x.com/SecWar/statu... Anthropic has just been designated as a "Supply Chain Risk to National Security." This is so fucking insane it is hard to describe how insane it is.
27.02.2026 22:23
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x.com/SecWar/statu... Anthropic has just been designated as a "Supply Chain Risk to National Security." This is so fucking insane it is hard to describe how insane it is.
Two emails sent just hours apart. The duality of modern academia.
This will surely help quell calls for #digitalsovereignty in Europe and rebuild trust toward US platforms.
It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
New definition of sovereignty dropped
What is "oligarchic sovereignty" and can it explain the tech bro seizure of the US government and its effects on the world? I discuss with some very thoughtful colleagues here: cup.org/3KZzRly
Free to read as a Christmas gift to you all:
As @abenewman.bsky.social and I might say, hegemonic enshittification has consequences www.wired.com/story/enshit...
New working paper w/ @erikvoeten.bsky.social on the hottest topic in town: data centers!
We show how concerns about #digitalsovereignty, decarbonization, electricity costs & local environmental impacts shape public support for data center construction in #Germany.
osf.io/preprints/so...
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Here's what the plot is supposed to look like!
14/ For more interesting results see the paper here. Comments welcome! osf.io/preprints/so...
13/ As data center expansion becomes more politically salient, understanding how multidimensional concerns about climate change, electricity costs, and local environmental damage intersect with concerns about digital sovereignty only becomes more important!
12/ This suggests that existing cleavages over the energy transition will also shape the politics of data center expansion.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
11/ Preferences toward data center attributes don't vary a lot by party ID, except when it comes to energy source: AfD voters don't care at all if data centers are run on fossil fuels or renewables; Green/Die Linke voters strongly prefer renewables over gas and coal-powered data centers.
10/ The negative effect of having a data center operated by a US firms is as large as the effect of a data center that increases local electricity prices by 20%. This is striking esp. in Germany where electricity prices are already high.
Notably, local tax & employment benefits matter very little.
Average marginal component effect plot
9/ We then use a conjoint to see what types of data centers respondents would support in their communities:
Nationality of the company operating the data center has the LARGEST effect on support! I.e. #digitalsovereignty matters.
Impact on local electricity prices & water usage also matter a lot.
Coefficient plot showing average treatment effect of digital sovereignty primes on support for building more data centers. Caption: Average treatment effects (left) and average marginal treatment effects by political ideology (right) compared to the control group receiving information about the basic data center tradeoffs. For ATEs, the thick error bar represents the 90% confidence interval and the thin error bar the 95% confidence interval. The competitiveness treatment is significant at the 90% threshold (p = 0.072) and the data protection treatment approaches significance (p = 0.101). The pooled treatment is significant at the 95% threshold (p = 0.047). For marginal effects, only 95% confidence intervals are shown. Respondents are treated as left-leaning if they self-place below 5 on a 10-point left-scale and as right-leaning otherwise.
8/ We use 2 survey experiments in Germany to evaluate this question. First, we look at whether priming respondents with digital sovereignty concerns changes support for building more data centers in Germany, in general.
It does but effects are quite small.
7/ This suggests that public support will be important as governments seek to promote building more data centers.
But how does the public think about the environmental, economic, and geopolitical tradeoffs that data center expansion entails?
6/ Local opposition is also fueled geopolitical tensions and negative sentiments toward US Big Tech companies, i.e. the companies building many of these data centers.
www.wired.com/story/climat...
5/ As data center expansion accelerates, local communities across the world are pushing back, sometimes blocking new data center construction.
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/20/t...
4/ But data centers use a lot of electricity, straining power grids and raising local electricity prices, including in Germany. Add to that concerns about data centers' water usage, limited local job creation, and potential impacts on emission reductions.
algorithmwatch.org/en/germany-d...
Excerpt from a statement issued as part of the Franco-German digital sovereignty summit: France and Germany commit to actively support the development and uptake of European solutions in data, cloud and AI. Under the future IPCEI-AI and IPCEI-CIC, Germany and France to support joint projects, with the aim of strengthening European sovereignty. Similarly, AI gigafactories must provide tangible reinforcement of European sovereignty across the cloud and AI value chain.
3/ Data center expansion serves economic & geopolitical ends: as governments pursue #digitalsovereignty & "sovereign AI," building more domestic digital infrastructure becomes key.
E.g. see this recent statement from the Franco-German digital sovereignty summit: www.elysee.fr/en/emmanuel-...
2/ Amid the global #AI race, data center construction is expanding rapidly.
Source: www.iea.org/data-and-sta...
New working paper w/ @erikvoeten.bsky.social on the hottest topic in town: data centers!
We show how concerns about #digitalsovereignty, decarbonization, electricity costs & local environmental impacts shape public support for data center construction in #Germany.
osf.io/preprints/so...
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This is correct! Researchers find that a) most people underestimate the administrative burdens of immigration, and b) when informed about these burdens become more supportive of immigration.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
TV conspiracies: we’ve hacked their computers but they’ve perfectly cleaned up the evidence!
Real conspiracies:
To: conspirator
From: famous person
Attachment: evidence.png
Remember when dense networks of strategic cross-shareholdings among firms, native to coordinated market economies, went the way of the dodo?
The Rhenish model, Germany, Inc. undone by Anglo institutional investors?
Well, the dodo is back. Say hello to USA, Inc.
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
Ahead of tomorrow's hearing on European "censorship" of Americans under the Digital Services Act, I have a new blog post explaining why that is not a thing.
You can get the gist in about two minutes of skimming the bold text, or stay for the details.
1/
cyberlaw.stanford.edu/a-primer-on-...
This is the coverage of Trump's high tariffs on India in one prominent Indian financial paper. economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/i...
Excited to report my article "Digital Interdependence and Power Politics" has been published open access in @bjpols.bsky.social. I use internet measurements to understand how international security influences global data flows www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Notable that Ron Estes, the ‘revenge tax’ author and influential Republican, supports a US return to the multilateral bargaining table on digital taxes:
www.fdiintelligence.com/content/bc16...