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Thalys Bar

@thalysbar

At the Wagon-bar between Amsterdam, Brussels, and Paris chatting about EU, connectivity, transport, space, defence - Ukraine!

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Latest posts by Thalys Bar @thalysbar

Yes. But also:
1.Putin loses another ally and supplier and export market
2.Spot prices are great only if you have elastic production and export capacities. Less great if what you need is repairs, equipment...
3.We will see rapid uptake of air defense production capacity in EU and US

09.03.2026 12:48 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Second Hormuz strait just dropped.

05.03.2026 15:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Quel sera le premier parti de gauche en France qui succombera Γ  cette bΓͺtise?
J'ai ma petite idΓ©e...

05.03.2026 10:40 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
Britain looks to Frederiksen’s migration plan to neutralize Farage Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood is eager to take on complaints from liberal-minded colleagues β€” and combat Nigel Farage’s right-wing insurgency.

Britain’s center-left government is taking direct inspiration from Denmark’s hardline treatment of migrants.

That’s leaving some Labour MPs feeling queasy.

05.03.2026 09:08 πŸ‘ 9 πŸ” 3 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 5

...and i will also add a balcony set in addition to my existing 3.5KW rooftop installation.

πŸ™‹If anyone has seen possibilities to mount panels as slidable window shutters please let me know.

05.03.2026 10:11 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I was about to buy a Marstek Venus 3 that gives you 5.2kwh for 1100 EUR, now have to restart my investigations!
Keep us posted if you go ahead!

05.03.2026 10:05 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

You're a Russian shadow fleet captain, it's 6am the day after an unexpected early sunrise in the Med, your ship is fully loaded, and you're about to head out

04.03.2026 14:17 πŸ‘ 90 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 3 πŸ“Œ 0

...l'interet est d'attendre le plus possible de bombes tombées. Mais continueront elles a tomber si personne ne se lève?

02.03.2026 16:47 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

1. on ne comprends surement rien au soulèvements Iraniens, pas plus que les printemps arabes, où c'est le cout du pain qui à mis les masses dans la rue. cf les trajectoires démocratiques des pays concernés depuis.
2. Meme pour les plus (contre?)rΓ©volutionnaires iraniens...

02.03.2026 16:47 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
image of a run finish were a trump finalist is beaten last second by IA

image of a run finish were a trump finalist is beaten last second by IA

Poor Donald Trump!

He had this monopoly on gripping opinions, generating random BS, playing on vanity, bordering fascism - with constant speculation about how that can save/ruin/change nothing to the world/economy/democracy...

...and when it's his time, IA appears and beats him at every turn.

27.02.2026 09:31 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

"The RUSI report found that if such a rate of interception could be replicated by a system protecting Moscow, then a modest British or French strike might not be able to achieve its intended effect." πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

Well, I guess this ends "modest" nuclear strikes on capitals hosting 10% of a country's pop.

26.02.2026 11:43 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Nylon dome....

26.02.2026 11:27 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Our neighbour can shoot 100+ missiles / month over a sustained period.

Can EU + UK produce/procure 400+ interceptors / month?

(setting aside our capacity to strike back and destroy some production capacity).

26.02.2026 11:16 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a woman says " what " in front of a black microwave ALT: a woman says " what " in front of a black microwave

Question of the day: how many new procedures should the EU and Commission put in place to enforce "simplification"?

25.02.2026 11:40 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I would like to hear from people with knowledge how comes this was not intercepted by air defense and what that tells us....

25.02.2026 11:30 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

On the diplomatic aspect we can do much more than push for fair negotiations. We need to streamline a Russia containment strategy everywhere where we have presence, influence and interests. Conditionalities in all our aid and trade for example...

24.02.2026 14:24 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Yes. We should support UKR not just out of solidarity and values but also self interest and preservation. We cannot fight Russia with Belarus and UKR on their side.

24.02.2026 14:18 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

For sure... changing rules before they are even applied really simplifies everyone's planning.

Also, I wonder who could have been stupid enough to adopt those less simple rules a few months ago?

24.02.2026 10:20 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Video thumbnail

It has been four years since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

In solidarity with the Ukrainian people, we are raising the Ukrainian flag alongside the flag of the European Union in front of the EEAS headquarters. This is the first time a flag is raised here.

24.02.2026 08:20 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 1
Preview
Christine Lagarde receives €140,000 from BIS despite payment ban for ECB staff Employees are not allowed to accept money from third parties for work related to the central bank

President @ecb.europa.eu ms. Lagarde gets additional 140.000 Euro for sitting in BIS

Those in powerful positions think they are entitled and can circumvent the rules

Important she pays back and goes
Bank has a credibility issue

@epsu.bsky.social
@politico.eu

www.ft.com/content/b70b...

24.02.2026 05:20 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Air Farce One

23.02.2026 16:16 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

North Korea's ruling party has again chosen Kim Jong Un to be its general secretary. Otherwise...🀷

23.02.2026 12:00 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

In the meantime, let's continue to doubt all experts who say "UKR cannot win, it better negotiate now than later..."

...and recognize that those (like @nicolastenzer.bsky.social ) who are clear that UKR CAN, MUST AND WILL win are in fact the only ones doing realpolitik.

23.02.2026 10:41 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

...to secure their steals in Donbass.
- How often they ask their negotiation team (Trump/Witkoff) to keep UKR at the table.

Trump's admin pressuring of UKR is the biggest tell on Russia's current fear.

In 2026 peace can be negotiated and or imposed, by UKR.

23.02.2026 10:21 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

- Industrial base - UKR non-linear progression on deep strikes + UKR increased territorial depth (production all over Europe that RU cannot attain without major escalation).

The Moscow regimes know all this and we should keep an eye on 2 indicators:
- How much they invest in defense lines...

23.02.2026 10:21 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

In 2026, Russia could NEED peace negotiations, or risk loosing a lot, why?
- Territory - Increasing costs to stealing more + risk of UKR exploiting opportunities
- Manpower - they can cruise 30.000 losses/month - probably still a low factor in the Kremlin's calculus
- Industrial base - ...

23.02.2026 10:21 πŸ‘ 2 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Preview
a man in a wig and glasses is sitting at a desk in front of a computer . ALT: a man in a wig and glasses is sitting at a desk in front of a computer .
23.02.2026 09:28 πŸ‘ 3 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

I think Orban got his response

23.02.2026 08:51 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
Post image

Je ne sais pas qui a fait Γ§a…

19.02.2026 09:38 πŸ‘ 200 πŸ” 72 πŸ’¬ 4 πŸ“Œ 3

Sand batteries are actually getting real traction in Finland right now - Polar Night Energy's been running one commercially since 2022. Stores heat at 500Β°C for months. Won't solve everything, but seasonal storage was supposed to be the impossible part, and someone's quietly cracking it.

21.02.2026 09:17 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0