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Jamie Hannaford

@jamiehannahydro

Hydrologist, UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH) Visiting Associate Prof, ICARUS Maynooth, Ireland Hydrological variability (floods and droughts) past, present and future!

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12.03.2025
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Latest posts by Jamie Hannaford @jamiehannahydro

Great opportunity for students and professionals looking to strengthen their skills in hydroclimate data and science via hands-on training πŸ‘‡

Applications are now open for the free online UKCEH Summer School (13–16 July 2026): hydro-jules.org/data-driven-...

#Hydroclimate #DataScience #SummerSchool

06.03.2026 12:57 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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NEW: A key finding about how intense thunderstorms develop could help improve the certainty about the location of upcoming storms on hot days 🌩️

#EarlyWarnings

See our news: www.ceh.ac.uk/press/thunde...

πŸ§ͺ 1/

04.03.2026 17:06 πŸ‘ 12 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Farming Today - 02/03/26: Officially enough rain, Mrs Wilmot's Pippin, land use pressure - BBC Sounds A silver lining to 2026's wet start: scientists say we're leaving 2025's drought behind.

🌧️ Has there been enough rain to replenish rivers and groundwater levels after last year's drought? Steve Turner spoke to Radio 4's Farming Today about how water resources in different regions have responded to winter rainfall.

πŸ“» Listen again from ~8m 45s

www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...

02.03.2026 09:48 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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Episode 4: Professor Conor Murphy

πŸŽ™οΈNew podcast out now!

#Flooding and #drought are not opposites. They are symptoms of the same changing climate system. 🌎

Professor Conor Murphy joins us to discuss how #climatechange is intensifying extremes in Ireland.

Link below πŸ‘‡

open.spotify.com/episode/3rR6...

26.02.2026 12:41 πŸ‘ 7 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0
Rainfall graph imposed over raindrops plus text Online summer school Data-driven approaches to hydrological science

Rainfall graph imposed over raindrops plus text Online summer school Data-driven approaches to hydrological science

πŸ“’ Applications open soon for a FREE online course on Data-driven Approaches to Hydrological Science.

Running in July, this is for postgrad students, ECRs and professionals in consultancies, monitoring agencies & related industries seeking to strengthen skills.

πŸ§ͺ hydro-jules.org/data-driven-...

23.02.2026 14:58 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 7 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
View across Kenyan landscape to herd of livestock

View across Kenyan landscape to herd of livestock

Many tropical regions sit close to dangerous heat thresholds, yet heat stress awareness remains low across sub-Saharan Africa.

A new study sparked by the intense Feb 2024 heat in Kenya shows daily max temps & Heat Index values were 3–4Β°C above normal, driven by dry heat, not humidity.

1/ 🌑️πŸ§ͺ

12.02.2026 10:07 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Historical deforestation drives strong rainfall decline across the southern Amazon basin - Nature Communications The authors find that historical deforestation has substantially altered regional observed precipitation over the southern Amazon basin through inter-regional atmospheric moisture transport, which is ...

Land-atmosphere feedbacks mean that major Amazon deforestation is causing substantial downstream rainfall reductions.

New analysis in @natcomms.nature.com combines novel theoretical understanding with data to quantify feedbacks.

Read the open access paper: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

13.02.2026 16:43 πŸ‘ 6 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1

Latest monthly summary from @cosmosuk.bsky.social soil moisture monitoring network - as featured in this week's episode of our Counting the Earth podcast 🌧️🎧

12.02.2026 12:29 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Our Counting the Earth podcast has a new episode! 🎧

Celebrate #WomenInScience Day with senior hydrologist Lucy Barker in conversation with Sue Nelson and Alice Hope, as they explore the UK’s whiplash weather.

Available now on all good podcast providers. 1/ πŸ§ͺ

11.02.2026 09:31 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Guest post: Are UK floods becoming worse due to climate change? - Carbon Brief Once again, lives have been turned upside down by flooding across large parts of the UK, following the exceptional rainfall brought by storms Ciara and Dennis.

Guest post: Are UK floods becoming worse due to climate change? | Jamie Hannaford @ukceh.bsky.social #CBarchive

Read here:

11.02.2026 11:32 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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From drought to downpour, 2025 brought the UK
whiplash weather 🌦️

New on our Counting the Earth podcast, we delve into the UK's weather extremes.

After a dry spring & four heatwaves we had
significant rainfall later in the year. By December, total
rainfall reached ~90% of the UK average.

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10.02.2026 11:10 πŸ‘ 10 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH) hiring Principal Hydrologist in Wallingford, England, United Kingdom | LinkedIn Posted 9:16:54 AM. Salary - Β£61,399 to Β£65,157 Hybrid working (50/50), Permanent Location: Wallingford, Oxfordshire…See this and similar jobs on LinkedIn.

Check out this job at UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH): www.linkedin.com/jobs/view/43...

Working at CEH is great, and FDRI is a game changer project, please share!

06.02.2026 21:39 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Map of UK showing detail for February 2026 UK Hydrological Outlook

Map of UK showing detail for February 2026 UK Hydrological Outlook

Latest UK Hydrological Outlook 🌧️

River flows in eastern Scotland likely normal to above normal over next 3 months; flows elsewhere in the normal range except southern England. Here, river flows & groundwater levels likely above normal to notably high.

See more: hydoutuk.net/latest-outlook πŸ§ͺ

06.02.2026 10:00 πŸ‘ 17 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

All the more so as given that groundwater flooding reflects long duration rainfall in the winter half year - which is a pretty much nailed-down aspect of how CC is affecting the UK. (It’s a more difficult/nuanced message for some aspects of hydrology, but not this one…)

06.02.2026 08:51 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Close-up of spines of volumes from the Flood Studies Report

Close-up of spines of volumes from the Flood Studies Report

Flood Studies Report maps spread out

Flood Studies Report maps spread out

It's been 50 years since the Flood Studies Report was published, a seminal work involving forerunners of UKCEH & @metoffice.gov.uk.

Adam Griffin reflects on 5 decades of groundbreaking science to improve flood and rainfall frequency estimation in the UK.

Read more: www.ceh.ac.uk/flood-studie... πŸ§ͺ

28.01.2026 16:45 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
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New preprint led by Aaron Heldmyer and Roy Sando: Random forest + donor gages to predict daily streamflow drought across CONUS. Regional drivers differβ€”soil moisture, precip, SWE matter most. doi.org/10.5194/egus...

21.01.2026 16:42 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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#EGU26 abstract deadline fast approaching: 15 Jan 2026 (13:00 CET)
Please submit to session on Understanding & Predicting the Impact of Climate Variability on Hydrological Regimes and Extremes πŸ’§ (H2.4.12)

πŸ”— More info: www.egu26.eu/session/55947

#Hydrology #ClimateVariability #Extremes

09.01.2026 14:36 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Map of the Plynlimon catchments, streams, and the monitoring sites in this dataset
Β© - UKCEH

Map of the Plynlimon catchments, streams, and the monitoring sites in this dataset Β© - UKCEH

When did hydrologists become historians? #FDRI has released 35 years of hi-res data from the Plynlimon Research Catchments!

ReadΒ about our process of unearthing 35 years of measurements and what it means for understanding river processes: https://f.mtr.cool/grqzmwiqsd πŸ§ͺ

06.01.2026 10:11 πŸ‘ 20 πŸ” 9 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 1
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Although its very cold at the moment in the UK, 2025 was both the warmest (with a mean temperature of 10.09Β°C) and sunniest (1648.5 hours) on record. Here is a climate and weather #dataviz summary for the last year. #climatechange #globalwarming.

06.01.2026 09:14 πŸ‘ 82 πŸ” 46 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 4
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Daily COSMOS-UK soil wetness status for the month of December 2025

06.01.2026 13:05 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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What would the hottest UK day of 1976 look like today?

35.9Β°C back in 1976 would be 38-39Β°C now.

The hot extremes are warming faster than the average for the UK.

climatelabbook.substack.com/p/the-summer...

06.01.2026 15:00 πŸ‘ 39 πŸ” 16 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1

2025 was the warmest year on record for Central England in a dataset that starts in 1659.

(Daily data available since 1772.)

www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadce...

01.01.2026 14:56 πŸ‘ 181 πŸ” 99 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 6
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another robot highlight for 2025: man wearing humanoid mocap suit kicks himself in the balls

27.12.2025 17:27 πŸ‘ 47052 πŸ” 14489 πŸ’¬ 953 πŸ“Œ 3138
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@rarakihydro.bsky.social leads an exiting new preprint that maps dominant hydrologic processes across >14k US watersheds using streamflow signatures + ML. It’s been such fun following Ryoko and Hilary’s leadership alongside Admin, Anne and Gemma.

egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...

18.12.2025 18:32 πŸ‘ 15 πŸ” 6 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

hydrological research observatories & helping to incorporate user priorities early in the design: recent collaborative paper from work since 2024 within the UK Flood & Drought Research Infrastructure project hess.copernicus.org/articles/29/... @ukceh.bsky.social @imperialcollegeldn.bsky.social et al

19.12.2025 05:57 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 0

Thanks for highlighting Richard! It was a challenging one to write in the allotted space… the flood-drought continuum in one month. Meanwhile some colleagues in the team are working on quantifying changing hydrological transitions (water whiplash…) now and in the future.

16.12.2025 22:28 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Map of UK with shaded areas showing principal aquifers

Map of UK with shaded areas showing principal aquifers

In northern Scotland and the chalk aquifers of the south-east, river flows and groundwater levels are likely to be normal to below normal over the winter months.

See the full Outlook: hydoutuk.net/latest-outlook

Visualise river flow changes via the Hydrological Outlook Portal ukho.ceh.ac.uk

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08.12.2025 15:00 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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πŸ’§ Winter is key for replenishment of our rivers, aquifers and reservoirs β€” what happens in the next three months will strongly influence whether we see drought conditions again next year.

πŸ“Ή Dr Katie Facer-Childs discusses the latest UK Hydrological Outlook

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08.12.2025 15:00 πŸ‘ 16 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 1
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The National Emergency Briefing
chaired by Prof @mikebernerslee.bsky.social saw nine leading experts brief MPs and others on every aspect of the climate & nature crisis.

Please follow our YouTube channel where the talks will be published soon.
www.youtube.com/@nebriefing #NEB2025

07.12.2025 08:36 πŸ‘ 46 πŸ” 26 πŸ’¬ 2 πŸ“Œ 6
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🌍 CANARI scientists @ukceh.bsky.social briefed the @houseoflords.parliament.uk Environment & Climate Change Committee on drought preparedness

🏜️ @jamiehannahydro.bsky.social shared expert evidence on advances in drought monitoring and changing risks of future droughts

πŸ”— canari.ac.uk/2025/12/04/c...

04.12.2025 09:45 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0