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Taiwan Security Monitor

@taiwanmonitor

TSM is a student-powered research initiative dedicated to informing the public on cross-Strait security. Directed by GMU’s Michael Hunzeker. Usual disclaimers. tsm.schar.gmu.edu

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Latest posts by Taiwan Security Monitor @taiwanmonitor

[4] On November 15th, China's Coast Guard conducted a "rights protection patrol" with several vessels near the disputed but Japanese-administered Senkaku islands.

19.11.2025 03:35 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

[3] On November 15th, Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense detected a PLA “joint combat readiness patrol” involving 26 aircraft and multiple naval vessels. 17 aircraft, including J-16 fighters and KJ-500 early warning aircraft, crossed the median line and entered Taiwanese airspace.

19.11.2025 03:35 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

[2] On November 13th, the DSCA and the U.S. State Department notified Congress of a proposed sale to Taiwan, covering spare parts for F-16 fighters, C-130 transport aircraft, and Indigenous Defense Fighters (IDFs), valued at $330 million. This was the first such sale since December of 2024.

19.11.2025 03:35 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

[1] On 11/13, Four CCG vessels entered Kinmen’s restricted waters, according to Taiwan’s Coast Guard. CCG 14603, 14515, 14609, and 14529, operated with their AIS transponders turned off and remained in the area for about two hours before departing. It was the first such incursion in over a month.

19.11.2025 03:35 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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🇹🇼NEW: Here's the latest edition of the Weekly Taiwan Security Review, covering November 11th to 18th.

Each week, we highlight key military, security, and political developments around Taiwan in a single post! Read more below. ⬇️

19.11.2025 03:35 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

The system was supposed to be withdrawn shortly after the exercise ended on Sept. 25, but remained until at least Nov. 10, prompting local groups to protest what they feared could become a permanent deployment.

18.11.2025 20:22 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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The Japanese Ministry of Defense has informed Iwakuni City authorities that the Typhon missile system used in the “Resolute Dragon 2025” drill has now been withdrawn.

Below is our visualization of Typhon’s former location and range.

18.11.2025 20:22 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

The last notified sale to Taiwan was nearly a year ago, in December 2024, for gun mounts. While categorized in our records as a “maintenance sale,” this notification is still notable as the first arms sale to Taiwan under the second Trump administration.

14.11.2025 04:09 👍 4 🔁 2 💬 0 📌 0
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NEW SALE ALERT: The DSCA and U.S. State Department today notified Congress of a proposed sale to Taiwan covering spare parts for F-16 fighters, C-130 transport aircraft, and Indigenous Defense Fighters (IDFs), valued at US$330 million.

14.11.2025 04:09 👍 7 🔁 3 💬 1 📌 0

China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a direct threat to Japan earlier today, stating that "Those who play with fire will perish by it!"

This is in response to recent comments from Prime Minister Takaichi about possible Japanese intervention in a Taiwan contigency.

13.11.2025 15:48 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

The testing will be held at Jiupeng Base in Pingtung County. Our visualization shows the testing times and zones.

11.11.2025 17:22 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Taiwan's Naval Metreological & Oceanographic Office has published a navigation warning for live-fire munitions testing held by the National Chung-Shan Institute of Science and Technology (NCSIST) during November.

11.11.2025 17:22 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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The Philippine Marine Corps publicly unveiled its BrahMos cruise missile coastal defense system at a Marine Corps Coastal Defense Regiment facility in Zambales, reported by @aaronmatthewil.bsky.social

See our visualization of the BrahMos system's deployment site and reported operational range

11.11.2025 11:38 👍 6 🔁 3 💬 0 📌 1

[4] November 9th, soldiers from Taiwan’s 2nd Operational Zone were mobilized to assist with evacuations in Guangfu Township, Hualien, ahead of Typhoon Fung-Wong’s expected landfall. The township was devastated just weeks ago by Typhoon Ragasa, causing severe flooding with more than 20 people dead.

11.11.2025 02:40 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

[3] On November 6th, Taiwan's MND noted a significant ADIZ violation, with 31 aircraft crossing the median line. This upset several weeks of low activity, and was the largest single-day violation since August 8th.

11.11.2025 02:40 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

[2] On November 4th, Taiwan's Marine Corps held its semi-annual joint anti-landing and beachhead combat exercise near Kaohsiung. The exercise incorporated the "Team Awareness Kit" (TAK) battlefield intelligence system and surveillance drones for the first time.

11.11.2025 02:40 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0

[1] On November 4th, Taiwan publicly disclosed a bidding process for the possible procurement of 635 "portable drone counter-control systems." The estimated budget is $313M~ USD.

11.11.2025 02:40 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 0
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🇹🇼NEW: Here's the latest edition of the Weekly Taiwan Security Review, covering November 4th to 10th.

Each week, we highlight key military, security, and political developments around Taiwan in a single post! Read more below. ⬇️

11.11.2025 02:40 👍 5 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 1

Of course! Thanks for your support!

10.11.2025 01:59 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

We do! Take a look at the most recent update from a few days ago.
tinyurl.com/tsm-arms-october-2025
Let us know what you think!

10.11.2025 01:55 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 2 📌 0

Check out our visualization of evacuation of the Senkakus, which would likely happen in that contingency.

09.11.2025 22:11 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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Per Asahi, Japanese PM Takaichi stated Friday that a potential military blockade of Taiwan by China would constitute self-defense for Japanese forces

Previous prime ministers including Shinzo Abe, have been reluctant to include a blockade in self-defense cases due to the risk of antagonizing China

09.11.2025 22:11 👍 2 🔁 1 💬 1 📌 0
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NEW: Three of China's Shiuqiao landing barges have been captured by esa's #sentinel2 satellite participating in training near Xiangshan, Ningbo, as of yesterday, October 13th.

This is the same area where the barges trained in earlier this year, from June to July

14.10.2025 18:17 👍 3 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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NEW: Here's the latest edition of the Weekly Taiwan Security Review, covering October 6th to 13th.

Each week, we highlight key military, security, and political developments around Taiwan in a single snapshot.

14.10.2025 18:16 👍 1 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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NEW: The August 2025 update of our Taiwan Arms Sales Backlog is live! Read about recent contract announcements, arms deliveries, and more below on our website! ⬇️
tinyurl.com/tsm-arms-aug...

07.10.2025 14:25 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 1 📌 2
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NEW: Here's the latest edition of the Weekly Taiwan Security Review, covering September 30th to October 5th.

Each week, we highlight key military, security, and political developments around Taiwan in a single snapshot.

07.10.2025 14:15 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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NEW: Here's the latest edition of the Weekly Taiwan Security Review, covering September 23rd-29th.

Each week, we highlight key military, security, and political developments around Taiwan in a single snapshot.

01.10.2025 00:49 👍 4 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0
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NEW: Here's the latest edition of the Weekly Taiwan Security Review, covering September 9th-16th.

Each week, we highlight key military, security, and political developments around Taiwan in a single snapshot.

24.09.2025 21:56 👍 3 🔁 1 💬 0 📌 0
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NEW: The July 2025 update of our Taiwan Arms Sales Backlog is live!

Read about recent contract announcements, arms deliveries, and more below on our website! ⬇️

tinyurl.com/tsm-arms-jul...

24.09.2025 21:55 👍 2 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0

This week, PLA activity around Taiwan increased, with Taiwan's MND tracking a surge in PLAAF, PLAN, and China Coast Guard (CCG) activity.

On September 15th, the MND monitored 6 CCG vessels around Taiwan, the most since April's Strait Thunder exercise.

17.09.2025 02:00 👍 1 🔁 0 💬 0 📌 0