the charge of murder is Β§ 125.25.

It:

* Does NOT allow for a death penalty

* Does not allow life without parole

* Charges 15 - 25 years.

LWOP (life without parole) requires Β§ 125.27, it requires one of these aggravating factors:

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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1/23

This is WILD.

A *HUGE* fuck-up in the Trump DoJ strategy means Luigi will:

* Not face the death penalty

* Technically NOT even face a formal "murder" charge AT ALL?!

All because Pam Bondi cared more about political theatrics than the law.

Let me explain:

x.com/cnnbrk/stat...

30.01.2026 17:12 πŸ‘ 39 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 3
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This would explain the large swath of alt-right bro-casters and how they are the dumbest and sleaziest people you know.

But it’s also illegal and whoever whistleblows it would become a hero.

And in this era could claim the blackmail was just AI! πŸ€·β€β™‚οΈ

21.01.2026 18:56 πŸ‘ 40 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 2
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This makes the fact that the 11th Airborne from Alaska are on standby.

If you’re sending the NC troops, you DON’T need your arctic warfare specialists…

Unless it’s for Greenland.

21.01.2026 18:40 πŸ‘ 24 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Well yeah, because he lacks both cause and authority.

21.01.2026 18:21 πŸ‘ 21 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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I do think people will be held accountable for 2020 soon.

Mainly because the Jack Smith testimony on Thursday will show the American people that in 2020, Trump plotted to forge election documents to try and stay in power even if he lost.

21.01.2026 18:08 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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At the current pace, the DoJ will finish releasing all the Epstein Files in:

β€’ 84 years, 1 month and 24 days

Only about 9 decades past the legal deadline!

😐

21.01.2026 18:04 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Let’s not get this confused.

Yesterdays report of DOGE illegally using and sharing voting data and social security information was from AFTER the election.

DOGE didn’t have access prior.

They were trying to steal *future* elections, but *they* had no impact on 2024.

21.01.2026 17:46 πŸ‘ 29 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
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But @piersmorgan it is notably *NOT* the will of Denmark or Greelanders.

They’ve *overwhelmingly* expressed that.

It’s like saying β€œI have no problem if she goes out with him willingly” after a girl has said β€œno” 15 times to the creep and now he is trying to coerce her.

21.01.2026 17:43 πŸ‘ 33 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

2/2

It’s non-trivial as the US economy benefits immensely from the fact that US debt (and in turn the US dollar) is seen as the global reserve currency.

If the integrity of that debt is questioned, things get BAD *fast*

21.01.2026 17:37 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0