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Richard Dunley

@redunley

Naval & diplomatic historian with a side gig in maritime strategy | Senior Lecturer at UNSWCanberra | #PomInOz

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21.08.2023
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Latest posts by Richard Dunley @redunley

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Live: PM confirms three Australians on board US submarine that sank Iranian frigate Prime Minister Anthony Albanese confirms three Australian defence personnel were on a US submarine that sank an Iranian frigate near Sri Lanka. Follow live.

“Greens react to PM's confirmation that Australians were on US submarine”

As ever it is frustrating that opposition parties confuse legitimate Qs over the status of RAN personnel with falsities about the legality of the sub attack itself

www.abc.net.au/news/2026-03...

06.03.2026 02:33 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 1
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Errrmmm, what??!! 🤔🤷‍♂️

06.03.2026 00:13 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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At 125, the Royal Australian Navy enters its most consequential decade | The Strategist 1 March 1901 marked the establishment of Australia’s Commonwealth military and naval forces, the foundation of today’s Royal Australian Navy and Australian Army. The sea service’s initial title was ‘C...

Top piece from @japarker29.bsky.social on the RAN’s big birthday and the challenges it faces. 🎂🎉🍾

www.aspistrategist.org.au/at-125-the-r...

27.02.2026 05:39 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

The big question is whether these nations are willing to follow words with actions.

28.01.2026 02:05 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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European coastal states warn Russian shadow fleet over Baltic and North Sea safety - Navy Lookout European coastal states, including the UK, have issued a coordinated warning to the international maritime community over unsafe and deceptive practices linked to Russian maritime activity in the Balt...

On first glance this move by European nations to enforce existing laws and regulations re the shadow fleet looks to be an excellent step, and a potential positive outcome from the arguably more destabilising US moves.

www.navylookout.com/european-coa...

28.01.2026 02:04 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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The Carney doctrine Open comment thread on the PM's Davos speech

Extremely powerful speech by Carney.

It will be interesting to see if/how the Australian government responds.

I suspect they will keep on putting the sign in the window…

paulwells.substack.com/p/the-carney...

20.01.2026 22:20 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Saildrone, Lockheed to place missile launchers on naval drones Larger Saildrone USVs are also under consideration to carry Lockheed Martin weaponry, such as the Mk 70 Vertical Launching System.

Armed sailing vessels - wouldn’t have been on my bingo card ten years ago!

www.defensenews.com/naval/2026/0...

15.01.2026 21:51 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

That the ship was stateless as its registry to Russia was not completed properly, and that it had broken UN sanctions on Iranian oil exports.

08.01.2026 01:10 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Interesting UK justification for seizure of tanker in N Atlantic. As others have noted it is framed very differently from 🇺🇸.

In doing so it raises real questions about whether 🇬🇧 is serious in its efforts to counter the “shadow fleet”, and if so why stop here…

07.01.2026 23:20 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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US seizes two 'ghost fleet' tankers linked to Venezuelan oil The ships were boarded by US forces in predawn operations in the North Atlantic and the Caribbean Sea.

Interested to see the specific legal framing of this action by 🇬🇧.

Are they challenging the validity of the transfer to 🇷🇺 flag, or is it something else?

www.bbc.com/news/article...

07.01.2026 22:03 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Latvia finds no link between ship and Baltic cable breach, probe goes on Latvian police have found no evidence linking a ship docked in the port of Liepaja to damage to an underwater telecoms cable running in the Baltic Sea from Latvia to Lithuania, but are investigating t...

"Latvia finds no link between ship and Baltic cable breach, probe goes on."

This is a helpful reminder of two defining features of the critical undersea infrastructure (CUI) challenge.

06.01.2026 01:46 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

The Ego Based Order

05.01.2026 07:09 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Episode 39: Ukraine and Venezuelan Shadow Fleets & Hanwha-Austal Maritime Matters Episode Title: Ukraine and Venezuelan Shadow Fleets & Hanwha-Austal In this episode of Maritime Matters Jennifer Parker (https://www.jennifer-parker.com.au/) and Richard Dunley (

Latest episode of #MaritimeMatters is out. @japarker29.bsky.social & I discuss 🇺🇦 attacks on shadow fleet, 🇺🇸 seizure of tankers, and Hanwha-Austal

soundcloud.com/maritimematt...

www.youtube.com/watch?v=aZGh...

23.12.2025 11:43 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The announcements of the past few days leave little room but to conclude that this US administration is deeply unserious about meeting the challenge posed by the rapid expansion of the PLAN.

Vanity projects and CG cutters painted grey ain’t going to cut it.

23.12.2025 06:45 👍 8 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0

It will simply be a massive waste of time, money and attention, and will distract from addressing the real issues in US shipbuilding

23.12.2025 03:35 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

No, again!

23.12.2025 03:16 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Stalingrad Class battlecruiser vibes, anyone?

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:St...

23.12.2025 02:00 👍 4 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0

Oil maybe sanctioned under 🇺🇸 domestic law, But seizing a vessel legitimately flying a flag of another nation on the high seas is 😬 2/2

21.12.2025 03:44 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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US seizes vessel in international waters off Venezuela's coast, officials say The move comes after US President Donald Trump ordered a "blockade" of sanctioned oil tankers entering and leaving Venezuela.

This appears to be a massive escalation - the previous seizure could be justified under international law because the vessel was stateless. This doesn’t seem to be the case here. 1/2

www.bbc.com/news/article...

21.12.2025 03:43 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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Boom defences are back… or at least they should be!

15.12.2025 23:13 👍 10 🔁 1 💬 2 📌 1
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'Dirty secret' of higher education revealed as senate inquiry calls on universities to change The final report into governance has called for state and Commonwealth legislation to refocus universities on teaching and research.

I don’t think that anyone would deny that there have been numerous governance failures at Aus unis, but it pretty steep for politicians to attack “corporate unis” when the funding models they have enacted have driven precisely the behaviours and culture they critique.

www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12...

11.12.2025 09:02 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

It must be very odd from the perspective of Japan, Korea, Vietnam or the Philippines watching the hysteria in Canberra over the possible deployment of PLAN vessels somewhere near Australia.

I am not saying it doesn't matter - but it highlights how remote we remain from the region's challenges

03.12.2025 04:05 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 1
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Episode 37: Exercise Malabar & the South Korean SSN Maritime Matters Episode Title: Exercise Malabar & the South Korean SSN In this episode of Maritime Matters Jennifer Parker (https://www.jennifer-parker.com.au/) and Richard Dunley (https://www.unsw.

The latest episode of #MaritimeMatters is out 🚢🎙️

@japarker29.bsky.social and I talk RPDs, 🇺🇸🇵🇭 task force, 🇰🇷 subs and much more

soundcloud.com/maritimematt...

www.youtube.com/watch?v=ufMn...

24.11.2025 09:31 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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My colleague Miranda Booth
presenting to the Sea Power Conference at IndoPac.

She even got in a mention of our survey on Australian public opinion regarding defence!

04.11.2025 03:31 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
Episode 36: Catching up: AUKUS, The South China Sea and More
Episode 36: Catching up: AUKUS, The South China Sea and More YouTube video by Maritime Matters

I’m slow to put this up, but the latest episode of #MaritimeMatters podcast is up.

@japarker29.bsky.social and I discuss all things maritime including P8s, Strikemasters, and of course AUKUS

m.youtube.com/watch?v=stCe...

03.11.2025 19:50 👍 3 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0

That was my point in highlighting the piece. It’s a little to close to acting as a mouthpiece for (un)offical propaganda.

03.11.2025 00:07 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

This piece is effectively repeating 🇨🇳 talking points dressed up in nice language.

31.10.2025 07:36 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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This claim is particularly misleading as it suggests that non-regional countries are illegitimate actors in this.

What are referred to as FONOPs by 🇦🇺, 🇺🇸, 🇯🇵 etc are not conducted to assert 🇵🇭 rights, but the rights of the countries themselves.

31.10.2025 07:34 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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High waters, deep divisions in views of the South China Sea One side’s freedom of navigation is the other’s territorial violation – and no code of conduct seems set to reconcile this.

This is a really problematic piece for it’s effort to “both sides” the issue, and in doing so legitimise 🇨🇳 claims that have been explicitly rejected under the terms of an agreement Beijing has signed.

www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpre...

31.10.2025 07:30 👍 12 🔁 2 💬 1 📌 1
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It’s remarkable that these same rules appear not to apply to Hegseth and others…

www.bbc.com/news/article...

17.10.2025 07:13 👍 6 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0