🚨 New piece forthcoming @poqjournal.bsky.social w/ @alessandronai.bsky.social
Does violence beget more violence? We answer this question using the #Mangione case (assassination + arrest) as a natural experiment.
Results ⬇️
Accepted manuscript: tinyurl.com/4mwh6rt6
Data & code: osf.io/y5mn3
💻 Who actually wants “digitalisation”?
Alexander Kuo, @retobuergisser.bsky.social, @ainagallego.bsky.social, @siljahausermann.bsky.social survey five EU countries and find a clear mainstream-populist divide in support for digitalisation policies 👇
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
New article: "How Many People Use Voting Advice Applications? Survey Evidence From 15 Democracies Worldwide", in Politics and Governance (@CogitatioPaG) Download it for free here: www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandg... #OpenAccess
maps.app.goo.gl/VxvFQSfbKudg...
💡NEW STUDY FINDS…💡
Affective #polarisation in #Portugal has not been increasing but it has become more closely associated with turnout and voting behaviour
Read the article by @fredericofs.bsky.social here 👇
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Assim, embora a polarização afetiva em Portugal não tenha vindo a aumentar, tem-se tornado mais relevante para a explicação do comportamento eleitoral dos portugueses.
Contudo, ao longo deste período, a correlação entre polarização afetiva e participação eleitoral aumentou significativamente ao longo das últimas duas décadas. Há ainda uma relação assimétrica com o sentido do voto, que beneficia sobretudo os partidos de esquerda.
Sympathy for Chega: 2022 (dark grey) and 2024 (light grey).
O crescimento do Chega na eleição de 2024, paradoxalmente, não contribuiu para um aumento da polarização afetiva. Mais votos significam avaliações mais positivas e por um maior número de eleitores. A normalização retira-lhe potencial de antagonismo entre o eleitorado.
A análise confirma o carácter moderado e estável da polarização afetiva em Portugal. Acontecimentos recentes como a Grande Recessão e as mudanças importantes no sistema partidário português não parecem ter tido um impacto significativo nos níveis de polarização afetiva.
Este antagonismo não reflete apenas diferenças ideológicas, mas uma divisão emocional entre grupos políticos, em que opositores são vistos como membros de um grupo externo, com desconfiança, antipatia e hostilidade.
Polarização afetiva é a tendência para os eleitores desenvolverem sentimentos positivos em relação aos partidos e negativos em relação aos rivais.
A polarização afetiva em Portugal tem vindo a aumentar ao longo das últimas décadas?
E qual é a sua relação com o comportamento eleitoral dos portugueses?
Tento responder a estas questões usando dados do estudo pós-eleitoral português entre 2002-2024.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
O Estudo Eleitoral Português 2025, coordenado por mim, com o @fredericofs.bsky.social e a Ana Espírito Santo está aí. Este fim de semana o @jornalexpresso.bsky.social noticiou. O relatório está acessível no site do @ics-ulisboa.bsky.social aqui www.ics.ulisboa.pt/noticia/inqu... Segue fio:1/7
🌅📙 64.3
Do narcissistic leaders fuel political division? 🧠📊
These authors (🧵⬇️) find that when voters feel close to a leader with dark traits they become more polarized, disliking opposing parties even more. #AffectivePolarization #PoliticalPsychology
🔗https://buff.ly/ptbrrU6
Another shoutout to our latest @poqjournal.bsky.social !
Our new book THE PSYCHOLOGY OF ATTACK POLITICS is out next month! 🔥📚
We offer a new look at negativity effects, via perceptions & evaluations🤔😱👿🤣
You can pre-order it with a nice 20% discount on the cover price (for paperbacks this makes it £32 or so)
Check out discount code & link in the flyer 👇
I'm recruiting 2 PhD researchers to work with me on a project studying how social groups influence vote choices!
Info on the position and how to apply 👉 www.kuleuven.be/personeel/jo...
Please share with interested students who would like to move to beautiful Leuven!
This paper has been a longtime favourite of Diego and I. We are really thrilled that it found such a great home in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
Whether polarization is high/low only tells part of the story; the extent to which such polarization is characterized by a disproportionate degree of affect/disaffect may entail distinct socio-political implications. The two aspects are complementary.
While citizens may not be more polarized than before in most Western democracies, contemporary AP is more heavily characterized by a disproportionate weight of out-group dislike. Even if polarization didn't increase everywhere, it became more negatively driven in many countries.
The difference between these two components yields a measure of polarity of affect. Our results show a pattern of increasing negativity of AP across 10 of the 12 countries. In recent elections in Canada, Greece, Italy, Spain, the UK, and the US, the weight of out-party hate trumps in-party love.
The results confirm a stronger relative importance of out-party hate vis-à-vis in-party love over time. Recently, values of out-party hate tend to approach values of in-party love. In Greece, Italy, Spain, and the United States, out-party hate has actually become a stronger force than in-party love
This becomes more evident through the measures of in-party love and out-party hate (Finkel et al. 2020), that we adapted to multi-party systems. These measures center the degree of in-/out-party affect around the mid-point of the thermometer, to capture their relative strength.
In this article, we try to address this puzzle by disaggregating AP indexes into its two constitutive terms: in-party and out-party (dis)affect. While both tend to decrease over time, the decline in out-party affect is significantly more pronounced.
In a previous article (academic.oup.com/poq/article/...), we have shown that the increase in affective polarization over time is mostly limited to the US. If that is so, why is there so much concern about AP in contemporary democracies?
Our article "In-Party Love, Out-Party Hate, and Affective Polarization in Twelve Established Democracies" has now been published #openaccess at
@poqjournal.bsky.social
academic.oup.com/poq/advance-...
Main highlights in the🧵below 👇
🎓 Would you like to be a Postdoc at an American university on a research grant that won't be canceled?
📍 Join me at Franklin University Switzerland!
🧠 4-year fully-funded position in my SNF project DIVIDE
🔬 ≥80% working time on research
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👉 Check: www.linkedin.com/jobs/view/42...
#jobs 🚨🚨🚨
4 postdocs in Münster:
stellen.uni-muenster.de/jobposting/5...
I‘m involved in one appointment. More details will follow soon!
Nice piece on our article on affective polarisation and the dark personality of leaders, w @kgattermann.bsky.social @fredericofs.bsky.social Diego Garzia, Loes Aaldering
TLDR: dark traits of in-party leaders associated with higher affective polarisation in their (closest) followers
@areiljan.bsky.social
