Wonder what negative rainfall means?
Just stronger evapotranspiration than average? π
Wonder what negative rainfall means?
Just stronger evapotranspiration than average? π
On this date: the only known March hurricane (or tropical cyclone) on record in the Atlantic Basin.
And it wasn't a "fish storm", either.
Melissa joined quite a list of retired M storms, all since 1995:
Milton 2024 (tied strongest Gulf)
Michael 2018 (Cat. 5 Fla. Panhandle)
Maria 2017 (PR catastrophe)
Matthew 2016 (Haiti catastrophe)
Michelle 2001 (Cat 4 Cuba)
Mitch 1998 (C. America; 9,000+ killed)
Marilyn 1995 (PR, VI billion $)
The full list of Atlantic hurricane names retired since 1954.
One letter leads them all.
US severe convective storm (SCS) activity to ramp up. The Storm Prediction Center already flags 4 of the next 8 days with likely activity.
Outbreaks starting in March have accounted for a notable portion of annual SCS losses for insurers:
2020: 12%
2021: 12%
2022: 9%
2023: 20%
2024: 15%
2025: 26%
Classic "spring warmth tease" next week, followed by a reality check.
Parts of the Plains will have severe weather fatigue today - Tuesday. #rinserepeat
Where we are in SPC's new intensity forecasts for Day 3 (Friday). Mention of "strong tornadoes" (EF2+) possible in hatched CIG1 area.
And a shoutout to March 2022. which was the March tornado leader in the U.S. before last year's preliminary count.
60 years ago today, Mississippi's deadliest tornado and one of its very few 5-rated twisters tore through part of Jackson.
First, Albuquerque, NM crushed its previous record warmest winter in 135 years.
Then yesterday, their record earliest 80Λ high.
Straight out of the March textbook for the upper Midwest next week.
Warm teaseπ‘οΈ
With wind π¬οΈ
Then t-storms π©οΈ
Then cold π₯Ά
With 2025 still "preliminary", the 3 highest March tornado tallies in the U.S. have happened in the past 4 years.
And in those 3 years, March counts have been on par or even higher than May.
Perspective: π
As a meteorologist and resident of the northern U.S., I have a very conflicted view of March weather.
Here's the preliminary findings from NWS-Brownsville on what may be America's hottest winter temperature on record.
NOAA has rated the February 22-24, 2026 Nor'easter a Category 3 (out of 5) on the Regional Snowfall Index (RSI) scale.
This places it as the #17 most impactful snow storm event - based on total snowfall, storm size, and societal impact - for the Northeast since 1900.
Also was apparently a 107Λ at Falcon Lake (on the Rio Grande) on Feb. 23, 2017. So...still a lot we're not yet certain about.
Some uncertainty whether an all-time US winter (Dec-Feb) heat record was set Thursday.
Per NOWData, Rio Grande City, TX once hit 104Λ on Feb. 26, 1902.
So we may have an all-time winter record tie, assuming nowhere else in S. TX, AZ, CA ever hit 105Λ+ from Dec-Feb??
Impressive regardless.
Quite a few south TX locations reached or topped 100Λ Thursday the first 100s in the nation in 2026.
Laredo (103Λ) tied their Feb. monthly record.
Dozens more daily records from TX -> S. Calif. through Sunday.
Admittedly a tougher ask...any chance the March wind monthly rank map exists without city labels and county outlines? (No problem if not.) Again, thank you!
Wow! Perfect! Thank you so much, Dr. B. π
@climatologist49.bsky.social First, I'm guessing you're enjoying the cold?
Do you have maps showing where March is the windiest month climatology?
I seem to recall you did that for MAM as a whole?
Thanks, as always!
Quite a strong signal among multiple model ensembles for heavy rain from Texas to the mid-Mississippi Valley from mid-next week into first weekend of March. Could be a drought-eraser.
Where/when/magnitude of severe threat TBD, per usual.
15 years ago this morning, flakes of snow fell in San Francisco. And not just atop Twin Peaks.
One other location appears to have smashed its all-time snowstorm record in the Blizzard of 2026.
weather.com/storms/winte...
Heads up for those catching some early Cactus League games later this week/weekend:
Record heat is forecast for Arizona, including some "first 90s of the year" that are about a month earlier than usual. (Gfx: NWS-Phoenix)
While the blizzard was hammering the East Coast, we had the planet's first Category 5 tropical cyclone of 2026 Monday, Cyclone Horacio. Topped out at 160 mph winds and 920 millibar central pressure, based on satellite estimates.
Fortunately, it passed well east of Rodrigues Island (Mauritius).
At least three preliminary all-time records appear to have been set during the storm, all in the Ocean State.
Two cities had about an entire season's worth of snow in two days.
Deets in our full storm recap π
This East Coast snowstorm could approach all-time state snowstorm records in a pair of states.
More in our continuously updated recap page π
The snowbands have hardly changed in 6 hours.
No wonder the prolific snow totals we're seeing.