Alan Wager

Read Stella’s piece this article is attempting to rebut, and decide for yourself which is more clear-headed and convincing.

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

"Badenoch has ranked MPs based on how well they are performing on X..."

Chart showing lifetime average GDP growth for Brits by year of birth. 20-year-old Brits have experienced an average of 1.4% growth, compared with 2.4% for 75-year-olds

Part of the issue is a lack of growth. A recent study showed that cohorts who experience more GDP growth in their lifetimes are more likely to trust the government and have positive perceptions of their living standards. academic.oup.com/qje/advance-... In Britain, such voters are dying out

Impressive timing by Shabana Mahmood for today to be the day she announces her asylum policy 'inspired by Kristi Noem'.

So, @persuasionuk.bsky.social and @steveakehurst.bsky.social have done it again.

Essential reading for all those actively contemplating what we can and should do about the ‘revolt on the left’.

persuasionuk.org/research/rev...

Labour is suffering from a bad case of “long Morgan” Chasing Reform voters on immigration is a bad strategy that is being badly executed by this government

Labour needs to recover from “Long Morgan”, as I wrote for the New Statesman:

www.newstatesman.com/comment/2026...

Cruelty to immigrants is not what my party stands for. It’s time for True Labour, not Blue Labour | Stella Creasy We must get back to the party’s roots before it is too late. That means embracing difference, rejecting division – and fighting for opportunities for all, says MP for Walthamstow, Stella Creasy

"There is an alternative way forward: being True – not Blue – Labour. True Labour doesn’t fear those who are different. Instead, it demands everyone contribute their abilities to society – and works to unlock such skills."

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

And worth saying as a PSA I am proud to have joined @stellacreasy.bsky.social as Head of Campaigns.

Cruelty to immigrants is not what my party stands for. It’s time for True Labour, not Blue Labour | Stella Creasy We must get back to the party’s roots before it is too late. That means embracing difference, rejecting division – and fighting for opportunities for all, says MP for Walthamstow, Stella Creasy

This is another staging post in what @benansell.bsky.social has termed the 'Zombie Liberal Fightback'.

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

A moral vacuum, a practical nightmare and a political dead end.

Yup, men welcome. Yes, the patriarchy is terrible for most men too! So help make things fairer for all!

It's nearly "When's International Men's Day? Day. Or as it's sometimes known International Women's Day. If you're actually interested in equality for every gender (because equality means equality for all) then please support this terrific festival. (it's November 19th to preempt)

Less than 10 days to the we can build it better festival in London for international women’s day - here’s the full line up of speakers and activities. All were welcome of whatever gender so get your tickets before it’s full up here: sohotheatre.com/events/walth...

NICK CANDY: Why - even as missiles fly over my head -| feel safer in Dubai than in Sadiq Khan's London.... There's more chance of getting stabbed on the capital's street than of being injured in an Iranian attack in the UAE

Proof once again that you can have lots and lots and lots of money and still be thicker than a whale omelette stuck in a submarine door.

No Second Chances: The Inside Story of the Campaign for a Second Referendum Join Mile End Institute to celebrate the publication of Morgan Jones’s new book about the campaign for a second EU referendum and its impact

Why did the People's Vote campaign fail? Could Brexit have been stopped? What lessons can be learned?

Join us on 19 March to launch @morganj0nes.bsky.social's new book: "No Second Chances: The Inside Story of the Campaign for a Second Referendum".

All welcome!
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/no-second-...

Beyond Forecasting: Using MRP (multi-level regression with post-stratification) to investigate minority political behaviour at The University of Manchester on FindAPhD.com PhD Project - Beyond Forecasting: Using MRP (multi-level regression with post-stratification) to investigate minority political behaviour at The University of Manchester, listed on FindAPhD.com

*Academics of Bluesky:* Do you know a great UG/PG student with excellent quants skills?

@nspmartin.bsky.social and I are advertising a great fully-funded PhD on MRP and minority voting with our friends at Ipsos, so send them our way! ✌️

www.findaphd.com/phds/project...

Is "deliverism" dead? Lawrence gave his first take on Iran at the weekend and will return to it later this week.

If you're after some strategic wisdom, it's @dmk1793.bsky.social rather than Paul Ovenden you should be reading today.

open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/i...

Good lord. What an abject failure the Blue Labour strategy has been.

France is increasing the size of its nuclear deterrent and participating in a new "advanced deterrence" strategy with eight other European countries – including the UK.

It would be interesting and instructive to find out if @zackpolanski.bsky.social and the Green Party support or oppose this.

Things continue to go badly for Labour By Stephen Fisher, 27 February 2026 Yesterday Labour lost the Gorton and Denton parliamentary by-election. This was a constituency were they took 50.8% of the vote at the 2024 general ele…

New post by me on how and why support for Labour has dropped since the general election, and how the Green by-election win yesterday increases the chances of a Reform majority at the next GE because tactical coordination failure on the left is now more likely.

electionsetc.com/2026/02/27/t...

This goes to something @jillongovt.bsky.social taught me soon after I joined IfG - no matter how long something has been discussed and played around with in government, the only test is how it is received in the real world.

Lisa Nandy says that the government is now considering quitting X.

"The first job of government is to deal with the really serious issues around regulation" ... "But I do think symbols matter - the question you ask is very much up for debate. Its a debate we are having"

The UK bond market crisis in full …

‘Is university still worth it?’ is the wrong question The graduate earnings premium isn’t really measuring what most people think

Turns out (says @jburnmurdoch.ft.com) it's not so much an oversupply of graduates in the UK (the same would be true of other similar countries but it's not) as an undersupply of the kind of jobs that a better-performing, more productive economy would supply.

I reckon the last time the son of a sovereign was taken into custody in Britain was the Duke of Monmouth in 1685.

Green win probabilities from our modelling (if an election were held tomorrow)

Hackney South - 53%
Hackney North - 49%
Tottenham - 42%
Leyton and Wanstead - 40%
Walthamstow - 39%

They’re so clearly going to try to fix the elections

Every US outlet should be reporting on this every single day between now and mid terms

Matt Goodwin’s Reform UK campaign manager said he ‘would never touch a Jewish woman’ - The Jewish Chronicle Adam Mitula, who is canvassing for the party in Gorton and Denton, also tweeted that the six million who died in the Holocaust only included ‘some Jews’

Has anyone asked Goodwin or Farage about this yet?

Astonishing it wasn't raised at Farage's press conference..

www.thejc.com/news/uk/matt...

That Goodwin would attract like-minded racists, bigots and neo-Nazi adjacent lowlifes was predictable.

That the BBC, Times, etc would entirely ignore this...was also predictable.