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FPL Twikael

@fpltwikael

Sports enthusiast and Marketing analyst. Former fullback at Finnish ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ 6th division. โšฝ๏ธ XG forecast model building 23-25 ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ”ฎHJK Helsinki & MUTD๐Ÿ‘น, CM 01-02

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15.11.2024
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Latest posts by FPL Twikael @fpltwikael

Nice still, went Palmer C which slightly lucky though, albeit Chels xg off the roof and holding onto JP goldmine this gw as well..

06.03.2026 20:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Nice cap though.. ๐Ÿงข

06.03.2026 18:56 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW29 predicted xG captaincy matrix ๐Ÿ”ฎโšฝ๏ธ:

๐ŸŒ rank 144k , C ๐Ÿฅถ๐ŸงŠ๐Ÿงข

Barring any late surpises in pressers today, shall roll the transfer this gw.

Considered Tarko C in for Timber, but get Burnley projected on 0,75 xg so the Everton clean sheet is a coin toss. Pool CS more likely. GL! โœจ

03.03.2026 07:43 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW28 Cap predicted xg and points matrix: ๐Ÿ”ฎโšฝ๏ธ

๐ŸŒ rank 100k ๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ‘น ๐Ÿงข 0,2 itb

Moves this week: 4/4ft miniwc
S. Bueno->Hill
Lacroix->Andersen
Munoz->Konate
Mane->Thiago

Logic is to attack the gw28 fixture swing and prepare for 31/34 blank + utilize FH in 33. Fantastic luck champs!

27.02.2026 10:12 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Haha, flip a coin, maybe ๐Ÿค– cap if you got Semenyo per your plans for the covar play..

25.02.2026 20:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Bruno if no Haaland or Salah (my case), Haaland if rank under 100k or protecting it, if rank over 500k maybe Salah (C). Downside with Bruno defcons need to probly be discounted away. Could still get the clean tough if lucky = higher potential floor vs Haaland as a risk moderator (easy enough ๐Ÿ˜Ž )

25.02.2026 19:58 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 1 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW27 Cap matrix ๐Ÿงข๐Ÿ”ฎโšฝ๏ธ

๐ŸŒ rank 107k (3ft)

๐Ÿ›น rolling to 4ft as want to gain more information on possible blankers in 31/34 with a planned FH33 strategy. (Anderson can cover for Lacroix if out)

Marvellous luck for the weekend folks! ๐Ÿงฒ

20.02.2026 11:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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5p โญ๏ธ

14.02.2026 18:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW26 #BB ๐Ÿช‘โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ˜ผ active ๐Ÿ”ฎ:

Bench boost activated for the games under the midweek lights ๐ŸŒŸ. Final decision after pressers will be to lock in a Wolves defender. Any strong preferences on Krejci or S. Bueno, please let me know โšฝ๏ธ

๐ŸŒ rank 252k ๐Ÿ“ˆโ†—๏ธ

๐ŸŽน Turn on the lights/GL!

09.02.2026 22:29 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW24 #WC

xG prediction model ๐Ÿ”ฎ and WC active ๐Ÿงจ

With 5fts stocked for GW25, logic is to bench boost with a differential team in GW26 with 6 doublers (either 3x Arsenal, 3x Wolves or 3x Chelsea, 3x Everton). Hence starting with only JP (could be benched) as a hedge.

GL!

๐ŸŒ rank 771k

30.01.2026 20:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Alderete and Anderson probs, West Ham have a few new signings who up their chance for a goal (Alderete defcons under 50% as well, also if you start Kelleher that limits ceiling vs Anderson)

23.01.2026 19:37 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Ouch, need to re-automate own modelling then or start playing like a casual option B. ๐Ÿ˜Ž

21.01.2026 06:32 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW21 #GW22 #GW23 #GW24

๐ŸŒrank at 616k

Barring any long term issues, shall take a little xg/modelling pause and see where a set and forget approach leads to until GW24, then reassess hopefully with 5ft. ๐Ÿ”ฎ

Good luck all proactive, reactive and passive (zombie team) FPL โšฝ๏ธ greats! โœจ

05.01.2026 19:22 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW20 no xg projections/modelling ๐Ÿ”ฎ post holiday ๐Ÿ˜Ž, team looked bad for 20 so decided to roll to 2ft, now might roll to 3ft for next gw vs initial thoughts of even WC2 option.. #Rice Rice babyโ€ฆ

03.01.2026 20:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW18 xg predictions๐Ÿ”ฎ on holiday ๐Ÿ˜Ž

Bruno->Rice
JP->Ekitike

Merry x-mas all!๐ŸŽ„team setup with an appropriate 5-3-2 formation ๐ŸŽ…

Rank ๐ŸŒ 445k #Tenerife

26.12.2025 16:33 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW17 xg predictions: ๐Ÿ”ฎโšฝ๏ธ

3/4 remaining Afcon ft used during the week:

Mbeumo->Foden
Thiaw->Oโ€™Reilly
Sanchez->Kelleher

Below setup should enable some further rolling or fixture attacking next gw onwards.

Best of luck ๐ŸŽฏ punters! (Albeit no TC left so go easy Mr ๐Ÿค–๐Ÿฆฟ๐ŸฆพC)

19.12.2025 21:31 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Nice, surely you play Anderson or KDH over Pau ๐Ÿ‘Œ

12.12.2025 21:05 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW16 xg predictions: ๐Ÿ”ฎ

TC โœจ active! โšฝ๏ธโšฝ๏ธโšฝ๏ธโญ๏ธโญ๏ธโญ๏ธ

Ft used 2/5:

Mateta->Guiu
Enzo->Saka (TC)

Will see if can hit the Arteta gimmicks correctly by leaving Saliba in, as probly back vs Everton saving 3ft for next gv manouvers (2x City likely added in 17)

Enjoy! ๐ŸŒ rank664k

12.12.2025 18:50 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW15 xg predictions: ๐Ÿ”ฎโšฝ๏ธ

Likely moves this week are, Sarr ->Anderson, Rodon->Thiaw ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ

Cap matrix presents some opportunities as well if willing to add or max out risk levels.

Looking forward to the 5ft to rework the Arse of the squad for 16. Best of luck champs! ๐ŸŽฏ๐Ÿ’ซ

๐ŸŒ rank 747k

05.12.2025 13:24 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW14 xg predictions: ๐Ÿ”ฎ

Quick turnaround and defense is bad for this gw, but rolling the transfer at 372k ๐ŸŒ. If over 500k, would go for Bruno or Saka cap v ๐Ÿค–. Hope by the weekend we have a bit more clarity on Ars defense/Saliba. More opportunities/upside for transfers in 15 I believe. GL! โœจโšฝ๏ธ

02.12.2025 14:03 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW13 xg predictions: ๐Ÿ”ฎ

#Freehit #thefatfrench #chemistry

๐ŸŒ r 747k ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿ’ฃ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ’จ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท

28.11.2025 22:18 ๐Ÿ‘ 0 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW12 xg predictions: ๐Ÿ”ฎ

Likely moves this week are:
Eze->Bruno
Gab>VVD with 2/2ft

X-mas time is coming, so good to prepare for the fixture crunch in advance.

Saka cap highest upside, but will settle for ๐Ÿค– at 793k ๐ŸŒ rank ๐Ÿ“ˆ

May the xg luck be on your side! โšฝ๏ธโœจ๐Ÿ’ซ

19.11.2025 21:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW11 pxg predictions ๐Ÿ”ฎ:

Rolling the transfer this week for some potential planned moves in GW12.

Cap close this gw so a cap matrix was needed to be considered, ๐Ÿค–๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด takes the C win with a marginal edge over Enzo at 862k ๐ŸŒ

Good luck ye โšฝ๏ธ punters! โœจ๐Ÿ’ซ

07.11.2025 21:42 ๐Ÿ‘ 3 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Fwd line is ready for next week + roll in the cards prior IB.

04.11.2025 15:30 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Some luck (read xg modelling involved), but WC8 doing decent business so far even with a slightly suboptimal setup (Eze/own vs Saka, Mbeumo/own vs Bruno)

04.11.2025 13:54 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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Paq to Sarr was a close one for me.. (likely might have benched anycase this gw even if rolling/the โ€wants a transfer outโ€ rumours spooked me slightly, but in the end Paq/Nuno seem to have taken those to their advantage)

03.11.2025 06:39 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW10 ๐Ÿ”ฎ pxg predictions:
CRP-BRE 2.17-1.55 (Mateta 0,97pxg, Sarr 0,51)
LIV-AVL 2.03-0.57
MCI-BOU 2.03-1.1 (๐Ÿค–๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด 1,14pxg)
BUR-ARS 0.94-1.94
NFO-MUTD 0.63-2.01
WHU-LEE 1.74-1.82 (Woltemode 0,58pxg)
BRI-LEE 1.42-1.04
FUL-WOL 1.33-0.7
TOT-CHE 1.04-1.4
SUN-EVE 0.84-1.54
GL!๐ŸŽƒ

๐ŸŒ r 1,2M
1ft Paq->Sarr

31.10.2025 21:25 ๐Ÿ‘ 5 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

2,1 itb so no early move pressure luckily ๐Ÿ‘

29.10.2025 19:00 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0

Nice on Sarr watch today, might consider eg. Gordon if he gets a good rest today as alternative. Sarr most likely coming in for Paq this gw though..

29.10.2025 18:47 ๐Ÿ‘ 1 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 1 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0
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#FPL #GW8 #WC8 aka the โ€heistโ€ locked and xg predictions modelled: ๐Ÿ”ฎ๐ŸŽฒ Good luck and have a blast of a weekend folks! โšฝ๏ธ

18.10.2025 07:19 ๐Ÿ‘ 2 ๐Ÿ” 0 ๐Ÿ’ฌ 0 ๐Ÿ“Œ 0