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Patrick Leblond (he/il)

@prleblond

CN-Paul M. Tellier Chair on Business and Public Policy, Graduate School of Public and International Affairs, University of Ottawa Senior Fellow @ Centre for International Governance Innovation & Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada Research Fellow @ CIRANO

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18.11.2024
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Latest posts by Patrick Leblond (he/il) @prleblond

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CANZUK economic block could stop Britain becoming a vassal state A new Β£6.4trillion alliance between the UK, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand could help the country protect itself from domination by increasingly belligerent superpowers.

Why did nobody report to me the surely game-changer of the Conservatives coming out for CANZUK, which might make, ooh, about 0.001% GDP difference given we already have trade deals with each of them... www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/market...

08.03.2026 14:53 πŸ‘ 75 πŸ” 14 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 0

A handful of Republicans in Congress & Supreme Court can end this nightmare any time they choose, and history will remember them as saviors of the republic, no matter what terrible things they did to US in last 10 years: insane we cannot find a few volunteers for this plum deal!

09.03.2026 01:28 πŸ‘ 2832 πŸ” 743 πŸ’¬ 68 πŸ“Œ 24
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Markets are *very* unhappy about developments in Iran.

09.03.2026 01:03 πŸ‘ 4315 πŸ” 1332 πŸ’¬ 210 πŸ“Œ 104

Until Trump can claim that β€œL’Etat, c’est moi !”, he’ll satisfy himself with β€œL’Etat, c’est Γ  moi !”

09.03.2026 02:18 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
Elon Musk * x @elonmusk
X.com
True
iamyesyouareno β€’ @iamyesyouareno β€’ 2d
Tucker: "Every other group in the world has a right to its own homeland except White people? What?
Explain how that makes sense."
White people deserve a homeland.
FATI
rOCKeL:
SHOW
12:43 AM β€’ 3/7/26 β€’ 21M Views

Elon Musk * x @elonmusk X.com True iamyesyouareno β€’ @iamyesyouareno β€’ 2d Tucker: "Every other group in the world has a right to its own homeland except White people? What? Explain how that makes sense." White people deserve a homeland. FATI rOCKeL: SHOW 12:43 AM β€’ 3/7/26 β€’ 21M Views

Seems bad that these two guys who have the ear of the US president are out here promoting Richard Butler-style white nationalism.

08.03.2026 23:12 πŸ‘ 1329 πŸ” 285 πŸ’¬ 127 πŸ“Œ 64
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Helluva way for the president to refer to dead soldiers β€” soldiers killed in a war he started.

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

08.03.2026 02:45 πŸ‘ 4017 πŸ” 990 πŸ’¬ 157 πŸ“Œ 135

β€œOur government is treating the suffering of the Iranian people as a backdrop for our own entertainment, as if it’s just another piece of content to be swiped through while we’re waiting in line at the grocery store.”

08.03.2026 08:47 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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Iran's FM condemns US attack on Qeshm's freshwater desalination plant, warns of grave consequences US President Donald Trump announced that Iran promised not to attack its neighbours anymore

Multiple news outlets are reporting a US attack on an Iranian #desalination plant.
If verified, this violates international law protecting #water systems during wars, and it sets a dangerous precedent, given intense dependence of Gulf countries on desalination.
timesofoman.com/article/1691...

07.03.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 2178 πŸ” 1286 πŸ’¬ 111 πŸ“Œ 210

I get yelled at for saying this but for many hundreds of years people went to university not to get diplomas or be employable but because immersion in the humanities was considered foundational to a good life, and school must return to its original purpose: the joy of learning.

08.03.2026 00:22 πŸ‘ 12074 πŸ” 2636 πŸ’¬ 227 πŸ“Œ 185
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Middle East war live: Israel expands attacks to Iranian oil storage facilities [FREE TO READ] Iran targets infrastructure in Bahrain and Kuwait as Middle East conflict enters ninth day

Our live blog on this shit show is up and running again. Just a mounting nightmare - as.ft.com/r/bbc5b47c-1...

08.03.2026 09:44 πŸ‘ 191 πŸ” 62 πŸ’¬ 9 πŸ“Œ 5
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β€œThe US is roughly speaking oil independent… on net, we export petroleum products.”

That’s why this is less an β€˜America is poorer’ story than an β€˜Americans reshuffle who wins’ story. Drivers lose. Oil industry wins.

08.03.2026 11:53 πŸ‘ 643 πŸ” 198 πŸ’¬ 43 πŸ“Œ 10
Two women pose outside and hold saplings. Text overlaid reads "No Sustainable Development Without Gender Equity."

Two women pose outside and hold saplings. Text overlaid reads "No Sustainable Development Without Gender Equity."

When women aren’t included, sustainable development efforts risk leaving behind those who have the most at stake.

More than ever, policies, investments & initiatives need to prioritize gender equality & social justice to address barriers & deliver equitable benefits for women.

#IWD2026

08.03.2026 13:30 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Where does it say that the DTA will be a chapter in CETA? I don’t see how CETA can be reopened, since it would require new ratification by all. No one in their right mind would do that unless one member state officially notified the EU that it can’t ratify.

07.03.2026 23:04 πŸ‘ 1 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Cutting aid to spend on defence sounds great to the bloke down the pub

But it never works

Aid is a pittance compared to defence budgets. Cut the entire aid budget to buy two tyres on a fighter jet

Canada’s defence budget is ~$80bn or 16% of federal budget. Aid is $6bn or 1.2%

07.03.2026 18:32 πŸ‘ 14 πŸ” 8 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0

Again, the unifying 🧡 about Trump’s foreign policy is not realism or neo-royalism. It’s the extension of sexual assault/predation/partner abuse to IR. If he thinks you’re his macho pal, he’ll respect you/your sovereignty. If not, he’ll try to violate you & humiliate you. Epstein-ism, if you like.

07.03.2026 21:53 πŸ‘ 617 πŸ” 179 πŸ’¬ 23 πŸ“Œ 10
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For Xi, Trump’s Embrace of War Proves China Needs More Power

It should be the lesson for China, and everyone else:

"The sudden and furious attacks by U.S. and Israeli forces on Iran this past week, including the killing of the country’s supreme leader, are confirming Xi Jinping’s worldview that hard power is king"
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/07/w...

07.03.2026 16:06 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 1 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0
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07.03.2026 14:16 πŸ‘ 5160 πŸ” 2434 πŸ’¬ 393 πŸ“Œ 181
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07.03.2026 14:18 πŸ‘ 30462 πŸ” 7411 πŸ’¬ 492 πŸ“Œ 329
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We’ll soon be measuring the Pentagon by the number of countries it’s NOT striking.

@lbc.co.uk
www.lbc.co.uk/article/us-m...

07.03.2026 13:00 πŸ‘ 1161 πŸ” 372 πŸ’¬ 49 πŸ“Œ 13
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The only limit to his actions are his own morality: β€œUnder serious consideration for complete destruction and certain death […] are areas and groups of people that were not considered for targeting until this moment”. How does this help Iranians? Trump seems no better than Khamenei at this point.

07.03.2026 15:01 πŸ‘ 0 πŸ” 0 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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A Durable Consumer Boycott Leaves US Booze Makers Feeling Stiffed Also: Oil surges to around $91 a barrel

Canada’s boycott of US booze began a year ago with the first round of tariffs from the Trump administration. It has proven surprisingly durable. Read more in the Canada Daily newsletter.

06.03.2026 23:00 πŸ‘ 86 πŸ” 24 πŸ’¬ 12 πŸ“Œ 3
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Russia is providing Iran intelligence to target U.S. forces, officials say The targeting information has included the locations of American warships and aircraft in the Middle East, the officials said.

This is interesting. But it is more interesting that Trump is rewarding Moscow for doing this by helping Russia sell oil, repeating Russian propaganda points, and senselessly burning through weapon stocks.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

06.03.2026 19:57 πŸ‘ 1579 πŸ” 689 πŸ’¬ 74 πŸ“Œ 34
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RIP to Jesse Jackson. His funeral is today. I wanted to share this clip from his appearance on Sesame Street in 1971. His important words ring just as true today as they did back then.

06.03.2026 19:01 πŸ‘ 8367 πŸ” 2251 πŸ’¬ 139 πŸ“Œ 126
Screenshot News Release Ontario Government March 4, 2026: Ontario Secures Groundbreaking National Energy Corridor Agreement

Screenshot News Release Ontario Government March 4, 2026: Ontario Secures Groundbreaking National Energy Corridor Agreement

I want to be hopeful, but this should be part and parcel of a coherent, encompassing industrial strategy, developed within an institutional framework of cooperative federalism.

Unfortunately, we lack both. A problem for a project of this scope to materialize.

news.ontario.ca/en/release/1...

06.03.2026 21:34 πŸ‘ 8 πŸ” 4 πŸ’¬ 1 πŸ“Œ 0
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Proton Mail Helped FBI Unmask Anonymous β€˜Stop Cop City’ Protester A court record reviewed by 404 Media shows privacy-focused email provider Proton Mail handed over payment data related to a Stop Cop City email account to the Swiss government, which handed it to the ...

SCOOP: Proton Mail provided Swiss authorities with payment data that the FBI then used to determine who was allegedly behind an anonymous account affiliated with the Stop Cop City movement in Atlanta, according to a court record reviewed by 404 Media.

05.03.2026 20:41 πŸ‘ 2865 πŸ” 1551 πŸ’¬ 90 πŸ“Œ 383
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Dogs and students and this moment I am a political scientist. I have spent the last 30+ years studying security, including war and how to best manage violence. Today when I picked up the paper (or the NYT app on my phone, actually), I...

First blog since Jan 2025. Inspired by a somewhat depressing interaction with my students.
www.deborahavant.com/post/dogs-an...

06.03.2026 23:42 πŸ‘ 4 πŸ” 2 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0

Now it all makes sense.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to Fox: β€œDue to the temporary global oil gap, we may also unsanction other Russian oil.”

06.03.2026 23:57 πŸ‘ 426 πŸ” 112 πŸ’¬ 23 πŸ“Œ 18
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Pardon Industry Offers Rich Offenders a Path to Trump

NEW: Pardon seekers are routinely being asked to pay $1m+ to lobbyists & lawyers claiming access to Trump, often with bonuses if clemency is granted.

I investigated the Trump Pardon Industrial Complex, & detailed the backstory behind 1 interesting pardon.

06.03.2026 15:09 πŸ‘ 468 πŸ” 258 πŸ’¬ 16 πŸ“Œ 22
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This Carney statement is puzzling. If, as he says, we must accept "the world as it is" – including the purported failure of previous diplomatic efforts and of the international order – then why call for a diplomatic solution, de-escalation, and respect for international law?

03.03.2026 22:58 πŸ‘ 61 πŸ” 22 πŸ’¬ 19 πŸ“Œ 11
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China slashes anti-dumping tariff on Canadian canola in final ruling | The Western Producer China on Saturday sharply reduced its tariff rate on Canadian canola seed in the final ruling of a 17-month anti-dumping investigation, following a thaw in relations between Beijing and Ottawa.

China's tariff on Canada's canola seed exports lowered from 75.8% to 14.9%.

Earlier reports indicated this was where the levy was going after the Canada-China deal in January.

#cdnpoli #cdnecon

www.producer.com/daily/china-...

04.03.2026 01:13 πŸ‘ 5 πŸ” 5 πŸ’¬ 0 πŸ“Œ 0