@erweinstein
Grad student at the University of Chicago. Causal inference/stats/methods/computing. Co-creator of Cards Against Humanity. Vice president of The Storytelling Trust. Married to artist @ClareRosean. Dog parent.
A graph of year-on-year change in US manufacturing employment
The US continues to lose manufacturing jobs—payrolls are down 81k over the last year, & another 5k jobs were lost in November
Transportation (especially auto manufacturing), wood & electronics/electrical manufacturing are the biggest losers, but few subsectors are doing well
This is the same person who said, in September (also in a letter to ticket holders), that the Bears' new stadium was definitely going to be Arlington Heights, and that was the only site they would move forward on for the construction project. And they'd break ground by the end of December 2025.
Kevin Warren was supposedly hired because of his experience helping the Vikings build U.S. Bank Stadium. He's modernized the Bears front office and the team is playing its best since 2018, but he's is clearly out of his depth on the stadium negotiations.
Illinois taxpayers are STILL stuck with over $350 million in debt from the (poorly-received) 2003 renovations to Soldier Field, because our city and state leaders (one a Democrat, the other Republican) agreed to shell out public money to help the Bears "stay in Chicago". That's Trump behavior, too.
The most charitable reading of this is a transparent attempt to gain negotiating leverage. No normal person needs to say "This is not about leverage" (direct quote from the letter) unless they are, in fact, desperately trying to gain negotiating leverage and failing. Again, he sounds like Trump.
I've read this letter. It's a Trump-level meltdown disguised as a press release. Governor Pritzker @govpritzker.illinois.gov and the IL Democratic State Assembly leadership told off Bears CEO Kevin Warren, refusing to throw taxpayer money at them, and Warren is completely losing his shit about it.
[Hank Hill voice]
God help me, I'm watching an NHL game on..."Disney Plus".
Clearly what we need now is...
"APT." but it samples (technically, interpolates, for the music nerds) the B*Witched version.
Important Notice (because we could all use some cheering up):
If it has been more than one (1) year since you have watched the original music video for Toni Basil's "Mickey", you need to watch it right now.
youtu.be/0aqLwHP4y6Q?si…
Thank you for your attention to this matter. Happy Friday!
One thing I’d like to call out:
A 24% tariff on Japan is idiotic.
A 37% tariff on Bangladesh is _evil_. We are their largest trading partner. Their economy depends on textile exports. The consequences of this will be horrific. And for what? So in 20 years we’ll have more textile mills?
On the 31st of December, 2021, on what people are calling the old site (or the hellsite), I tweeted:
"John Harbaugh is an Order Muppet.
Jim Harbaugh is a Chaos Muppet.
Thank you for coming to my TED Talk."
x.com/erweinstein/...
More proud of this than anything else I've posted on social media.
And Michelle Bachman attacked him for it in the 2011-2012 presidential primary, and the base largely sided with her. The Perry HPV vaccination stuff collectively is probably my favorite moment in recent American political history, in that it explains (presages?) so much of what came after.
Hello, Bluesky. This Black Friday, give the gift of a real potato covered in dozens of real diamonds. Available exclusively at DiamondPotato.com.
Putin has no real options for nuclear use, no matter how hard he thumps his chest. And the history of nuclear crises - and there aren't many - is not that they happen because one side has decided on war, but because of miscalculations that have to be walked back.
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
They do that more often when the Bears are playing a home game, like last Sunday. Today the Bears are the visiting team against the conference-leading Detroit Lions, so they point the cameras at Lions fans and famous Detroiters at the game, like Eminem and Tim Allen.
A medium-sized golden brown dog, a Shepherd-Lab-Pitbull mix, resting on a couch giving a side-eye glance.
Uma. Loves tummy rubs and yelling at rodents. Earthly Avatar of "No Take, Only Throw". Complete Chaos Muppet. Roots for the Joker (and whatever team Jim Harbaugh is coaching) to win. Even smarter than she looks, and she looks like she knows what's going on, but wants everyone to think she doesn't.
As the old saying goes, "Let the Lord of Chaos rule."
Reason, Noah Smith, etc. are citing an exit poll showing 65% of Native Americans voted Trump. It's nonsense. Reservations aren't included in exit polling. It's a tiny sample (about 200) of self-identified NAs at non-reservation sites.
www.reddit.com/r/IndianCoun...
www.reddit.com/r/IndianCoun...
Proud to share my first NBER working paper. 17.5 million Redfin users were randomly assigned to see or not see flood risk on home listing; the treated users went on to make offers on less risky homes. First casual evidence that homebuyers are adapting to climate change www.nber.org/papers/w33119
Just days after the Alabama Supreme Court held that frozen IVF embryos were “unborn children” covered by Alabama’s Wrongful
Death Of A Minor Act, the University of Alabama health system shut down all IVF clinics.
2% of American babies born last year came as a result of IVF. So did my 21yo daughter